玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.826.67-0.6116.56-14.254.42N/A-
2024/101.4217.99-18.5614.76-15.664.08N/A-
2024/91.2-17.44-4.6513.34-15.344.191.34-
2024/81.46-4.26-36.3312.13-16.274.31.31-
2024/71.5215.68-5.3110.67-12.514.211.34-
2024/61.32-3.5-17.129.15-13.64.181.06-
2024/51.36-8.72-6.377.83-12.984.241.04-
2024/41.57.99-14.946.47-14.254.70.94-
2024/31.38-23.8-12.624.97-14.054.970.97-
2024/21.822.5424.443.59-14.595.630.85-
2024/11.77-13.19-35.371.77-35.375.620.86-
2023/122.0412.74-32.3721.3510.125.60.83-
2023/111.813.79-0.7219.3117.964.820.97-
2023/101.7438.153.6417.520.35.30.88-
2023/91.26-44.88-13.715.7622.485.160.99-
2023/82.2942.3720.8514.4927.125.490.93-
2023/71.611.25-4.8312.228.384.661.1-
2023/61.599.0236.4710.5935.564.810.76-
2023/51.46-17.0853.239.035.414.80.76疫情趨緩及RBK挹注所致
2023/41.7610.9459.897.5532.434.80.76疫情趨緩及RBK挹注所致
2023/31.588.5122.555.7925.865.790.75-
2023/21.46-46.745.694.227.167.220.6-
2023/12.74-9.1642.592.7442.597.580.57-
2022/123.0265.5295.119.3927.146.530.68新品牌RBK挹注,大型團購訂單
2022/111.828.36-4.416.3719.474.970.89-
2022/101.6815.012.4614.5523.335.040.88-
2022/91.46-22.8144.6612.8626.715.050.97-
2022/81.912.1150.4911.424.734.751.03疫情趨緩及新品牌挹注效益所致
2022/71.6945.19107.839.520.613.811.28去年受三級警戒疫情影響所致
2022/61.1622.41279.37.8110.563.221.22去年受三級警戒疫情影響所致
2022/50.95-13.48-1.216.65-1.633.341.17-
2022/41.1-14.95-9.845.7-1.73.771.04-
2022/31.29-6.4121.374.60.464.60.65-
2022/21.38-28.15-21.853.3-5.884.850.62-
2022/11.9224.2710.321.9210.325.380.56-
2021/121.55-18.89-32.1215.25-14.55.10.57-
2021/111.9116.159.5413.7-11.924.560.64-
2021/101.6462.38-23.3811.79-14.633.910.74-
2021/91.01-19.7-6.2110.15-13.023.081.25-
2021/81.2654.83-3.359.14-13.722.381.62-
2021/70.81164.98-35.427.88-15.172.081.85-
2021/60.31-68.11-72.37.07-11.992.491.18本月營收較去年同期衰退,係受疫情影響所致。
2021/50.96-21.04-26.386.76-2.343.250.91-
2021/41.2214.4826.285.83.264.050.73-
2021/31.07-39.74-27.04.58-1.524.580.63-
2021/21.771.4284.523.5110.145.790.5本月營業收入較去年同期增加,主係子公司業績大幅成長
2021/11.74-23.54-21.821.74-21.825.760.5-
2020/122.2830.8939.2417.84-6.676.170.47-
2020/111.74-18.75-15.1515.56-10.974.960.58-
2020/102.1498.7616.9713.82-10.414.530.64-
2020/91.08-17.25-27.8911.67-14.113.641.05-
2020/81.33.46-3.1410.59-12.43.671.04-
2020/71.2613.65-4.69.29-13.563.681.04-
2020/61.11-15.26-21.078.03-14.823.380.93-
2020/51.3135.44-14.166.92-13.723.730.84-
2020/40.97-33.82-33.715.61-13.623.380.93-
2020/31.4652.31-1.374.65-7.824.650.79-
2020/20.96-57.02-42.073.19-10.494.810.76-
2020/12.2337.3516.872.2316.870.0N/A-
2019/121.62-20.92-6.5119.112.670.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.772023/12.742022/11.922021/11.742020/12.23
2024/21.822023/21.462022/21.382021/21.772020/20.96
2024/31.382023/31.582022/31.292021/31.072020/31.46
2024/41.52023/41.762022/41.12021/41.222020/40.97
2024/51.362023/51.462022/50.952021/50.962020/51.31
2024/61.322023/61.592022/61.162021/60.312020/61.11
2024/71.522023/71.612022/71.692021/70.812020/71.26
2024/81.462023/82.292022/81.92021/81.262020/81.3
2024/91.22023/91.262022/91.462021/91.012020/91.08
2024/101.422023/101.742022/101.682021/101.642020/102.14
2024/111.82023/111.812022/111.822021/111.912020/111.74
N/AN/A2023/122.042022/123.022021/121.552020/122.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.71%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.060.020.0
24Q2 (19)0.06-50.0100.0
24Q1 (18)0.12140.0100.0
23Q4 (17)0.050.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.0566.6725.0
23Q2 (15)0.03-50.0-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.0620.050.0
22Q4 (13)0.0525.0400.0
22Q3 (12)0.04-33.33100.0
22Q2 (11)0.0650.0-25.0
22Q1 (10)0.04300.0100.0
21Q4 (9)0.01-50.0-80.0
21Q3 (8)0.02-75.00
21Q2 (7)0.08300.0300.0
21Q1 (6)0.02-60.0-71.43
20Q4 (5)0.0500.0

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