玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.915.820.5316.63.045.48N/A-
2024/91.81.578.3314.693.375.170.6-
2024/81.7710.990.5812.892.724.980.63-
2024/71.6-0.614.3511.123.074.860.64-
2024/61.61-2.692.219.522.865.00.56-
2024/51.65-5.02-1.717.912.995.070.56-
2024/41.7450.5115.716.264.315.040.56-
2024/31.683.575.565.0412.085.040.48-
2024/21.62-7.0411.143.3615.645.140.47-
2024/11.74-2.2620.171.7420.176.380.38-
2023/121.78-37.5316.720.7413.046.530.4-
2023/112.8550.3731.618.9612.716.410.41-
2023/101.914.0329.5716.119.915.320.5-
2023/91.66-5.6820.5914.217.734.960.56-
2023/81.7615.1523.3212.556.234.870.57-
2023/71.53-2.655.4710.793.884.790.58-
2023/61.57-6.43-0.99.253.624.760.45-
2023/51.6811.824.927.684.64.770.45-
2023/41.5-5.326.146.04.514.550.47-
2023/31.599.0511.214.493.974.490.45-
2023/21.460.516.552.910.44.430.45-
2023/11.45-5.09-5.11.45-5.15.140.39-
2022/121.53-29.55-7.318.3511.425.160.3-
2022/112.1748.0622.3316.8213.55.010.31-
2022/101.466.120.214.6612.34.270.36-
2022/91.38-3.54-0.0213.1913.824.260.38-
2022/81.43-1.510.8911.8115.694.470.37-
2022/71.45-8.533.9610.3818.084.640.35-
2022/61.59-0.9410.968.9320.754.610.27-
2022/51.613.1216.117.3423.14.450.28-
2022/41.42-0.821.585.7425.24.210.3-
2022/31.434.4720.184.3226.434.320.22-
2022/21.37-10.4824.092.8929.774.540.2-
2022/11.53-7.2835.311.5335.314.950.19-
2021/121.65-7.0335.6916.4760.064.880.1因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/111.7721.2753.3714.8263.324.610.1因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/101.465.8887.5313.0564.774.260.11因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/91.38-2.6567.0311.5962.294.190.1因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/81.421.4881.0910.2161.674.250.1因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/71.4-2.3874.188.7958.924.210.1因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/61.433.6572.557.456.343.980.1因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/51.3818.4668.725.9652.893.730.11因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/41.17-1.9455.774.5848.693.460.12因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚有大額累計虧損,長期來看需謹慎觀察
2021/31.197.8753.063.4246.423.420.07因直播成長與大研生醫熱銷,惟大研採用國際頂級臨床醫學實證原料與研發專利配方成本頗高,尚在虧損中,長期來看需謹慎觀察。
2021/21.1-2.3840.22.2343.113.440.07-
2021/11.13-7.0246.071.1346.073.50.07-
2020/121.215.0735.4610.29-0.773.150.03-
2020/111.1648.2858.699.08-4.22.760.04因1111單身節與購物節檔期,使直播、交友與保健品收入都有所增加,有可能為短期效應,長期來看還需謹慎觀察。
2020/100.78-5.68-3.527.92-9.432.390.04-
2020/90.835.53-3.617.14-10.042.410.01-
2020/80.78-2.39-12.986.31-10.812.410.01-
2020/70.8-3.29-8.775.53-10.52.450.01-
2020/60.831.35-13.544.73-10.782.40.02-
2020/50.829.36-11.13.9-10.182.340.02-
2020/40.75-3.64-18.623.08-9.932.310.02-
2020/30.78-1.18-16.472.33-6.742.330.04-
2020/20.791.69-1.51.56-0.992.450.04-
2020/10.77-13.77-0.460.77-0.462.40.04-
2019/120.923.09-10.3910.3724.940.0N/A-
2019/110.73-9.84-11.539.4729.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.742023/11.452022/11.532021/11.132020/10.77
2024/21.622023/21.462022/21.372021/21.12020/20.79
2024/31.682023/31.592022/31.432021/31.192020/30.78
2024/41.742023/41.52022/41.422021/41.172020/40.75
2024/51.652023/51.682022/51.62021/51.382020/50.82
2024/61.612023/61.572022/61.592021/61.432020/60.83
2024/71.62023/71.532022/71.452021/71.42020/70.8
2024/81.772023/81.762022/81.432021/81.422020/80.78
2024/91.82023/91.662022/91.382021/91.382020/90.83
2024/101.912023/101.92022/101.462021/101.462020/100.78
N/AN/A2023/112.852022/112.172021/111.772020/111.16
N/AN/A2023/121.782022/121.532021/121.652020/121.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 16.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.49-7.55-28.99
24Q2 (19)0.53-18.46-28.38
24Q1 (18)0.65-5.8-9.72
23Q4 (17)0.690.09.52
23Q3 (16)0.69-6.7611.29
23Q2 (15)0.742.7819.35
23Q1 (14)0.7214.299.09
22Q4 (13)0.631.615.0
22Q3 (12)0.620.06.9
22Q2 (11)0.62-6.066.9
22Q1 (10)0.6610.032.0
21Q4 (9)0.63.4546.34
21Q3 (8)0.580.038.1
21Q2 (7)0.5816.023.4
21Q1 (6)0.521.9519.05
20Q4 (5)0.41-2.385.13
20Q3 (4)0.42-10.640.0
20Q2 (3)0.4711.90.0
20Q1 (2)0.427.690.0
19Q4 (1)0.390.00.0

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