玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.6218.8619.4714.9720.064.58N/A-
2024/91.36-15.23.0613.3520.134.841.12-
2024/81.6-14.1933.4911.9922.435.091.06-
2024/71.8715.7162.5310.3820.885.391.01去年同期客戶庫存水位過高,今年則恢復正常拉貨
2024/61.62-15.1346.168.5114.444.941.08-
2024/51.934.0440.966.98.914.651.15-
2024/41.427.618.124.990.223.771.42-
2024/31.3228.531.333.57-2.63.571.58-
2024/21.03-16.23-14.952.25-4.783.681.54-
2024/11.23-14.085.821.235.824.071.39-
2023/121.430.81-7.3415.31-12.314.21.36-
2023/111.424.57-6.9413.88-12.794.091.39-
2023/101.352.54-8.7412.47-13.413.881.47-
2023/91.329.83-9.9311.11-13.953.671.61-
2023/81.24.46-15.059.79-14.463.461.71-
2023/71.154.06-18.148.59-14.383.611.64-
2023/61.11-18.156.87.44-13.773.771.69-
2023/51.352.8118.216.33-16.573.971.61-
2023/41.310.85-7.634.98-22.743.821.67-
2023/31.37.86-13.923.67-27.013.671.99-
2023/21.214.23-29.02.37-32.653.911.87-
2023/11.16-24.77-36.071.16-36.074.221.73-
2022/121.541.24-12.1417.462.284.551.64-
2022/111.522.55-17.3915.923.934.471.67-
2022/101.481.2-13.3214.46.844.361.71-
2022/91.473.58-9.7712.919.784.291.9-
2022/81.420.66-6.611.4512.913.862.11-
2022/71.4135.78-6.5510.0316.353.582.27-
2022/61.04-9.41-24.058.6321.193.62.08-
2022/51.14-19.65-13.497.5931.94.081.83-
2022/41.42-6.010.626.4545.434.641.61-
2022/31.51-11.0315.875.0366.395.031.43市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2022/21.7-6.14112.223.51104.855.271.37市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2022/11.813.3998.381.8198.385.411.33市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/121.75-4.8106.0617.0745.15.311.25市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/111.847.6125.1915.3240.355.181.28市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/101.715.34102.3713.4733.484.851.37市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/91.627.22100.2511.7627.184.641.3市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/81.520.7287.8610.1420.154.381.38市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/71.510.3479.918.6213.04.191.44市場需求逐步回溫﹝去年同期受疫情影響﹞
2021/61.363.1934.447.124.764.11.1-
2021/51.32-6.5430.485.76-0.434.041.11-
2021/41.418.2225.334.43-7.03.521.28-
2021/31.3162.9311.23.02-17.013.021.25-
2021/20.8-12.26-34.31.72-30.452.571.47-
2021/10.917.39-26.680.91-26.682.581.46-
2020/120.854.02-50.0911.76-34.722.511.42客戶拉貨受新冠疫情影響而延遲。
2020/110.82-3.3-51.2910.91-33.122.471.44客戶拉貨受新冠疫情影響而延遲
2020/100.854.24-50.310.09-31.032.461.45客戶拉貨受新冠疫情影響而延遲。
2020/90.810.58-50.89.25-28.52.451.53客戶拉貨受新冠疫情影響而延遲。
2020/80.81-3.52-50.648.44-25.242.661.41客戶拉貨受新冠疫情影響而延遲
2020/70.84-17.53-40.497.63-20.942.861.31-
2020/61.010.14-28.596.8-17.613.151.25-
2020/51.01-10.23-22.745.78-15.323.311.19-
2020/41.13-3.97-14.24.77-13.563.521.12-
2020/31.17-3.74-10.413.64-13.363.641.02-
2020/21.22-2.07-4.062.47-14.74.170.89-
2020/11.25-26.9-23.061.25-23.064.630.8-
2019/121.71.533.1318.02-13.020.0N/A-
2019/111.68-1.32-8.9916.32-14.420.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.232023/11.162022/11.812021/10.912020/11.25
2024/21.032023/21.212022/21.72021/20.82020/21.22
2024/31.322023/31.32022/31.512021/31.312020/31.17
2024/41.422023/41.312022/41.422021/41.412020/41.13
2024/51.92023/51.352022/51.142021/51.322020/51.01
2024/61.622023/61.112022/61.042021/61.362020/61.01
2024/71.872023/71.152022/71.412021/71.52020/70.84
2024/81.62023/81.22022/81.422021/81.522020/80.81
2024/91.362023/91.322022/91.472021/91.622020/90.81
2024/101.622023/101.352022/101.482021/101.712020/100.85
N/AN/A2023/111.422022/111.522021/111.842020/110.82
N/AN/A2023/121.432022/121.542021/121.752020/120.85
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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