玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.67.48-16.4680.46-11.9923.2N/A-
2024/106.14-41.25-34.1473.86-11.5723.32N/A-
2024/910.4655.4719.6567.72-8.7325.020.97-
2024/86.72-14.23-19.657.27-12.5222.871.06-
2024/77.84-5.580.1850.54-11.4923.281.04-
2024/68.316.42-7.6642.7-13.3422.21.15-
2024/57.135.41-21.9734.4-14.6119.621.3-
2024/46.7718.3-19.2327.26-12.4519.671.3-
2024/35.72-20.41-34.1420.5-9.9520.51.18-
2024/27.19-5.33-19.2314.784.9627.940.87-
2024/17.59-42.3246.57.5946.528.650.84-
2023/1213.1666.545.03104.5923.2830.390.96-
2023/117.9-15.2612.0391.4326.4425.971.13-
2023/109.336.7271.383.5328.026.431.11本月營收較去年同期增加,主係本期依完工比例認列之工程收入較去年同期增加。
2023/98.744.4625.7574.2124.0624.931.1-
2023/88.366.8838.4565.4723.8425.181.08-
2023/77.83-12.988.1257.121.9525.961.05-
2023/68.99-1.6114.9749.2824.4826.510.98-
2023/59.149.1131.3240.2826.8226.21.0-
2023/48.38-3.5352.6431.1425.5625.961.0本月營收較去年同期增加,主係本期依完工比例認列之工程收入較去年同期增加。
2023/38.68-2.3936.0522.7617.8622.761.03-
2023/28.971.7113.0614.088.8826.430.89-
2023/15.18-58.042.385.182.3824.590.95-
2022/1212.3575.1112.5384.6637.524.850.93-
2022/117.0529.5544.2872.3142.9219.451.19-
2022/105.44-21.649.0965.2642.7818.431.26-
2022/96.9515.0119.0959.8146.9120.231.12-
2022/86.04-16.5360.1652.8651.5621.11.07營業收入增加,主係本期出售房地存貨認列收入及以完工比例認列收入,因比例增加致認列之收入相對提升。
2022/77.24-7.4750.2146.8250.5222.021.03營業收入增加,主係本期出售房地存貨認列收入及以完工比例認列收入,因比例增加致認列之收入相對提升。
2022/67.8212.3744.8239.5850.5720.270.64營業收入增加,主係本期出售房地存貨認列收入及以完工比例認列收入,因比例增加致認列之收入相對提升。
2022/56.9626.8326.631.7652.0618.830.69營業收入增加,主係本期出售房地存貨認列收入及以完工比例認列收入,因比例增加致認列之收入相對提升。
2022/45.49-14.0227.8124.861.1619.740.65營業收入增加,主係本期出售房地存貨認列收入及以完工比例認列收入,因比例增加致認列之收入相對提升。
2022/36.38-18.8826.8419.3174.0719.310.67營業收入增加,主係本期出售房地存貨認列收入及以完工比例認列收入,因比例增加致認列之收入相對提升。
2022/27.8755.49194.5812.93113.2723.90.54營業收入增加,主係本月出售房地存貨認列收入所致。
2022/15.06-53.8449.225.0649.2220.910.62-
2021/1210.97124.3126.1961.5614.1420.840.92-
2021/114.89-2.0421.3550.5911.8315.711.22-
2021/104.99-14.4630.4945.710.914.61.32-
2021/95.8354.6733.5540.718.8914.420.73-
2021/83.77-21.71-0.8434.885.6313.990.76-
2021/74.82-10.7822.2731.116.4715.720.67-
2021/65.4-1.7630.7226.294.0115.190.62-
2021/55.528.04-0.7120.89-1.214.820.63-
2021/44.29-14.676.2215.39-1.3712.00.78-
2021/35.0388.38-8.9411.09-4.0311.090.96-
2021/22.67-21.23-21.526.060.4514.720.72-
2021/13.39-60.8428.893.3928.8916.080.66-
2020/128.66115.0314.7953.9-2.3416.510.66-
2020/114.035.32-3.045.24-5.0512.220.89-
2020/103.82-12.4520.8741.21-5.2512.00.91-
2020/94.3714.8326.7237.39-7.312.111.12-
2020/83.8-3.45-17.3633.02-10.4811.881.15-
2020/73.94-4.6216.4629.21-9.513.611.0-
2020/64.13-25.39-11.4525.27-12.5413.710.52-
2020/55.5436.9913.8521.14-12.7515.110.47-
2020/44.04-26.85-15.6815.6-19.4312.970.55-
2020/35.5362.34-4.3911.56-20.6611.560.61-
2020/23.429.37-29.146.04-31.3613.550.52-
2020/12.63-65.0-34.042.63-34.040.0N/A-
2019/127.5281.03-14.7155.172.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.592023/15.182022/15.062021/13.392020/12.63
2024/27.192023/28.92022/27.872021/22.672020/23.4
2024/35.722023/38.682022/36.382021/35.032020/35.53
2024/46.772023/48.382022/45.492021/44.292020/44.04
2024/57.132023/59.142022/56.962021/55.52020/55.54
2024/68.32023/68.992022/67.822021/65.42020/64.13
2024/77.842023/77.832022/77.242021/74.822020/73.94
2024/86.722023/88.362022/86.042021/83.772020/83.8
2024/910.462023/98.742022/96.952021/95.832020/94.37
2024/106.142023/109.332022/105.442021/104.992020/103.82
2024/116.62023/117.92022/117.052021/114.892020/114.03
N/AN/A2023/1213.162022/1212.352021/1210.972020/128.66
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 105.87%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)12.0121.9318.91
24Q2 (19)9.8526.7744.43
24Q1 (18)7.77-37.09-11.2
23Q4 (17)12.3522.28-52.15
23Q3 (16)10.148.09-59.27
23Q2 (15)6.82-22.06-76.25
23Q1 (14)8.75-66.1-68.24
22Q4 (13)25.814.07-19.97
22Q3 (12)24.8-13.62-23.1
22Q2 (11)28.714.2122.01
22Q1 (10)27.55-14.5721.26
21Q4 (9)32.250.076.91
21Q3 (8)32.2537.0657.09
21Q2 (7)23.533.57731.45
21Q1 (6)22.7224.63787.5
20Q4 (5)18.23-11.2912.78
20Q3 (4)20.53625.440.0
20Q2 (3)2.8310.550.0
20Q1 (2)2.5642.220.0
19Q4 (1)1.80.00.0

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