玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)550.00.00.00-100.0-100.0-0.2938.3-81.250.210.0165.620.887.32-8.3346.7211.11-1.1-19.4637.83-88.57-0.01-100.03-100.09-0.1734.62-70.00-100.0-100.0-0.70-102.21-106.29-0.01-100.03-100.093.6688.89-11.89
24Q2 (19)550.00.00.48277.78308.7-0.47-62.07-11.90.21177.78141.180.820.06.4942.05-8.65-9.53-31.30-57.76-24.0132.07278.07298.33-0.26-62.5-30.00.26273.33300.031.64274.23366.7832.07278.07298.33-2.88132.64-46.95
24Q1 (18)550.00.0-0.27-12.53.57-0.29-31.82-7.41-0.2751.793.570.82-5.7512.3346.03-8.36-6.86-19.84-48.846.64-18.01-16.1915.6-0.16-33.330.0-0.15-7.146.25-18.16-16.3417.9-18.01-16.1915.6-7.57-119.41-34.66
23Q4 (17)550.00.0-0.24-226.32-33.33-0.22-37.5-22.22-0.56-75.0-163.640.87-9.3840.3250.236.33-11.92-13.33-29.1729.4-15.50-239.772.02-0.12-20.00.0-0.14-227.27-40.0-15.61-240.2519.78-15.50-239.772.027.65-21.8512.20
23Q3 (16)550.00.00.19182.61111.11-0.1661.920.0-0.3237.25-130.190.9624.68-4.047.241.64-5.69-10.3259.119.4711.09168.58129.13-0.150.09.090.11184.62120.011.13193.84142.4811.09168.58129.1315.08100.243.17
23Q2 (15)550.00.0-0.2317.86-146.0-0.42-55.56-244.83-0.51-82.14-152.580.775.48-54.9746.48-5.95-18.08-25.24-18.78-339.24-16.1724.23-200.81-0.2-25.0-211.11-0.1318.75-148.15-11.8646.38-168.87-16.1724.23-200.8111.61-18.85-52.78
23Q1 (14)550.00.0-0.28-55.56-159.57-0.27-50.0-161.36-0.28-131.82-159.570.7317.74-58.5249.42-13.34-9.67-21.25-12.55-257.06-21.34-34.89-245.57-0.16-33.33-166.67-0.16-60.0-161.54-22.12-13.67-248.46-21.34-34.89-245.57-10.13-177.78-20.00
22Q4 (13)550.00.0-0.18-300.0-152.94-0.1810.0-151.430.88-16.98-8.330.62-38.0-60.7657.0313.866.8-18.88-65.61-268.57-15.82-426.86-232.72-0.12-9.09-166.67-0.1-300.0-152.63-19.46-523.97-276.59-15.82-426.86-232.72-39.76-191.00-79.48
22Q3 (12)550.00.00.09-82.0-70.0-0.20-168.97-322.221.069.2870.971.0-41.52-31.9750.09-11.72-6.27-11.40-208.06-400.04.84-69.83-56.44-0.11-161.11-283.330.05-81.48-68.754.59-73.34-58.694.84-69.83-56.44-22.18-37.81-101.53
22Q2 (11)550.00.00.506.3847.060.29-34.09-19.440.97106.38203.121.71-2.8416.3356.743.716.6710.55-22.03-19.6516.049.4125.90.18-25.0-5.260.273.8542.1117.2215.5735.1616.049.4125.94.2822.31-4.19
22Q1 (10)550.00.00.4738.242450.00.4425.712300.00.47-51.042450.01.7611.3937.554.712.4521.3413.5320.82150.014.6622.991537.250.2433.332500.00.2636.842700.014.9035.211560.7814.6622.991537.259.4425.79157.30
21Q4 (9)550.00.00.3413.33950.00.35288.891650.00.9654.84257.381.587.4826.453.40-0.0710.3511.20194.744769.5711.927.29727.370.18200.000.1918.751050.011.02-0.81680.011.927.29727.373.740.79106.94
21Q3 (8)550.00.00.30-11.76600.00.09-75.0137.50.6293.75210.711.470.024.5853.440.4731.723.80-71.06134.7711.11-12.79496.790.06-68.42146.150.16-15.79633.3311.11-12.79496.7911.11-12.79496.797.42894.12912.50
21Q2 (7)550.03.770.341800.0209.680.361900.0233.330.321700.0162.751.4714.8447.053.1917.9617.5713.132089.39184.0612.741349.02177.640.192000.0218.750.192000.0218.7512.741349.02177.5912.741349.02177.648.62925.00850.00
21Q1 (6)550.0-1.79-0.0250.090.0-0.02-200.090.0-0.0296.7290.01.282.425.4945.09-6.82-5.59-0.66-386.9694.2-1.0246.3290.84-0.01091.67-0.0150.090.91-1.0246.3290.84-1.0246.3290.844.1741.66-45.84
20Q4 (5)550.0-1.79-0.0433.33-157.140.02108.33-81.82-0.61-8.93-377.271.255.93-8.7648.3919.28-2.830.23102.1-92.38-1.9032.14-167.140100.0-100.0-0.0233.33-150.0-1.9032.14-228.38-1.9032.14-167.14--0.00
20Q3 (4)553.770.0-0.0680.650.0-0.2411.110.0-0.56-9.80.01.1818.00.040.57-10.320.0-10.9330.030.0-2.8082.940.0-0.1318.750.0-0.0381.250.0-2.8082.950.0-2.8082.940.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)53-5.360.0-0.31-55.00.0-0.27-35.00.0-0.51-155.00.01.0-1.960.045.24-5.280.0-15.62-37.380.0-16.41-47.440.0-0.16-33.330.0-0.16-45.450.0-16.42-47.530.0-16.41-47.440.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)560.00.0-0.20-385.710.0-0.20-281.820.0-0.20-190.910.01.02-25.550.047.76-4.10.0-11.37-476.490.0-11.13-493.290.0-0.12-400.00.0-0.11-375.00.0-11.13-852.030.0-11.13-493.290.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)560.00.00.070.00.00.110.00.00.220.00.01.370.00.049.800.00.03.020.00.02.830.00.00.040.00.00.040.00.01.480.00.02.830.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.23-19.15-28.283.02-0.40.8N/A-
2024/100.28-4.7110.042.82.830.89N/A-
2024/90.29-6.8513.562.522.090.881.48-
2024/80.3218.23-12.182.220.740.851.54-
2024/70.272.08-20.491.93.260.751.72-
2024/60.2616.33-13.931.648.560.821.65-
2024/50.23-32.38-13.331.3814.240.831.63-
2024/40.3324.2158.611.1521.830.851.59去年4月受客戶庫存調節,銷量下滑,基期較低,造成本月增加幅度較大
2024/30.277.31-10.290.8211.320.821.84-
2024/20.25-16.57-13.650.5526.160.851.77-
2024/10.3-0.33105.030.3105.030.921.64因去年工作天數少,因此今年相較之下營收大幅增加。
2023/120.3-5.020.793.34-34.510.871.95-
2023/110.3224.0544.143.03-37.350.832.05-
2023/100.25-1.6765.582.72-41.210.871.94去年10月受客戶庫存調節,銷量下滑,基期較低,造成本月增加幅度較大
2023/90.26-27.9714.72.46-44.890.961.92-
2023/80.367.0423.552.2-48.071.01.83-
2023/70.3410.51-30.191.84-53.340.92.03客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2023/60.317.14-42.271.51-56.560.772.75客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2023/50.2623.74-52.961.2-59.120.772.77客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2023/40.21-29.74-66.640.94-60.540.82.67客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2023/30.33.29-49.430.73-58.360.732.7客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2023/20.2998.08-50.790.44-62.860.682.89客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2023/10.15-41.28-75.00.15-75.00.613.22因1月工作天數少,加上客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退。
2022/120.2513.34-52.775.09-12.150.623.38因客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退
2022/110.2242.51-59.854.84-8.090.63.5因客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退
2022/100.15-31.88-69.414.62-2.10.673.13因客戶調節庫存,延後出貨時間,造成出貨較去年同期大幅衰退
2022/90.23-22.41-47.414.475.921.01.98-
2022/80.29-39.52-44.624.2411.971.31.52-
2022/70.48-8.61-6.813.9521.091.561.27-
2022/60.53-4.5410.253.4726.331.711.04-
2022/50.55-12.2514.222.9429.721.771.0-
2022/40.636.5124.862.3933.921.810.98-
2022/30.590.5119.741.7637.481.760.92-
2022/20.590.6171.771.1748.571.70.95產業景氣復甦,客戶需求增加
2022/10.5810.9430.790.5830.791.660.98-
2021/120.53-3.6337.835.830.271.580.8-
2021/110.558.5418.445.2729.561.480.85-
2021/100.517.1223.314.7230.981.460.86-
2021/90.43-18.296.794.2231.961.470.73-
2021/80.531.7632.073.7935.591.520.7-
2021/70.528.1237.143.2636.171.480.72-
2021/60.48-1.130.832.7535.991.470.68-
2021/50.48-4.0843.12.2737.131.480.67-
2021/40.52.1469.011.7935.61.340.74今年較去年同期客戶需求回溫
2021/30.4944.1818.191.2825.821.280.82-
2021/20.34-23.3827.740.7931.131.170.9-
2021/10.4516.9133.840.4533.841.290.81-
2020/120.38-17.190.734.45-14.681.250.85-
2020/110.4613.018.934.07-15.891.270.83-
2020/100.411.43-28.463.61-18.271.210.88-
2020/90.41.04-9.923.2-16.761.180.76-
2020/80.45.66-19.422.8-17.651.140.79-
2020/70.383.14-28.112.4-17.351.080.83-
2020/60.378.16-32.472.02-14.981.01.13-
2020/50.3413.28-10.241.66-9.821.051.07-
2020/40.3-28.57-25.051.32-9.720.981.15-
2020/30.4255.841.941.02-3.971.021.14-
2020/20.27-19.720.960.6-7.690.981.18-
2020/10.33-12.01-13.630.33-13.630.0N/A-
2019/120.38-10.4433.025.22-5.710.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)550.0-0.560-1.0703.34-34.3848.32-11.78-16.970-9.320-0.570-0.280-0.310
2022 (9)550.00.87-9.370.35-56.255.09-12.2454.776.313.68-48.759.474.530.19-54.760.48-5.880.48-9.43
2021 (8)550.00.9600.8005.830.3451.5213.317.1809.0600.4200.5100.530
2020 (7)55-1.79-0.610-0.7104.45-14.7545.47-7.19-8.950-7.520-0.40-0.330-0.330
2019 (6)560.00.2200.0905.22-5.6148.990.27-0.2302.400-0.0100.0700.130
2018 (5)560.0-0.330-0.5805.53-35.8548.86-2.98-5.690-3.350-0.310-0.190-0.190
2017 (4)56-1.751.6318.981.6018.528.6216.1750.36-4.5312.130.010.752.091.0516.671.0915.960.9319.23
2016 (3)5711.761.3722.321.3551.697.4220.2652.75-4.5912.1323.5210.5313.10.947.540.9436.230.7836.84
2015 (2)5110.871.12-61.90.89-60.446.17-15.9455.29-3.039.82-45.959.31-50.050.61-54.140.69-53.060.57-58.39
2014 (1)464.552.9410.942.2511.397.3413.157.02018.17018.6401.3316.671.4720.491.3715.13

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