玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.07-21.94-1.720.821.770.26N/A-
2024/90.09-16.951.290.752.10.290.45-
2024/80.1114.28-3.150.662.20.270.48-
2024/70.0923.622.860.563.290.240.53-
2024/60.07-2.02-2.880.463.380.220.49-
2024/50.086.07.280.394.680.230.48-
2024/40.07-10.544.020.314.060.230.48-
2024/30.083.220.830.244.070.240.5-
2024/20.08-5.64-4.030.165.780.240.5-
2024/10.083.7217.080.0817.080.240.5-
2023/120.083.747.450.963.230.230.49-
2023/110.0810.26.080.882.870.230.47-
2023/100.07-19.55-0.240.812.570.270.41-
2023/90.09-20.62.50.742.840.290.42-
2023/80.1121.48.570.652.890.280.43-
2023/70.0916.713.980.541.810.240.5-
2023/60.088.2210.080.451.390.220.6-
2023/50.072.781.780.37-0.230.220.59-
2023/40.07-13.29-2.510.3-0.70.230.56-
2023/30.08-1.75-4.730.23-0.150.230.6-
2023/20.0815.1112.040.152.640.230.62-
2023/10.07-5.54-6.420.07-6.420.220.64-
2022/120.073.5-11.470.93-8.490.220.69-
2022/110.073.361.10.86-8.220.230.66-
2022/100.07-17.32-0.450.78-8.990.260.57-
2022/90.08-22.35-4.160.71-9.750.280.54-
2022/80.1125.93-8.520.63-10.450.260.57-
2022/70.0924.78-11.820.53-9.350.230.66-
2022/60.07-1.05-5.580.43-10.650.210.62-
2022/50.070.18-9.260.37-11.550.220.6-
2022/40.07-9.41-9.20.3-12.080.220.59-
2022/30.086.33-9.520.23-12.930.230.4-
2022/20.07-3.85-8.790.15-14.620.220.41-
2022/10.086.14-19.550.08-19.550.220.41-
2021/120.07-0.48-19.171.0-0.260.210.47-
2021/110.071.76-5.310.931.540.230.43-
2021/100.07-20.4-2.340.862.150.280.36-
2021/90.09-25.88-19.370.792.570.310.29-
2021/80.1221.389.10.76.20.290.31-
2021/70.133.61-2.910.585.620.250.36-
2021/60.07-4.914.90.497.530.230.53-
2021/50.080.24-4.510.416.320.240.5-
2021/40.08-9.734.510.349.170.240.5-
2021/30.097.19-1.520.2610.640.260.46-
2021/20.08-15.192.220.1717.810.260.46-
2021/10.096.6335.30.0935.30.260.47-
2020/120.0916.58-0.241.01-6.840.240.51-
2020/110.084.94-19.440.92-7.430.260.47-
2020/100.07-34.28-10.760.84-6.180.290.41-
2020/90.110.3-7.190.77-5.730.320.34-
2020/80.118.0-11.460.66-5.480.270.4-
2020/70.158.141.470.55-4.210.250.45-
2020/60.06-20.97-16.870.45-5.390.220.46-
2020/50.089.73-3.650.39-3.190.240.41-
2020/40.07-14.95-10.920.31-3.070.240.42-
2020/30.0911.275.460.23-0.30.230.43-
2020/20.0812.2511.880.15-3.410.240.42-
2020/10.07-21.38-16.270.07-16.270.250.4-
2019/120.09-5.84-14.591.0827.770.0N/A-
2019/110.0916.2513.960.9933.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.082023/10.072022/10.082021/10.092020/10.07
2024/20.082023/20.082022/20.072021/20.082020/20.08
2024/30.082023/30.082022/30.082021/30.092020/30.09
2024/40.072023/40.072022/40.072021/40.082020/40.07
2024/50.082023/50.072022/50.072021/50.082020/50.08
2024/60.072023/60.082022/60.072021/60.072020/60.06
2024/70.092023/70.092022/70.092021/70.12020/70.1
2024/80.112023/80.112022/80.112021/80.122020/80.11
2024/90.092023/90.092022/90.082021/90.092020/90.11
2024/100.072023/100.072022/100.072021/100.072020/100.07
N/AN/A2023/110.082022/110.072021/110.072020/110.08
N/AN/A2023/120.082022/120.072021/120.072020/120.09
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.56%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0433.330.0
24Q2 (19)0.030.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-25.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.040.033.33
23Q3 (16)0.0433.3333.33
23Q2 (15)0.030.0200.0
23Q1 (14)0.030.0-57.14
22Q4 (13)0.030.0-25.0
22Q3 (12)0.03200.050.0
22Q2 (11)0.01-85.71-80.0
22Q1 (10)0.0775.0133.33
21Q4 (9)0.04100.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.02-60.0-80.0
21Q2 (7)0.0566.67-54.55
21Q1 (6)0.03-25.0-96.77
20Q4 (5)0.04-60.0-95.7
20Q3 (4)0.1-9.090.0
20Q2 (3)0.11-88.170.0
20Q1 (2)0.930.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.930.00.0

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