玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.86-9.93-13.7746.11-2.1212.79N/A-
2024/104.28-7.947.4942.25-0.913.33N/A-
2024/94.655.6512.5237.97-1.7713.470.91-
2024/84.4-0.45-2.9833.32-3.4813.140.93-
2024/74.422.35-3.4928.92-3.5513.020.94-
2024/64.321.05-0.5524.5-3.5612.640.93-
2024/54.285.689.1220.18-4.1912.880.91-
2024/44.05-11.3-6.115.9-7.2311.721.0-
2024/34.5646.592.4311.86-7.6111.861.04-
2024/23.11-25.61-27.07.29-12.9511.51.08-
2024/14.18-0.531.584.181.5812.860.96-
2023/124.21-5.96-10.251.32-18.2112.661.05-
2023/114.4712.29-1.2247.11-18.8612.591.06-
2023/103.98-3.64-14.0642.64-20.3512.651.05-
2023/94.13-8.9-17.438.66-20.9413.251.04-
2023/84.54-0.98-17.0534.52-21.3513.461.02-
2023/74.585.47-17.8629.99-21.9612.841.07-
2023/64.3410.89-23.1125.4-22.6512.571.11-
2023/53.92-9.06-31.8321.06-22.5612.681.1-
2023/44.31-3.24-20.617.14-20.0813.021.07-
2023/34.454.46-18.6512.83-19.912.831.23-
2023/24.263.51-15.698.38-20.5513.061.2-
2023/14.12-12.07-25.024.12-25.0213.331.18-
2022/124.683.43-14.762.74-0.913.841.23-
2022/114.53-2.29-18.3658.060.414.171.2-
2022/104.63-7.39-11.1253.532.3915.111.12-
2022/95.0-8.51-5.6548.93.8916.051.1-
2022/85.47-1.956.3843.95.116.71.06-
2022/75.58-1.26-2.2838.434.9216.981.04-
2022/65.65-1.683.332.856.2516.821.03-
2022/55.755.929.4227.26.8816.651.04-
2022/45.43-0.86-4.2421.456.2215.961.09-
2022/35.478.275.8416.0210.3116.020.99-
2022/25.06-7.9317.3510.5512.7816.040.99-
2022/15.490.028.885.498.8816.530.96-
2021/125.49-1.0116.4863.3245.6516.250.89-
2021/115.556.3631.0257.8349.216.060.91-
2021/105.21-1.6836.6352.2851.4315.660.93客戶訂單增加
2021/95.33.1548.3747.0753.2616.150.82客戶訂單增加
2021/85.14-9.9562.7141.7653.9116.320.82客戶訂單增加
2021/75.714.3876.9136.6252.7516.430.81客戶訂單增加
2021/65.474.1346.5430.9148.9916.390.78-
2021/55.25-7.348.9825.4449.5316.090.8-
2021/45.679.5749.3920.1949.6715.150.85-
2021/35.1720.0445.2914.5249.7814.520.88-
2021/24.31-14.5845.99.3552.3914.060.91客戶訂單增加
2021/15.047.058.45.0458.413.990.92客戶訂單增加
2020/124.7111.3430.0543.47-2.4812.760.92-
2020/114.2310.9112.3438.76-5.3611.621.01-
2020/103.826.761.734.53-7.1610.551.11-
2020/93.5713.12-4.0130.71-8.159.961.12-
2020/83.16-2.09-11.5627.13-8.6710.121.1-
2020/73.23-13.53-17.623.97-8.2810.491.06-
2020/63.735.861.3820.75-6.6311.051.0-
2020/53.53-7.04-4.9217.01-8.2310.881.02-
2020/43.796.57-0.7613.49-9.0610.31.08-
2020/33.5620.55-7.299.7-11.949.71.25-
2020/22.95-7.27-6.86.14-14.429.761.25-
2020/13.18-12.14-20.463.18-20.460.0N/A-
2019/123.62-3.815.6644.58-11.00.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.182023/14.122022/15.492021/15.042020/13.18
2024/23.112023/24.262022/25.062021/24.312020/22.95
2024/34.562023/34.452022/35.472021/35.172020/33.56
2024/44.052023/44.312022/45.432021/45.672020/43.79
2024/54.282023/53.922022/55.752021/55.252020/53.53
2024/64.322023/64.342022/65.652021/65.472020/63.73
2024/74.422023/74.582022/75.582021/75.712020/73.23
2024/84.42023/84.542022/85.472021/85.142020/83.16
2024/94.652023/94.132022/95.02021/95.32020/93.57
2024/104.282023/103.982022/104.632021/105.212020/103.82
2024/113.862023/114.472022/114.532021/115.552020/114.23
N/AN/A2023/124.212022/124.682021/125.492020/124.71
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.49%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.05-28.57-44.44
24Q2 (19)0.07133.3340.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-50.0-57.14
23Q4 (17)0.06-33.33-33.33
23Q3 (16)0.0980.0-35.71
23Q2 (15)0.05-28.57-68.75
23Q1 (14)0.07-22.22-56.25
22Q4 (13)0.09-35.71-50.0
22Q3 (12)0.14-12.5-6.67
22Q2 (11)0.160.014.29
22Q1 (10)0.16-11.11128.57
21Q4 (9)0.1820.0100.0
21Q3 (8)0.157.14200.0
21Q2 (7)0.14100.055.56
21Q1 (6)0.07-22.22600.0
20Q4 (5)0.0980.0350.0
20Q3 (4)0.05-44.440.0
20Q2 (3)0.09800.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.01-50.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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