玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)310.06.90.39178.5721.881.03347.8301.4834.5522.3118.01274.43284.833.28-52.6-32.791.95-0.51219.670.67-27.96-65.640.35288.891066.670.12200.033.330.84-41.67-65.430.67-27.96-65.64120.9546.01149.47
24Q2 (19)316.96.90.14-86.54-70.830.23-48.8921.051.105.7723.64.81-32.54-17.076.920.8745.381.96-33.334.260.93-77.75-60.920.09-57.14-18.180.04-86.67-71.431.44-72.47-54.860.93-77.75-60.92-1.09-44.67-61.73
24Q1 (18)290.07.411.04-2.8136.360.45-74.587.141.04-54.39136.367.1330.3588.136.86-54.21-22.922.94-73.94-30.174.18-25.2235.280.21-66.1331.250.3-3.23150.05.23-24.8636.554.18-25.2235.2823.62115.79-37.29
23Q4 (17)290.07.411.07234.3844.591.77071.842.2888.4320.05.4716.887.0514.98206.9720.1311.281749.1856.675.59186.6744.440.621966.6767.570.31244.4455.06.96186.4243.85.59186.6744.44-1.21100.53-50.00
23Q3 (16)290.07.410.32-33.3328.00.00-100.001.2135.964.314.68-19.31-17.894.882.5229.440.61-67.55306.671.95-18.0766.670.03-72.73200.00.09-35.7128.572.43-23.8268.751.95-18.0766.6716.86-12.12-77.38
23Q2 (15)297.417.410.489.0917.070.19-54.76-72.060.89102.27-2.25.853.03-37.74.76-46.52-5.561.88-55.34-33.12.38-22.98103.420.11-31.25-57.690.1416.6727.273.19-16.7187.652.38-22.98103.4213.60-15.72-56.99
23Q1 (14)270.08.00.44-40.54-18.520.42-59.22-40.850.44-76.84-18.523.79-25.83-65.838.90-28.63112.414.21-41.5382.253.09-20.16153.280.16-56.76-38.460.12-40.0-14.293.83-20.87148.73.09-20.16153.28-18.0977.73-29.61
22Q4 (13)270.08.00.74196.045.11.030296.151.9063.79-19.495.11-10.35-44.6412.47230.77237.037.204700.0599.033.87230.77182.480.373600.0311.110.2185.7153.854.84236.11198.773.87230.77182.48-24.5778.49-50.00
22Q3 (12)270.08.00.25-39.02-53.70.00-100.0-100.01.1627.47-37.35.7-38.78-8.363.77-25.2-25.790.15-94.66-93.81.170.0-45.830.01-96.15-93.330.07-36.36-46.151.44-15.29-46.671.170.0-45.83-27.41-31.55-52.12
22Q2 (11)278.012.50.41-24.07-43.840.68-4.2341.670.9168.52-33.589.31-16.0555.435.0420.29-16.142.8121.65-7.571.17-4.1-59.230.260.044.440.11-21.43-35.291.7010.39-48.951.17-4.1-59.232.05-9.1084.43
22Q1 (10)250.04.170.545.88-15.620.71173.0857.780.54-77.12-15.6211.0920.1543.654.1913.24-9.892.31124.27-1.281.22-10.95-38.070.26188.8944.440.147.69-6.671.54-4.94-37.651.22-10.95-38.0734.270.1673.69
21Q4 (9)250.04.170.51-5.56264.290.26-25.71333.332.3627.57131.379.2348.3949.353.70-27.1725.421.03-57.4494.341.37-36.57149.090.09-40.0200.00.130.0333.331.62-40.0138.241.37-36.57149.0926.12-15.79-26.39
21Q3 (8)254.174.170.54-26.03170.00.35-27.08118.751.8535.04112.646.223.8467.655.08-15.47-11.812.42-20.3954.142.16-24.7468.750.15-16.67150.00.13-23.53160.02.70-18.9266.672.16-24.7468.75-9.29-5.99-10.20
21Q2 (7)240.00.00.7314.06284.210.486.6784.621.37114.06104.485.99-22.4136.456.0129.255.253.0429.9154.312.8745.69175.960.180.0100.00.1713.33240.03.3334.82154.22.8745.69175.961.26185.60328.33
21Q1 (6)240.09.090.64357.1428.00.45650.028.570.64-37.2528.07.7224.921.854.6557.6317.422.34341.5128.571.97258.1832.210.18500.028.570.15400.036.362.47263.2432.091.97258.1832.2145.75163.57293.75
20Q4 (5)240.09.090.14-30.0-54.840.06-62.5-82.861.0217.2454.556.1866.5865.242.95-48.78-63.80.53-66.24-86.980.55-57.03-68.930.03-50.0-80.00.03-40.0-57.140.68-58.02-77.630.55-57.03-68.93--0.00
20Q3 (4)240.00.00.205.260.00.16-38.460.00.8729.850.03.71-15.490.05.760.880.01.57-20.30.01.2823.080.00.06-33.330.00.050.00.01.6223.660.01.2823.080.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)249.090.00.19-62.00.00.26-25.710.00.6734.00.04.39-42.080.05.7144.190.01.978.240.01.04-30.20.00.09-35.710.00.05-54.550.01.31-29.950.01.04-30.20.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)220.00.00.5061.290.00.350.00.00.50-24.240.07.58102.670.03.96-51.410.01.82-55.280.01.49-15.820.00.14-6.670.00.1157.140.01.87-38.490.01.49-15.820.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)220.00.00.310.00.00.350.00.00.660.00.03.740.00.08.150.00.04.070.00.01.770.00.00.150.00.00.070.00.03.040.00.01.770.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.527.25253.2239.77117.5317.33N/A本期及累計營收增加主要係記憶體模組訂單交貨所致
2024/104.32-42.5675.6734.27104.9116.69N/A本期及累計營收增加主要係記憶體模組訂單交貨所致
2024/97.5254.89406.7329.95109.9518.010.25本期及累計營收增加主要係記憶體模組訂單交貨所致
2024/84.85-13.93170.6722.4375.512.040.37本期及累計營收增加主要係記憶體模組訂單交貨所致
2024/75.64263.91301.3417.5859.978.930.5本期及累計營收增加主要係記憶體模組訂單交貨所致
2024/61.55-10.89-19.1811.9424.584.622.04-
2024/51.7430.98-37.7310.3935.534.811.96-
2024/41.33-23.9922.298.6577.536.691.41累計營收較去年同期增加主要係伺服器營收增加所致
2024/31.75-51.7231.187.3293.367.320.47累計營收較去年同期增加主要係伺服器訂單於本季交貨所致
2024/23.6284.82171.265.58127.087.040.49本月及累計營收較去年同期增加主要係伺服器訂單於本月交貨所致
2024/11.9634.1974.541.9674.544.970.7本月營收較去年同期增加主要係記憶體產品銷售增加
2023/121.46-6.2113.8619.74-36.755.470.28-
2023/111.56-36.7-34.9118.28-38.925.50.28-
2023/102.4665.6770.3516.72-39.275.730.27本月營收較去年同期增加主要係記憶體產品銷售增加所致
2023/91.48-17.26-18.014.27-45.334.680.61-
2023/81.7927.61-24.3412.78-47.365.120.56-
2023/71.41-26.72-7.6710.99-49.856.120.46-
2023/61.92-31.34-16.319.58-53.05.80.47累計營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2023/52.79157.25-28.277.67-57.655.210.52累計營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2023/41.09-18.47-65.24.87-65.73.750.73本月及累計營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2023/31.33-0.17-67.223.79-65.843.790.29本月及累計營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2023/21.3318.92-52.262.46-65.043.740.29本月營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2023/11.12-12.45-73.471.12-73.474.790.23本月營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2022/121.28-46.39-61.8631.217.025.110.38本月營收較去年同期減少主要係記憶體及板卡產品市況不佳所致
2022/112.3965.65-32.8629.9316.05.640.34-
2022/101.44-20.25-37.6127.5423.825.620.34-
2022/91.81-23.66-24.2726.130.955.70.48-
2022/82.3755.7522.3724.2938.476.180.44-
2022/71.52-33.57-19.6721.9240.477.710.35-
2022/62.29-41.15-3.0620.3948.799.310.52-
2022/53.8924.79122.7818.159.5911.080.43本月及累計營收增加主要係記憶體產品銷售增加
2022/43.12-23.2266.1214.2148.089.980.48本月記憶體產品及板卡銷售業績較去年同期成長
2022/34.0645.4136.8811.0943.6911.090.78本月板卡及記憶體產品因客戶備貨營收增加
2022/22.79-33.9128.057.0217.0510.380.83-
2022/14.2325.8810.774.2310.7711.150.77-
2021/123.36-5.62-2.1329.1633.399.230.71-
2021/113.5653.93124.5825.840.08.260.79本月記憶體產品及板卡銷售業績成長
2021/102.31-3.1999.9222.2432.046.640.98本月板卡及記憶體產品較去年同期營收增加
2021/92.3923.35128.3419.9327.046.221.06本月板卡及記憶體產品因客戶備貨營收增加
2021/81.942.2451.617.5419.86.21.06本月營收增加主要來自板卡及記憶體產品銷售增加
2021/71.89-19.8439.9715.616.756.011.1-
2021/62.3635.2378.8813.7114.145.990.51本月營收增加主要來自板卡及記憶體產品銷售增加
2021/51.75-6.949.611.346.135.340.58-
2021/41.889.4826.279.595.535.780.53-
2021/31.72-21.4-50.457.721.477.720.32本月記憶體產品因產品漲價訂單延遲致營收減少
2021/22.18-42.83-18.166.044.879.430.26-
2021/13.8211.21158.863.82158.868.840.28較去年同期增加主要係記憶體及板卡產品營收成長
2020/123.43116.56171.4521.8617.666.180.48當月營收較去年增加係記憶體及板卡營收增加
2020/111.5937.0344.7518.436.433.790.78-
2020/101.1610.56-17.816.843.843.480.85-
2020/91.05-18.1-50.9815.695.93.680.66本月記憶體產品因客戶需求減少致營收減少
2020/81.28-5.59-54.0714.6415.473.950.61本月記憶體產品因客戶需求減少致營收減少
2020/71.352.43-28.3613.3635.034.270.56-
2020/61.32-17.1414.7612.0149.994.40.44-
2020/51.597.2157.5910.6955.96.540.29營收較去年增加係記憶體營收增加
2020/41.49-57.03-11.789.0955.617.620.25累計營收較去年增加係記憶體及板卡營收增加
2020/33.4629.81150.687.682.957.60.32當月及累計營收較去年增加係記憶體營收增加
2020/22.6780.8174.744.1449.255.410.45本月板卡及記憶體產品因客戶備貨營收增加
2020/11.4816.6218.091.4818.090.0N/A-
2019/121.2615.4839.0618.58-51.80.0N/A累計營收較去年減少係記憶體及板卡營收下降
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)297.412.2719.472.39-1.2419.74-36.758.4247.24.6361.893.30102.450.912.250.8224.240.6527.45
2022 (9)278.01.90-19.492.4253.1631.217.035.7221.192.8637.51.63-18.910.8945.90.66-7.040.51-13.56
2021 (8)254.172.36131.371.5895.0629.1633.394.729.012.0844.442.0182.730.6190.620.71136.670.59145.83
2020 (7)249.091.0254.550.8119.1221.8617.844.33-4.421.442.861.1042.860.3223.080.357.890.2471.43
2019 (6)2237.50.66-76.510.68-55.2618.55-51.884.5354.611.4016.670.77-31.860.26-43.480.19-55.810.14-68.18
2018 (5)1614.292.81-15.871.5217.8338.5521.882.93-19.511.20-6.981.13-20.980.4612.20.43-4.440.44-2.22
2017 (4)140.03.34119.741.29168.7531.63118.143.64-33.71.2937.231.430.70.41192.860.45125.00.45114.29
2016 (3)1416.671.52-31.530.48-35.1414.5-9.095.49-12.720.94-42.331.42-16.960.14-46.150.2-33.330.21-22.22
2015 (2)120.02.221918.180.74015.9568.786.2920.51.6301.711215.380.2600.31400.00.272600.0
2014 (1)129.090.11-93.64-0.1009.4564.065.220-0.1800.130-0.0200.02-91.30.01-94.74

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