玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.96-13.0937.4441.8569.913.73N/A新增子公司營收
2024/94.56-12.36123.1237.8874.2112.420.76新增子公司營收
2024/85.296.28233.4733.3269.1312.670.75新增子公司營收
2024/72.65-44.965.2528.1254.9911.160.85新增子公司營收
2024/64.8230.3532.025.4763.0212.190.82新增子公司營收
2024/53.70.556.9420.6572.4711.80.84新增子公司營收
2024/43.67-16.9628.1716.9699.0511.730.85新增子公司營收
2024/34.4321.927.1613.28135.013.280.69新增子公司營收
2024/23.63-30.52249.818.86307.8913.260.69新增子公司營收
2024/15.2318.74361.085.23361.0812.960.7新增子公司營收
2023/124.431.9252.0232.3741.7110.621.0新增子公司營收
2023/113.3415.6674.6727.9640.228.261.29新增子公司營收及子公司營收增加
2023/102.8841.0790.5624.6336.576.491.64新增子公司營收及子公司營收增加
2023/92.0430.97-19.9621.7531.626.121.52-
2023/81.56-38.04-5.0419.741.067.731.21-
2023/72.52-30.9777.418.1447.219.620.97新增子公司營收
2023/63.655.615.0915.6243.279.970.8-
2023/53.4620.52108.3811.9754.839.80.81新增子公司營收
2023/42.87-17.6241.178.5240.217.391.08-
2023/33.48235.35249.985.6539.725.651.49新增子公司營收
2023/21.04-8.4228.332.17-28.825.071.66-
2023/11.13-60.84-49.441.13-49.445.941.42-
2022/122.8951.58366.3222.84308.246.320.35新增子公司營收
2022/111.9126.18248.0419.94300.995.980.37新增子公司營收
2022/101.51-40.74185.8818.03307.565.710.39新增子公司營收
2022/92.5555.39332.2516.52324.095.620.53新增子公司營收
2022/81.6415.74439.7813.97322.636.230.48新增子公司營收
2022/71.42-55.21485.6912.32310.746.250.48新增子公司營收
2022/63.1791.2354.0810.9295.376.860.37新增子公司營收
2022/51.66-18.34316.757.73275.464.680.54新增子公司營收
2022/42.03104.21316.696.08265.583.830.66新增子公司營收
2022/30.9922.96122.124.04244.374.040.19新增子公司營收
2022/20.81-63.92240.753.05319.683.670.2新增子公司營收
2022/12.24261.12357.972.24357.973.410.22權利金收入增加及新增子公司營收
2021/120.6213.1349.215.592.621.70.45-
2021/110.553.6447.434.97-1.221.670.46-
2021/100.53-10.4-20.624.42-5.11.420.54-
2021/90.5994.0456.743.9-2.511.140.8新增合正科技(5381)營業收入
2021/80.325.58-33.773.3-8.681.250.73-
2021/70.24-65.275.73.0-5.031.340.68-
2021/60.775.48-15.172.76-5.871.580.01-
2021/50.4-18.3657.872.06-2.241.330.01權利金收入增加
2021/40.498.8534.571.66-10.41.170.01-
2021/30.4588.64-5.441.17-21.321.170.01-
2021/20.24-51.5-48.510.73-28.691.140.01-
2021/10.4917.65-12.340.49-12.341.280.01-
2020/120.4211.79-10.125.45-3.621.450.01-
2020/110.37-44.19-22.725.03-3.041.420.01-
2020/100.6776.9121.934.66-1.021.50.01-
2020/90.38-18.0144.984.0-4.041.070.01-
2020/80.46100.46117.653.62-7.31.510.01權利金增加
2020/70.23-72.13-4.893.16-14.451.30.01-
2020/60.82226.63203.942.93-15.121.440.01權利金收入
2020/50.25-30.4-32.72.11-33.771.090.01-
2020/40.36-23.51-25.621.85-33.911.30.01-
2020/30.472.72-27.51.49-35.651.490.01-
2020/20.46-17.44-65.591.02-38.841.480.01權利金減少
2020/10.5620.6470.650.5670.651.50.01銷貨增加
2019/120.46-3.88-72.65.66-33.940.0N/A權利金減少
2019/110.48-11.94-42.95.19-24.440.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.232023/11.132022/12.242021/10.492020/10.56
2024/23.632023/21.042022/20.812021/20.242020/20.46
2024/34.432023/33.482022/30.992021/30.452020/30.47
2024/43.672023/42.872022/42.032021/40.492020/40.36
2024/53.72023/53.462022/51.662021/50.42020/50.25
2024/64.822023/63.652022/63.172021/60.72020/60.82
2024/72.652023/72.522022/71.422021/70.242020/70.23
2024/85.22023/81.562022/81.642021/80.32020/80.46
2024/94.562023/92.042022/92.552021/90.592020/90.38
2024/103.962023/102.882022/101.512021/100.532020/100.67
N/AN/A2023/113.342022/111.912021/110.552020/110.37
N/AN/A2023/124.42022/122.892021/120.622020/120.42
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 24.27%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.6539.4733.84
24Q2 (19)1.9-1.0413.77
24Q1 (18)1.9214.299.09
23Q4 (17)1.68-15.15-4.0
23Q3 (16)1.9818.568.2
23Q2 (15)1.67-5.11-9.73
23Q1 (14)1.760.5785.26
22Q4 (13)1.75-4.3734.62
22Q3 (12)1.83-1.08-84.83
22Q2 (11)1.8594.74516.67
22Q1 (10)0.95-26.92206.45
21Q4 (9)1.3-89.22381.48
21Q3 (8)12.063920.03073.68
21Q2 (7)0.3-3.230.0
21Q1 (6)0.3114.81-16.22
20Q4 (5)0.27-28.95-43.75
20Q3 (4)0.3826.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.3-18.920.0
20Q1 (2)0.37-22.920.0
19Q4 (1)0.480.00.0

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