玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.69-9.55-19.188.44-6.72.51N/A-
2024/90.76-28.8517.727.76-5.412.973.26-
2024/81.07-7.14-6.677.0-7.383.143.09-
2024/71.1524.15-2.915.93-7.52.823.44-
2024/60.9223.97-4.114.79-8.542.513.64-
2024/50.75-11.294.373.86-9.542.353.89-
2024/40.849.51-11.123.12-12.342.53.66-
2024/30.77-13.9415.662.27-12.782.273.74-
2024/20.8945.010.421.51-22.492.253.78-
2024/10.62-17.36-45.890.62-45.892.014.22-
2023/120.7414.063.410.459.382.253.49-
2023/110.65-23.09-2.619.79.862.153.65-
2023/100.8531.75-1.99.0510.892.632.97-
2023/90.64-43.59-17.588.212.412.972.41-
2023/81.14-3.4-2.387.5616.03.292.18-
2023/71.1822.632.326.4120.032.862.5-
2023/60.9634.9471.65.2324.922.622.45疫情解封後,國內旅遊人次增加,故營收較去年同期成長。
2023/50.71-24.4687.534.2717.692.322.77疫情逐步解封,國內旅遊人次增加,故營收較去年同期成長。
2023/40.9542.5346.283.559.492.422.66-
2023/30.66-17.84-26.552.610.342.612.27-
2023/20.81-28.94-14.141.9414.672.662.23-
2023/11.1457.9350.591.1450.592.532.35112年1月適逢農曆春節旺季,旅遊人次增加,故營收較去年同期成長。
2022/120.727.42-12.799.5517.772.252.53-
2022/110.67-22.53-18.988.8321.242.322.46-
2022/100.8710.690.118.1626.392.822.03-
2022/90.78-33.1919.037.330.453.111.73-
2022/81.171.2590.616.5131.972.891.86因疫情趨緩國人旅遊意願增加,故營收較去年同期增加
2022/71.16105.66320.245.3423.642.12.55110年7月配合三級防疫政策,小墾丁渡假村及海生館暫停營業,故本月營業收入較去年同期增加
2022/60.5647.46243.624.193.491.593.23110年6月配合三級防疫政策,小墾丁度假村及海生館暫停營業,故本月營業收入較去年同期增加
2022/50.38-41.08-17.473.63-6.61.932.66-
2022/40.65-28.43-27.93.25-5.142.492.06-
2022/30.9-3.9624.732.62.942.61.97-
2022/20.9424.62-11.551.7-5.822.522.03-
2022/10.75-8.542.450.752.452.412.13-
2021/120.83-0.2-3.828.11-31.092.522.07-
2021/110.83-4.273.387.28-33.232.352.22-
2021/100.8631.61-19.146.46-36.132.132.44-
2021/90.666.96-27.945.59-38.141.553.29-
2021/80.61123.22-63.694.94-39.281.054.84受疫情影響
2021/70.2768.17-82.694.32-32.880.95.66受疫情影響
2021/60.16-64.58-85.214.05-16.561.523.23受疫情影響
2021/50.46-48.53-29.513.883.712.082.36-
2021/40.923.8170.263.4210.752.681.83疫情趨緩,國人旅遊意願提高,故營收較去年同期成長。
2021/30.72-31.928.332.52-1.482.521.95-
2021/21.0644.3622.951.8-9.92.661.85-
2021/10.74-14.14-34.980.74-34.982.42.05-
2020/120.867.28-5.4711.77-13.12.731.81-
2020/110.8-25.13-13.3610.91-13.642.781.78-
2020/101.0717.28-18.3810.11-13.673.671.35-
2020/90.91-46.1-12.129.04-13.074.190.65-
2020/81.696.3925.218.13-13.184.390.62-
2020/71.5943.694.176.44-19.653.350.82-
2020/61.1168.85-11.824.85-25.252.291.19-
2020/50.6524.32-30.013.74-28.471.751.56-
2020/40.53-6.67-48.783.09-28.131.961.4-
2020/30.56-34.76-40.752.56-21.642.561.07-
2020/20.87-23.66-39.662.0-13.792.910.94-
2020/11.1324.8128.151.1328.152.960.92-
2019/120.91-1.67-11.213.54-5.840.0N/A-
2019/110.92-29.46-1.412.63-5.430.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.622023/11.142022/10.752021/10.742020/11.13
2024/20.892023/20.812022/20.942021/21.062020/20.87
2024/30.772023/30.662022/30.92021/30.722020/30.56
2024/40.842023/40.952022/40.652021/40.92020/40.53
2024/50.752023/50.712022/50.382021/50.462020/50.65
2024/60.922023/60.962022/60.562021/60.162020/61.11
2024/71.152023/71.182022/71.162021/70.272020/71.59
2024/81.072023/81.142022/81.172021/80.612020/81.69
2024/90.762023/90.642022/90.782021/90.662020/90.91
2024/100.692023/100.852022/100.872021/100.862020/101.07
N/AN/A2023/110.652022/110.672021/110.832020/110.8
N/AN/A2023/120.742022/120.722021/120.832020/120.86
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.53%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.131.6222.27
24Q2 (19)3.087.3219.38
24Q1 (18)2.8713.8921.61
23Q4 (17)2.52-1.5615.6
23Q3 (16)2.56-0.7819.63
23Q2 (15)2.589.3220.0
23Q1 (14)2.368.2614.01
22Q4 (13)2.181.8728.99
22Q3 (12)2.14-0.47386.36
22Q2 (11)2.153.86424.39
22Q1 (10)2.0722.49360.0
21Q4 (9)1.69284.09312.2
21Q3 (8)0.447.322.33
21Q2 (7)0.41-8.89-14.58
21Q1 (6)0.459.7640.62
20Q4 (5)0.41-4.655.13
20Q3 (4)0.43-10.420.0
20Q2 (3)0.4850.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.32-17.950.0
19Q4 (1)0.390.00.0

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