玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.16-3.4527.411.6125.00.5N/A-
2024/90.16-10.7447.031.4524.740.531.37-
2024/80.18-1.6230.651.2922.390.531.38-
2024/70.1915.563.891.1121.120.491.487月營收比去年同期增加之原因為相關客戶之庫存已於今年Q1出清,Q2開始重新下單。7月份出貨開始增加所致
2024/60.169.7233.540.9215.050.471.44-
2024/50.15-10.1519.770.7611.770.471.45-
2024/40.161.518.160.6110.010.461.47-
2024/30.1615.4722.340.457.310.451.4-
2024/20.14-6.28-3.840.290.420.461.38-
2024/10.15-12.724.780.154.780.471.33-
2023/120.1710.587.281.61-31.660.451.45-
2023/110.1524.533.131.44-34.470.391.67-
2023/100.1211.41-13.191.29-38.230.371.74-
2023/90.11-20.68-17.241.16-40.060.361.51-
2023/80.1423.4-11.591.05-41.760.371.47-
2023/70.11-5.88-40.940.91-44.650.361.54-
2023/60.12-1.58-32.240.8-45.140.381.57-
2023/50.12-11.36-40.790.68-46.940.391.53-
2023/40.145.09-58.150.56-48.130.411.45業績衰退,因客戶庫存水位仍高且中國受美經濟制裁,外銷訂單銳減,導致訂單及出貨延遲。
2023/30.13-9.24-41.910.42-43.670.421.48-
2023/20.142.13-45.390.29-44.440.451.39-
2023/10.14-10.64-43.440.14-43.440.421.49-
2022/120.1637.23-41.982.36-46.060.421.61-
2022/110.12-18.82-65.072.2-46.330.391.71高通膨壓抑全球消費力道,消費性產品尤為嚴重,加上代理商庫存水位高,影響出貨。
2022/100.146.22-61.832.08-44.690.431.54高通膨壓抑全球消費力道,消費性產品尤為嚴重,加上中國不斷封控及代理商庫存水位高,影響出貨。
2022/90.13-15.27-65.291.94-42.80.481.59高通膨壓抑全球消費力道,消費性產品尤為嚴重,加上中國不斷封控及代理商庫存水位高,影響出貨。
2022/80.16-17.56-61.241.81-39.910.531.46高通膨壓抑全球消費力道,消費性產品尤為嚴重,加上中國不斷封控及代理商庫存水位高,影響出貨。
2022/70.197.97-49.531.65-36.560.581.34-
2022/60.18-14.0-58.01.46-34.340.710.95高通膨壓抑消費力道,全球經濟活動放緩,消費性產品遭上游客戶砍單,加上中國封城影響,代理商庫存水位高,工廠停滯,影響出貨。
2022/50.21-37.35-45.651.28-28.760.760.89-
2022/40.3345.87-8.311.07-24.220.820.83-
2022/30.23-14.69-29.950.74-29.640.740.94-
2022/20.275.8-16.550.52-29.510.790.89-
2022/10.25-8.34-39.450.25-39.450.860.82-
2021/120.27-17.3813.684.37-6.410.980.73-
2021/110.33-11.27-22.484.1-7.51.090.65-
2021/100.37-3.42-11.593.77-5.91.170.61-
2021/90.39-5.38-10.453.39-5.231.180.47-
2021/80.417.33-3.533.01-4.521.210.45-
2021/70.38-10.14-27.542.6-4.671.180.46-
2021/60.4211.28-20.522.220.781.160.54-
2021/50.385.69-12.181.87.581.060.59-
2021/40.3611.44-11.821.4114.511.00.63-
2021/30.321.61-29.281.0527.511.050.76-
2021/20.32-23.2365.620.7397.530.970.82去年2月因受新冠肺炎影嚮,大陸客戶及加工廠復工率低,無法正常出貨,今年2月年後準時開工,且出貨正常,故較去年營收成長
2021/10.4172.1131.810.41131.811.080.741月份營收增加之原因為受2月份農曆春節假期影響工作天數減少,客戶需求提前於1月份出貨。
2020/120.24-43.67-23.354.6717.081.090.81-
2020/110.431.1716.314.4320.531.280.69-
2020/100.42-2.1741.774.021.01.280.69-
2020/90.431.9323.243.5818.951.380.64-
2020/80.42-19.38-13.353.1518.381.480.59-
2020/70.53-1.4257.972.7325.531.490.59因疫情持續升溫,本公司健康醫療系列產品體溫計IC熱賣及優化產品組合,故營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2020/60.5322.9555.942.219.661.370.59因疫情持續升溫,本公司健康醫療系列產品體溫計IC熱賣,故營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2020/50.436.128.221.6711.391.30.62-
2020/40.41-10.6114.651.2412.551.060.77-
2020/30.46137.9832.080.8311.530.830.98-
2020/20.197.4418.650.37-6.40.681.18-
2020/10.18-43.09-23.710.18-23.710.860.94-
2019/120.31-14.5249.443.998.840.0N/A-
2019/110.3723.33-1.713.686.370.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.152023/10.142022/10.252021/10.412020/10.18
2024/20.142023/20.142022/20.272021/20.322020/20.19
2024/30.162023/30.132022/30.232021/30.322020/30.46
2024/40.162023/40.142022/40.332021/40.362020/40.41
2024/50.152023/50.122022/50.212021/50.382020/50.43
2024/60.162023/60.122022/60.182021/60.422020/60.53
2024/70.192023/70.112022/70.192021/70.382020/70.53
2024/80.182023/80.142022/80.162021/80.412020/80.42
2024/90.162023/90.112022/90.132021/90.392020/90.43
2024/100.162023/100.122022/100.142021/100.372020/100.42
N/AN/A2023/110.152022/110.122021/110.332020/110.43
N/AN/A2023/120.172022/120.162021/120.272020/120.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.41%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.01-50.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.020.0100.0
24Q1 (18)0.020.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.02100.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.010.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.01-50.0-75.0
23Q1 (14)0.020.0-60.0
22Q4 (13)0.020.0-60.0
22Q3 (12)0.02-50.0-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.04-20.0100.0
22Q1 (10)0.050.0400.0
21Q4 (9)0.0566.670
21Q3 (8)0.0350.00
21Q2 (7)0.02100.00
21Q1 (6)0.0100

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