玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.31289.21-89.5617.11-55.172.47N/A本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/90.34-59.14-95.115.8-38.312.21252.56本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/80.82-21.57-90.5215.47-17.472.39234.08本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/71.05105.54-86.6314.6445.692.4232.41本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/60.51-39.2390.2513.59520.852.94177.65本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/50.84-47.0374.4613.08581.085.988.47本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/41.59-54.3182.0712.24750.8311.7644.42本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/33.48-48.091138.2610.651116.5110.6543.91本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/26.71290.282297.897.181106.2513.8133.88本年度完成一個工案、餘屋及租金收入
2024/10.48-92.7352.510.4852.5118.2125.68本年度目前收入為餘屋及租金收入
2023/126.63-40.29516.4555.9190.5630.2914.27本年度完成二個工案
2023/1111.1-11.563157.649.2874.3530.5414.15本年度完成二個工案
2023/1012.5682.554481.0838.1836.7228.1315.37本年度完成二個工案
2023/96.88-20.8766.5225.62-7.3323.4318.26本年度完成一個工案
2023/88.6910.581049.5518.74-20.316.8225.43本年度完成一個工案
2023/77.862826.321028.0510.05-55.848.6149.68本年度完成一個工案
2023/60.27-44.27-84.612.19-90.071.31319.1本年度目前收入為餘屋及租金收入
2023/50.48-14.37-86.241.92-90.541.33316.21本年度目前收入為餘屋及租金收入
2023/40.56100.6-96.531.44-91.441.12373.33本年度目前收入為餘屋及租金收入
2023/30.280.548.510.8855.050.88454.45本期租金收入增加
2023/20.28-11.5760.390.5958.341.67238.23本期租金收入增加
2023/10.32-70.6356.560.3256.561.73229.75本期租賃收入增加
2022/121.08215.49311.429.34-3.781.69228.16本年度完工一個工案
2022/110.3424.36-42.328.26-6.514.7581.27-
2022/100.27-93.3647.7427.92-5.795.1674.73-
2022/94.13446.2380.4427.65-6.135.5865.58本年度完工一個工案
2022/80.768.51144.7223.52-17.753.2114.44本年度完工一個工案
2022/70.7-60.136.7322.76-19.535.9561.56-
2022/61.75-50.17-43.7322.07-20.5621.516.48-
2022/53.51-78.42157.3620.32-17.6419.9417.77本月完工一個工案
2022/416.258498.741409.9216.81-27.8716.6121.33本月完工一個工案
2022/30.198.54-98.180.56-97.460.56621.1本月無完工工案
2022/20.17-13.68-98.230.38-96.810.64550.5本月無完工工案
2022/10.2-22.84-89.50.2-89.51.05332.84本月無完工工案
2021/120.26-55.75-98.5630.49-45.41.04321.44去年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/110.59218.44-86.1630.23-19.721.64203.89去年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/100.19-78.42-96.3229.64-11.231.35246.31去年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/90.86178.21-68.1429.463.911.68170.0今年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/80.31-39.37-89.6228.611.493.9272.73今年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/70.51-83.58-81.8428.2924.774.9857.34今年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/63.1127.9233.1727.7839.845.5448.77今年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/51.3626.56-42.7524.6740.7312.8621.01今年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/41.08-89.67-66.9523.3153.8421.3912.64今年同期認列入帳戶數較多
2021/310.435.4641.1322.2486.9222.2411.73本月認列一案完工工案
2021/29.89414.26658.9711.81161.9430.018.7本月認列一案完工工案
2021/11.92-89.43-40.021.92-40.0224.3910.7本月無完工工案
2020/1218.2326.25270.4355.86144.7727.519.53本年度完工量較去年增加
2020/114.27-15.3844.3537.66110.312.0121.83本年度完工工案較去年增加
2020/105.0586.97176.3533.39123.3410.7224.45本年度完工工案較去年增加
2020/92.7-9.38-53.228.35115.978.4825.38本年度完工工案較去年度增加
2020/82.986.07246.3225.65248.528.1226.53本年度完工工案較去年度增加
2020/72.8120.42123.8922.67248.827.5228.64本年度完工工案較去年度增加
2020/62.33-2.01250.9919.86278.687.9725.66本年度完工工案較去年度增加
2020/52.38-26.95204.8317.53282.6913.0215.7本年度完工工案較去年度增加
2020/43.26-55.91186.3815.15298.6811.9517.11本年度完工工案較去年度增加
2020/37.39467.14853.6511.9346.6311.915.37本年度完工工案較去年同期增加
2020/21.3-59.3670.074.51138.689.4219.41本年度完工結轉二個工案,故營收較去年同期高
2020/13.21-34.74185.483.21185.4811.0816.51本年度完工結轉二個工案,故營收較去年同期高
2019/124.9166.1394.3122.82-59.940.0N/A107年完工結轉三個案,故營收較今年高
2019/112.9661.9915.2517.91-68.00.0N/A107年完工結轉三個案,故營收較今年高
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.482023/10.322022/10.22021/11.922020/13.21
2024/26.72023/20.282022/20.172021/29.892020/21.3
2024/33.482023/30.282022/30.192021/310.432020/37.39
2024/41.592023/40.562022/416.252021/41.082020/43.26
2024/50.842023/50.482022/53.512021/51.362020/52.38
2024/60.512023/60.272022/61.752021/63.12020/62.33
2024/71.052023/77.862022/70.72021/70.512020/72.81
2024/80.822023/88.692022/80.762021/80.312020/82.98
2024/90.342023/96.882022/94.132021/90.862020/92.7
2024/101.312023/1012.562022/100.272021/100.192020/105.05
N/AN/A2023/1111.12022/110.342021/110.592020/114.27
N/AN/A2023/126.632022/121.082021/120.262020/1218.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 147.85%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)85.8516.6336.12
24Q2 (19)73.618.7811.77
24Q1 (18)67.674.9812.19
23Q4 (17)64.462.218.51
23Q3 (16)63.07-4.2430.61
23Q2 (15)65.869.1852.21
23Q1 (14)60.3210.947.81
22Q4 (13)54.3912.6364.67
22Q3 (12)48.2911.696.78
22Q2 (11)43.276.03115.92
22Q1 (10)40.8123.55124.72
21Q4 (9)33.0334.666.82
21Q3 (8)24.5422.4637.33
21Q2 (7)20.0410.3533.51
21Q1 (6)18.16-8.2818.31
20Q4 (5)19.810.834.97
20Q3 (4)17.8719.050.0
20Q2 (3)15.01-2.210.0
20Q1 (2)15.354.640.0
19Q4 (1)14.670.00.0

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