玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.932.220.780.813.8550.097.56-2.75-17.04111.79-4.42-33.9864.80-8.14-29.57144.55-1.49-25.85
24Q2 (19)0.91-15.74-9.90.78-16.13-2.5100.3218.6811.68116.9619.83.4270.5422.723.69146.7417.78.78
24Q1 (18)1.08-10.086.210.9338.8129.1784.5311.72-46.2497.63-28.36-23.057.48-16.32-26.73124.67-12.98-39.36
23Q4 (17)1.2055.8481.820.6724.07-57.5975.66-35.66-45.21136.28-19.52136.3568.69-25.3431.09143.26-26.51-0.06
23Q3 (16)0.77-23.7630.510.54-32.5-61.15117.6030.91-23.19169.3449.74159.3392.0035.2356.57194.9444.5222.1
23Q2 (15)1.0174.14-13.680.8011.11-68.7589.83-42.8715.03113.09-10.81217.9468.03-13.28155.66134.89-34.3954.96
23Q1 (14)0.58-12.12-72.640.72-54.43-63.08157.2313.87267.02126.80119.91171.1178.4549.71277.16205.5843.42198.76
22Q4 (13)0.6611.86-39.451.5813.6725.4138.08-9.8265.4257.66-11.7-20.3252.40-10.8222.46143.34-10.2226.8
22Q3 (12)0.59-49.57-35.161.39-45.769.51153.1196.0753.5265.3083.58-41.2858.76120.82-59.27159.6583.4139.5
22Q2 (11)1.17-44.81-43.752.5631.28-87.1778.0982.2878.5735.57-23.95680.0426.6127.93-94.8687.0526.51118.55
22Q1 (10)2.1294.5107.841.9554.76-88.5842.84-48.68-52.1946.77-35.36777.4920.80-51.39-96.8468.81-39.13112.24
21Q4 (9)1.0919.7826.741.2653.66-96.8383.47-16.3-21.2372.36-34.933059.8342.79-70.34-81.35113.0469.58193.29
21Q3 (8)0.91-56.2540.00.82-95.89-96.9899.73128.06-29.19111.212338.823219.7144.27-72.12-51.5866.66114.21143.36
21Q2 (7)2.08103.92114.4319.9616.86-31.0343.73-51.2-53.254.56-14.4545.22517.47-21.2813.3-469.1816.57-30.32
21Q1 (6)1.0218.6-8.1117.08-57.01-6.089.61-15.449.715.33132.756.39657.32186.516.22-562.39-364.13-17.43
20Q4 (5)0.8632.31-21.139.7346.17338.52105.97-24.7626.42.29-31.64-77.19229.43-22.99-74.04-121.1721.1984.66
20Q3 (4)0.65-32.990.027.18-6.080.0140.8550.580.03.356.690.0297.94-34.760.0-153.7457.30.0
20Q2 (3)0.97-12.610.028.9459.270.093.5414.520.03.14-37.330.0456.71-19.250.0-360.0224.830.0
20Q1 (2)1.111.830.018.17100.550.081.68-2.580.05.01-50.10.0565.59-35.990.0-478.9139.360.0
19Q4 (1)1.090.00.09.060.00.083.840.00.010.040.00.0883.640.00.0-789.760.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.39-20.983.37-62.64107.5626.44108.38167.8765.27114.42150.6658.42
2022 (9)4.2916.899.02111.7485.07-14.3640.46-52.7330.44-74.6495.1046.56
2021 (8)3.67-11.784.26-94.4899.3313.0985.601709.73120.03-70.7164.890
2020 (7)4.16-15.6277.2048.5587.8318.614.73-32.62409.833.55-317.280
2019 (6)4.93-34.7951.9765.5674.0553.387.02-39.64395.7845.75-314.700
2018 (5)7.566.1831.39-25.0348.28-5.811.6333.37271.5465.83-211.640
2017 (4)7.1222.3441.87-5.7651.25-18.318.726.08163.757.21-103.780
2016 (3)5.82-34.5344.4314.2562.7452.768.22-12.46152.7476.88-81.780
2015 (2)8.89-30.3338.89203.5941.0743.69.39-67.0486.3513.92-35.900
2014 (1)12.76-55.7712.8125.7128.60126.0928.49-20.4275.80-7.36-18.700

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