玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.1812.7930.772.2116.410.5N/A-
2024/90.165.72-29.162.0215.260.490.22-
2024/80.15-11.77-37.971.8621.970.490.22-
2024/70.178.65-1.771.7133.630.480.23-
2024/60.169.24-10.961.5339.360.50.14-
2024/50.15-22.86-40.791.3749.260.510.14-
2024/40.1913.3231.541.2282.671.10.06因113/2一次性代理銷售軟體,致使本年累計營收大幅增加。
2024/30.17-77.31-19.571.0396.81.030.01因113/2一次性代理銷售軟體,致使本年累計營收大幅增加。
2024/20.74506.04359.790.86174.031.070.01因113/2一次性代理銷售軟體,導致營收大幅增加。
2024/10.12-39.38-20.530.12-20.530.50.02-
2023/120.214.751.832.270.00.520.04因112/12專案結案數較去年同期多所致。
2023/110.1825.296.182.07-3.220.550.04-
2023/100.14-38.9-19.341.9-4.010.620.03-
2023/90.23-7.41-16.111.76-2.530.660.02-
2023/80.2539.7116.431.53-0.090.610.02-
2023/70.18-1.51-12.911.28-2.780.610.02-
2023/60.18-27.35-29.861.1-0.910.570.03-
2023/50.2571.3739.680.927.830.60.03-
2023/40.15-30.71-12.270.67-0.570.520.04-
2023/30.2129.7-17.290.523.220.520.02-
2023/20.164.7424.860.3223.570.450.02-
2023/10.1515.8122.260.1522.260.450.02-
2022/120.13-19.78-46.542.270.950.470.02-
2022/110.17-4.82-24.92.146.850.610.02-
2022/100.17-36.46-4.021.9710.790.660.02-
2022/90.2728.5134.921.812.470.690.0-
2022/80.214.530.041.539.20.670.0-
2022/70.2-20.67-1.161.316.430.640.0-
2022/60.2644.6723.951.117.960.60.0-
2022/50.187.6221.790.853.910.60.0-
2022/40.17-34.6815.480.670.030.550.0-
2022/30.2595.8372.020.51-4.130.510.04因去年同期基期較低所致。
2022/20.132.56-41.790.26-33.370.50.04-
2022/10.13-49.36-21.770.13-21.770.60.03-
2021/120.2512.69-12.072.25-27.330.650.08-
2021/110.2221.63-39.692.0-28.860.610.08-
2021/100.18-10.67-1.81.78-27.250.550.09-
2021/90.223.85-17.741.6-29.320.570.09-
2021/80.16-20.57-12.211.4-30.740.580.09-
2021/70.21-0.5118.051.23-32.630.560.09-
2021/60.2142.1514.881.03-37.990.50.04-
2021/50.152.04-46.930.82-44.460.440.05-
2021/40.14-2.7-46.750.67-43.90.510.04-
2021/30.15-33.73-69.970.53-43.070.530.04本期專案完工案件較少,且因去年同期基期較高所致。
2021/20.2237.83-17.820.38-13.240.670.03-
2021/10.16-43.08-6.020.16-6.020.810.02-
2020/120.28-22.722.193.154.210.830.02因本月多筆專案工程完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/110.3798.0694.712.8258.380.80.03因本月多筆專案工程完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/100.18-25.17-2.122.4554.090.620.03因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/90.2532.1966.562.2761.660.610.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/80.196.823.262.0261.080.540.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/70.17-3.1810.461.8366.290.630.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/60.18-34.33-15.411.6675.670.720.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/50.282.448.051.48102.371.030.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/40.27-45.1348.711.2120.961.030.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/30.4981.34266.460.93157.00.930.0因前期多筆專案工期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/20.2757.61166.070.4493.030.670.0因前期多筆專案工程期較長,於本期完工驗收,以及去年基期較低所致
2020/10.17-25.9834.730.1734.730.590.0-
2019/120.2323.16-14.92.01-20.070.0N/A-
2019/110.19-0.437.671.78-20.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.122023/10.152022/10.132021/10.162020/10.17
2024/20.742023/20.162022/20.132021/20.222020/20.27
2024/30.172023/30.212022/30.252021/30.152020/30.49
2024/40.192023/40.152022/40.172021/40.142020/40.27
2024/50.152023/50.252022/50.182021/50.152020/50.28
2024/60.162023/60.182022/60.262021/60.212020/60.18
2024/70.172023/70.182022/70.22021/70.212020/70.17
2024/80.152023/80.252022/80.212021/80.162020/80.19
2024/90.162023/90.232022/90.272021/90.22020/90.25
2024/100.182023/100.142022/100.172021/100.182020/100.18
N/AN/A2023/110.182022/110.172021/110.222020/110.37
N/AN/A2023/120.22022/120.132021/120.252020/120.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 13.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.412.510.81
24Q2 (19)0.4-27.27-6.98
24Q1 (18)0.5557.1441.03
23Q4 (17)0.35-5.410.0
23Q3 (16)0.37-13.95-2.63
23Q2 (15)0.4310.26-10.42
23Q1 (14)0.3911.43-18.75
22Q4 (13)0.35-7.89-23.91
22Q3 (12)0.38-20.83-19.15
22Q2 (11)0.480.02.13
22Q1 (10)0.484.354.35
21Q4 (9)0.46-2.1348.39
21Q3 (8)0.470.056.67
21Q2 (7)0.472.1714.63
21Q1 (6)0.4648.39-8.0
20Q4 (5)0.313.33-26.19
20Q3 (4)0.3-26.830.0
20Q2 (3)0.41-18.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.519.050.0
19Q4 (1)0.420.00.0

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