玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1069.778.9110.69666.9-0.65202.94N/A-
2024/964.06-7.3-11.57597.13-1.82201.240.74-
2024/869.111.5212.01533.07-0.5205.340.72-
2024/768.07-0.1210.02463.96-2.13203.450.73-
2024/668.151.38-5.21395.89-3.96198.960.7-
2024/567.235.730.5327.73-3.69201.680.69-
2024/463.58-10.28-1.25260.5-4.72198.810.7-
2024/370.8710.12-5.68196.92-5.79196.920.7-
2024/264.364.3-4.4126.05-5.85208.960.66-
2024/161.7-25.58-7.3261.7-7.32210.090.66-
2023/1282.9126.623.03819.660.11211.430.59-
2023/1165.493.89-7.11736.75-1.93200.960.62-
2023/1063.03-12.99-15.0671.26-1.4197.180.64-
2023/972.4517.420.6608.230.25196.010.56-
2023/861.7-0.28-17.29535.790.21195.470.56-
2023/761.87-13.95-11.17474.093.05200.660.54-
2023/671.97.49-0.89412.225.58203.180.54-
2023/566.893.87-3.26340.327.06206.420.53-
2023/464.39-14.35.54273.439.94206.860.53-
2023/375.1411.6212.36209.0411.37209.040.53-
2023/267.321.129.7133.8910.81201.280.55-
2023/166.57-1.211.9766.5711.97204.470.54-
2022/1267.39-4.4212.66818.7118.92212.050.51-
2022/1170.5-4.9213.54751.3319.52216.670.5-
2022/1074.162.9825.83680.8220.17220.770.49-
2022/972.01-3.4615.2606.6619.52216.260.47-
2022/874.67.0928.1534.6520.12216.80.47-
2022/769.66-3.9927.85460.0618.92211.350.48-
2022/672.554.9216.5390.417.46202.710.48-
2022/569.1413.3328.17317.8517.68197.030.49-
2022/461.01-8.769.7248.715.06189.250.52-
2022/366.878.978.14187.6916.92187.690.49-
2022/261.373.2123.75120.8222.43180.630.51-
2022/159.45-0.5921.0959.4521.09181.360.5-
2021/1259.81-3.679.03688.4112.12180.840.48-
2021/1162.15.3620.82628.612.42183.540.47-
2021/1058.93-5.7116.07566.511.57179.670.48-
2021/962.517.3413.19507.5711.07175.220.46-
2021/858.236.8817.19445.0610.78174.990.46-
2021/754.48-12.5111.43386.839.88170.70.47-
2021/662.2715.4412.95332.359.63171.830.46-
2021/553.94-3.015.18270.088.89171.40.46-
2021/455.62-10.0614.86216.147.42167.040.48-
2021/361.8424.79.07160.525.06160.520.48-
2021/249.590.992.3398.682.7153.540.51-
2021/149.1-10.53.0849.13.08155.350.5-
2020/1254.866.733.6613.97-6.27157.030.5-
2020/1151.391.222.61559.11-7.14157.390.5-
2020/1050.77-8.052.8507.72-8.03155.680.51-
2020/955.2211.13-3.14456.95-9.09153.790.53-
2020/849.691.63-7.07401.73-9.85153.70.53-
2020/748.89-11.32-3.35352.04-10.23150.850.54-
2020/655.1317.71-4.15303.15-11.25150.380.51-
2020/546.83-3.27-15.41248.02-12.69151.940.51-
2020/448.42-14.6-9.79201.19-12.03153.560.5-
2020/356.6917.0-9.89152.78-12.72152.780.47-
2020/248.451.73-10.096.08-14.3149.030.48-
2020/147.63-10.05-18.2847.63-18.28150.670.48-
2019/1252.955.71-12.85655.1-5.380.0N/A-
2019/1150.091.41-13.83602.15-4.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/161.72023/166.572022/159.452021/149.12020/147.63
2024/264.362023/267.322022/261.372021/249.592020/248.45
2024/370.872023/375.142022/366.872021/361.842020/356.69
2024/463.582023/464.392022/461.012021/455.622020/448.42
2024/567.232023/566.892022/569.142021/553.942020/546.83
2024/668.152023/671.92022/672.552021/662.272020/655.13
2024/768.072023/761.872022/769.662021/754.482020/748.89
2024/869.112023/861.72022/874.62021/858.232020/849.69
2024/964.062023/972.452022/972.012021/962.512020/955.22
2024/1069.772023/1063.032022/1074.162021/1058.932020/1050.77
N/AN/A2023/1165.492022/1170.52021/1162.12020/1151.39
N/AN/A2023/1282.912022/1267.392021/1259.812020/1254.86
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 166.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)106.854.366.08
24Q2 (19)102.39-3.576.9
24Q1 (18)106.181.185.01
23Q4 (17)104.944.18-0.19
23Q3 (16)100.735.17-0.4
23Q2 (15)95.78-5.270.56
23Q1 (14)101.11-3.8321.72
22Q4 (13)105.143.9741.89
22Q3 (12)101.136.1765.11
22Q2 (11)95.2514.6682.68
22Q1 (10)83.0712.1179.73
21Q4 (9)74.120.9896.87
21Q3 (8)61.2517.4755.26
21Q2 (7)52.1412.8135.78
21Q1 (6)46.2222.7914.26
20Q4 (5)37.64-4.59-8.84
20Q3 (4)39.452.730.0
20Q2 (3)38.4-5.070.0
20Q1 (2)40.45-2.030.0
19Q4 (1)41.290.00.0

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