玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.2423.84-11.4557.690.3217.89N/A-
2024/95.04-23.8-13.2751.461.9718.210.7-
2024/86.610.840.646.423.9519.260.66-
2024/76.567.7113.6239.84.5320.630.62-
2024/66.09-23.810.8433.252.919.830.68-
2024/57.9938.7840.5327.161.2817.840.75-
2024/45.7640.519.0119.17-9.2713.870.97-
2024/34.11.95-19.4113.42-15.3613.420.95-
2024/24.02-24.19-28.979.32-13.4512.970.98-
2024/15.345.333.725.33.7214.170.89-
2023/123.65-30.19-45.6466.385.8715.920.73-
2023/115.22-25.85-40.0762.7312.0518.080.64-
2023/107.0521.290.8457.5121.6619.430.6-
2023/95.81-11.6-2.9150.4625.2718.150.7-
2023/86.5713.8917.6744.6530.1917.830.72-
2023/75.775.0833.9938.0832.6316.950.75-
2023/65.49-3.3918.2132.3132.3816.460.79-
2023/55.687.6544.326.8235.7216.050.81-
2023/45.283.8647.9221.1333.5816.020.82-
2023/35.08-10.1323.2615.8529.415.850.9-
2023/25.6610.7161.1610.7732.5117.480.821.增加新客戶及新產品。2.新增合併個體。3.部份一月份出貨因年假遞延至二月出貨。
2023/15.11-23.8410.725.1110.7220.540.7-
2022/126.71-23.036.5662.712.8722.420.66-
2022/118.7224.7735.6855.9913.6721.690.69-
2022/106.9916.7744.1347.2710.3718.560.8-
2022/95.987.1335.9740.286.0615.880.84-
2022/85.5929.6955.1634.32.1414.540.92111年8月因客戶訂單增加,致營業收入增加
2022/74.31-7.2927.5328.71-4.2212.891.03-
2022/64.6517.925.624.4-8.2512.150.99-
2022/53.9410.352.4219.76-10.9911.631.04-
2022/43.57-13.44-20.5615.82-13.8111.21.08-
2022/34.1217.48-15.7112.25-11.6312.250.89-
2022/23.51-23.93-12.978.13-9.414.420.76-
2022/14.62-26.7-6.484.62-6.4817.340.63-
2021/126.3-2.0111.3855.553.6517.570.58-
2021/116.4332.534.4949.252.7415.670.65-
2021/104.8510.163.6842.822.4812.850.8-
2021/94.422.25-3.2137.982.3311.381.03-
2021/83.66.59-23.633.583.111.381.03-
2021/73.38-23.23-8.1829.987.6211.621.01-
2021/64.414.360.8726.610.0312.740.72-
2021/53.85-14.41-27.6122.212.0413.230.69-
2021/44.49-8.16-4.0718.3526.5713.420.68-
2021/34.8921.2957.0513.8641.2213.860.641.電子書客戶銷售持續增加。2.NB銷量持續增加,致揚聲器產品銷量增加。
2021/24.03-18.2515.058.9733.8614.620.6-
2021/14.94-12.6954.54.9454.516.740.531.去年同期適逢春節,工作天數較短2.受疫情影響,居家辦公需求使NB銷量增加,合併公司揚聲器產品出貨量因而增加
2020/125.65-8.0720.3153.59-4.8416.480.52-
2020/116.1531.517.047.94-7.1315.370.56-
2020/104.682.83-33.6941.79-8.913.930.61-
2020/94.55-3.5-5.0637.11-4.412.940.8-
2020/84.7128.12-15.5832.56-4.3112.750.82-
2020/73.68-15.66-12.3627.85-2.0913.350.78-
2020/64.36-17.92-4.9924.17-0.3214.360.57-
2020/55.3113.4131.7319.810.7713.110.62-
2020/44.6850.367.4814.5-7.2211.310.72-
2020/33.12-11.13-13.479.82-12.99.820.99-
2020/23.519.7720.976.7-12.6411.40.85-
2020/13.19-32.01-33.063.19-33.0613.640.71-
2019/124.7-18.2415.3256.32-10.060.0N/A-
2019/115.75-18.5-14.7251.62-11.820.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.32023/15.112022/14.622021/14.942020/13.19
2024/24.022023/25.662022/23.512021/24.032020/23.51
2024/34.12023/35.082022/34.122021/34.892020/33.12
2024/45.762023/45.282022/43.572021/44.492020/44.68
2024/57.992023/55.682022/53.942021/53.852020/55.31
2024/66.092023/65.492022/64.652021/64.42020/64.36
2024/76.562023/75.772022/74.312021/73.382020/73.68
2024/86.612023/86.572022/85.592021/83.62020/84.71
2024/95.042023/95.812022/95.982021/94.42020/94.55
2024/106.242023/107.052022/106.992021/104.852020/104.68
N/AN/A2023/115.222022/118.722021/116.432020/116.15
N/AN/A2023/123.652022/126.712021/126.32020/125.65
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.66%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3210.34-5.88
24Q2 (19)0.29-19.44-69.15
24Q1 (18)0.369.09-66.97
23Q4 (17)0.33-2.94-80.47
23Q3 (16)0.34-63.83-45.16
23Q2 (15)0.94-13.7674.07
23Q1 (14)1.09-35.5122.45
22Q4 (13)1.69172.58412.12
22Q3 (12)0.6214.8172.22
22Q2 (11)0.5410.242.11
22Q1 (10)0.4948.4828.95
21Q4 (9)0.33-8.330.0
21Q3 (8)0.36-5.26-10.0
21Q2 (7)0.380.0-39.68
21Q1 (6)0.3815.15-29.63
20Q4 (5)0.33-17.5-31.25
20Q3 (4)0.4-36.510.0
20Q2 (3)0.6316.670.0
20Q1 (2)0.5412.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.480.00.0

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