玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.31-7.58-6.6214.13-1.914.19N/A-
2024/91.42-2.55-9.1912.82-1.414.340.98-
2024/81.46-0.47-14.3211.4-0.344.40.96-
2024/71.46-1.2513.139.942.094.480.95-
2024/61.48-3.4616.158.480.394.41.17-
2024/51.5410.79-4.157.0-2.44.171.24-
2024/41.3910.68-23.015.46-1.93.711.39-
2024/31.2516.73-19.414.088.184.081.46-
2024/21.07-38.744.992.8227.554.211.41-
2024/11.7525.9846.891.7546.894.681.27-
2023/121.39-9.4215.5917.33-25.754.331.52-
2023/111.539.2321.4615.94-28.04.51.46-
2023/101.4-10.1210.7914.41-30.994.671.41-
2023/91.56-8.0527.1513.0-33.74.561.63-
2023/81.731.415.6811.44-37.764.271.74-
2023/71.291.37-31.949.74-41.934.171.78-
2023/61.28-20.33-45.978.45-43.214.681.77-
2023/51.6-11.0-38.417.17-42.694.961.67-
2023/41.815.86-29.495.57-43.814.381.89-
2023/31.5552.08-38.443.77-48.783.772.33-
2023/21.02-14.3-57.752.21-54.183.422.56本月營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2023/11.19-0.86-50.611.19-50.613.662.39本月營收較去年同期減少主要係因出貨量減少所致
2022/121.2-4.82-49.9523.35-15.313.732.41-
2022/111.26-0.36-47.3822.14-12.013.762.39-
2022/101.273.14-47.1820.88-8.274.112.19-
2022/91.23-23.58-51.2719.61-3.694.741.71本月營收較去年同期減少主要係因出貨量減少所致
2022/81.61-15.38-36.2218.383.035.871.38-
2022/71.9-19.51-24.3216.779.56.861.18-
2022/62.36-9.18-5.6114.8716.137.520.82-
2022/52.61.8813.9512.5121.427.680.8-
2022/42.551.1514.589.9123.547.490.82-
2022/32.524.3817.717.3626.997.360.64-
2022/22.420.1540.94.8332.457.230.65-
2022/12.410.4624.942.4124.947.220.66-
2021/122.40.0626.227.5741.087.20.61-
2021/112.40.0230.5625.1742.697.320.6-
2021/102.4-4.8531.922.7644.17.450.59-
2021/92.520.0128.320.3645.697.560.55-
2021/82.520.4156.6517.8448.547.540.55本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2021/72.510.3760.415.3247.287.30.57本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2021/62.59.6457.5312.8144.967.010.55本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2021/52.282.4421.1710.342.26.650.58-
2021/42.233.9119.548.0249.586.090.64-
2021/32.1424.9562.055.7965.65.790.62本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2021/21.72-11.1889.613.6567.765.550.65本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2021/11.931.4852.181.9352.185.680.63本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2020/121.93.5256.719.5418.555.560.65本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2020/111.841.0555.8617.6415.515.630.65本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨增加所致
2020/101.82-7.4439.5615.812.135.40.67-
2020/91.9722.1120.9713.989.335.140.66-
2020/81.612.812.5612.017.644.770.71-
2020/71.57-1.422.2310.48.475.040.67-
2020/61.59-15.665.48.839.655.340.59-
2020/51.881.0632.577.2510.635.070.62-
2020/41.8640.8640.995.364.554.090.77-
2020/31.3246.21.083.5-8.093.50.96-
2020/20.9-28.71-23.972.17-12.913.390.99-
2020/11.274.49-2.831.27-2.833.660.92-
2019/121.212.96-6.7316.4812.380.0N/A-
2019/111.18-9.51-16.3115.2714.250.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.752023/11.192022/12.412021/11.932020/11.27
2024/21.072023/21.022022/22.422021/21.722020/20.9
2024/31.252023/31.552022/32.522021/32.142020/31.32
2024/41.392023/41.82022/42.552021/42.232020/41.86
2024/51.542023/51.62022/52.62021/52.282020/51.88
2024/61.482023/61.282022/62.362021/62.52020/61.59
2024/71.462023/71.292022/71.92021/72.512020/71.57
2024/81.462023/81.72022/81.612021/82.522020/81.61
2024/91.422023/91.562022/91.232021/92.522020/91.97
2024/101.312023/101.42022/101.272021/102.42020/101.82
N/AN/A2023/111.532022/111.262021/112.42020/111.84
N/AN/A2023/121.392022/121.22021/122.42020/121.9
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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