玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.59-14.97-36.839.84-17.2611.78N/A-
2024/104.226.53-31.6536.25-14.6410.07N/A-
2024/93.96111.16-35.9632.02-11.758.020.88-
2024/81.88-13.61-57.5628.06-6.777.870.9終端市場需求減少
2024/72.17-43.135.526.181.989.930.71-
2024/63.82-2.776.2624.011.6710.830.89-
2024/53.9327.67-8.220.190.8411.970.8-
2024/43.08-37.9719.2316.263.3111.60.83-
2024/34.9639.495.8113.180.1813.180.89-
2024/23.56-23.53-6.388.21-2.9314.180.83-
2024/14.65-22.01-0.124.65-0.1216.30.72-
2023/125.974.99-2.9454.129.8317.830.86-
2023/115.68-8.0369.4548.1511.6518.060.85終端市場需求增加
2023/106.18-0.18141.5642.476.7816.80.92終端市場需求增加
2023/96.1939.94285.0736.29-2.4812.680.85終端市場需求增加
2023/84.42114.7789.8430.1-15.4610.081.07終端市場需求增加
2023/72.06-42.7210.0925.67-22.849.941.08-
2023/63.6-16.0131.0923.61-24.810.460.86-
2023/54.2865.8444.3520.02-30.1611.560.78-
2023/42.58-44.95-29.7615.73-38.7611.070.81-
2023/34.6923.42-26.4213.15-40.2613.150.83終端市場需求減少
2023/23.8-18.42-46.428.46-45.9114.610.75終端市場需求減少
2023/14.66-24.2-45.484.66-45.4814.160.77終端市場需求減少
2022/126.1583.31-55.8849.27-43.9412.060.92終端市場需求減少
2022/113.3531.09-74.3943.13-41.697.521.47終端市場需求減少
2022/102.5659.1-65.2639.77-34.666.51.71終端市場需求減少
2022/91.61-31.0-80.8737.21-30.455.811.36終端市場需求減少
2022/82.3324.54-64.8335.61-21.056.951.13終端市場需求減少
2022/71.87-31.79-58.3133.28-13.517.581.04終端市場需求減少
2022/62.74-7.51-55.8731.4-7.599.391.22終端市場需求減少
2022/52.97-19.3-57.0628.663.2113.020.88終端市場需求減少
2022/43.68-42.33-48.0125.6923.1817.150.67-
2022/36.38-10.13-8.3522.0259.722.020.88終端市場需求增加
2022/27.09-17.0165.4815.64129.0229.580.65終端市場需求增加
2022/18.55-38.66105.598.55105.5935.580.54終端市場需求增加
2021/1213.946.4174.3487.91132.7734.40.4終端市場需求增加
2021/1113.177.8162.9773.97126.3128.870.48終端市場需求增加
2021/107.37-12.38148.3660.87119.7222.40.61終端市場需求增加
2021/98.4126.8569.4953.51116.2919.520.5終端市場需求增加
2021/86.6347.6374.1245.1128.0217.330.56終端市場需求需加
2021/74.49-27.8180.1638.48140.8617.620.55終端市場需求增加
2021/66.22-10.0177.5433.99152.0720.20.31終端市場需求增加
2021/56.91-2.29196.0827.77178.2320.940.3終端市場需求增加
2021/47.071.66281.3320.86172.7816.70.37顯示卡市場需求增加
2021/36.96160.33243.2613.79138.0213.790.57顯示卡市場需求增加
2021/22.67-35.72128.146.8381.3811.970.66終端市場需求增加
2021/14.16-19.1260.274.1660.2714.280.55終端市場需求增加
2020/125.143.23113.737.8325.0613.090.41終端市場需求增加
2020/114.9867.92103.9232.6917.412.910.41新產品上市
2020/102.97-40.2-17.5927.719.0811.730.45-
2020/94.9630.3124.6224.7413.4911.260.58-
2020/83.8152.7592.0619.7811.09.80.67市場需求增加
2020/72.49-28.863.1515.970.868.330.79-
2020/63.550.060.913.480.447.690.67-
2020/52.3325.83-0.079.980.296.220.83-
2020/41.85-8.48-8.967.650.45.051.03-
2020/32.0373.02-22.345.793.825.790.72-
2020/21.17-54.84-13.563.7726.826.170.67-
2020/12.597.8360.742.5960.740.0N/A新品上市
2019/122.41-1.48226.2230.25-40.350.0N/A市場需求回升
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.652023/14.662022/18.552021/14.162020/12.59
2024/23.562023/23.82022/27.092021/22.672020/21.17
2024/34.962023/34.692022/36.382021/36.962020/32.03
2024/43.082023/42.582022/43.682021/47.072020/41.85
2024/53.932023/54.282022/52.972021/56.912020/52.33
2024/63.822023/63.62022/62.742021/66.222020/63.5
2024/72.172023/72.062022/71.872021/74.492020/72.49
2024/81.882023/84.422022/82.332021/86.632020/83.81
2024/93.962023/96.192022/91.612021/98.412020/94.96
2024/104.222023/106.182022/102.562021/107.372020/102.97
2024/113.592023/115.682022/113.352021/1113.12020/114.98
N/AN/A2023/125.972022/126.152021/1213.942020/125.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 14.89%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.72-17.24-8.86
24Q2 (19)0.87-3.3374.0
24Q1 (18)0.90.0246.15
23Q4 (17)0.913.92233.33
23Q3 (16)0.7958.0-10.23
23Q2 (15)0.592.31316.67
23Q1 (14)0.26-3.7-45.83
22Q4 (13)0.27-69.32-63.01
22Q3 (12)0.88633.337.32
22Q2 (11)0.12-75.0-78.18
22Q1 (10)0.48-34.254.35
21Q4 (9)0.73-10.98265.0
21Q3 (8)0.8249.09485.71
21Q2 (7)0.5519.57103.7
21Q1 (6)0.46130.035.29
20Q4 (5)0.242.865.26
20Q3 (4)0.14-48.150.0
20Q2 (3)0.27-20.590.0
20Q1 (2)0.3478.950.0
19Q4 (1)0.190.00.0

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