玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.27-25.7763.3812.8536.164.43N/A本月較去年同期營收業績提升
2024/91.7117.3394.1311.5833.724.620.5本月較去年同期營收業績提升
2024/81.46-0.0854.299.8726.894.290.54本月較去年同期營收業績提升
2024/71.465.8457.168.4223.14.170.56本月較去年本月營收業績提升
2024/61.383.1645.576.9617.764.020.48-
2024/51.332.151.15.5812.463.790.51本月較去年本月營收業績提升
2024/41.3113.9538.654.254.13.170.61-
2024/31.1559.799.212.94-6.272.940.63-
2024/20.72-33.34-24.111.79-14.062.630.7-
2024/11.0828.83-5.731.08-5.732.830.65-
2023/120.84-9.13-32.4511.19-22.32.530.75-
2023/110.9218.51-30.9610.36-21.352.580.73-
2023/100.78-11.8-42.759.44-20.272.60.73-
2023/90.88-6.74-30.878.66-17.362.750.77-
2023/80.941.77-26.717.78-15.492.820.75-
2023/70.93-1.96-31.926.84-13.672.760.77-
2023/60.957.08-22.765.91-9.872.770.85-
2023/50.88-6.3-10.594.96-6.912.880.82-
2023/40.94-10.2315.14.08-6.082.940.8-
2023/31.0511.02-18.293.14-11.03.140.78-
2023/20.95-17.1910.552.09-6.823.330.74-
2023/11.14-7.69-17.551.14-17.553.710.66-
2022/121.24-7.12-5.6414.41-13.983.930.64-
2022/111.33-1.72-8.2513.17-14.683.960.63-
2022/101.366.4920.6211.84-15.353.920.64-
2022/91.27-1.12-12.2210.48-18.53.920.7-
2022/81.29-5.463.969.21-19.293.870.71-
2022/71.3611.226.137.92-22.133.570.77-
2022/61.2223.962.86.56-26.213.030.91-
2022/50.9920.62-25.045.33-30.73.090.9-
2022/40.82-36.27-45.964.35-31.872.960.94-
2022/31.2950.21-27.113.53-27.483.530.69-
2022/20.86-38.24-28.942.24-27.693.550.68-
2022/11.395.64-26.91.39-26.94.150.59-
2021/121.31-9.69-25.3816.756.793.890.63-
2021/111.4529.22-15.3915.4410.864.030.6-
2021/101.12-22.51-22.7613.9814.553.810.64-
2021/91.4517.11-9.8612.8619.63.970.61-
2021/81.24-3.5-10.2411.4124.793.710.66-
2021/71.287.74-5.8410.1731.013.790.64-
2021/61.19-9.6111.018.8938.874.020.72-
2021/51.32-13.0412.437.744.484.60.63-
2021/41.52-14.0422.246.3853.524.480.65因客戶需求增加所致
2021/31.7646.4445.854.8666.834.860.78因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/21.2-36.4770.753.181.694.860.78因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/11.97.8389.41.989.45.370.71因客戶需求增加所致。
2020/121.762.3942.1215.689.14.930.75-
2020/111.7217.9644.2913.925.994.780.77-
2020/101.46-9.5612.8512.212.184.440.83-
2020/91.6116.6141.9310.750.894.350.67-
2020/81.381.222.159.14-3.993.820.76-
2020/71.3627.04-1.737.76-5.03.610.81-
2020/61.07-8.45-6.616.4-5.673.480.73-
2020/51.17-5.45-12.785.33-5.483.620.7-
2020/41.242.553.114.15-3.193.150.81-
2020/31.2171.4316.372.91-5.652.910.74-
2020/20.71-29.53-2.841.71-16.812.940.73-
2020/11.0-19.08-24.461.0-24.463.430.63-
2019/121.243.95-8.6314.37-12.470.0N/A-
2019/111.19-7.73-13.913.14-12.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.082023/11.142022/11.392021/11.92020/11.0
2024/20.722023/20.952022/20.862021/21.22020/20.71
2024/31.152023/31.052022/31.292021/31.762020/31.21
2024/41.312023/40.942022/40.822021/41.522020/41.24
2024/51.332023/50.882022/50.992021/51.322020/51.17
2024/61.382023/60.952022/61.222021/61.192020/61.07
2024/71.462023/70.932022/71.362021/71.282020/71.36
2024/81.462023/80.942022/81.292021/81.242020/81.38
2024/91.712023/90.882022/91.272021/91.452020/91.61
2024/101.272023/100.782022/101.362021/101.122020/101.46
N/AN/A2023/110.922022/111.332021/111.452020/111.72
N/AN/A2023/120.842022/121.242021/121.312020/121.76
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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