玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.65-0.21-21.6267.67-25.8918.08N/A-
2024/105.67-16.15-31.3562.01-26.2618.89N/A-
2024/96.764.53-27.5656.34-25.7120.860.39-
2024/86.46-15.4-33.3749.59-25.4521.20.38-
2024/77.647.68-25.2343.12-24.0921.170.38-
2024/67.110.4-17.3835.48-23.8419.690.42-
2024/56.434.24-38.0128.38-25.317.410.48-
2024/46.1728.09-31.0121.95-20.5314.380.58-
2024/34.8141.64-37.0615.79-15.5215.790.49-
2024/23.4-55.14-38.310.97-0.6118.010.43-
2024/17.587.7336.97.5836.921.820.35-
2023/127.03-2.52-13.0398.35-33.2922.50.37-
2023/117.21-12.6-42.1991.31-34.4624.80.34-
2023/108.26-11.51-49.1484.1-33.727.290.31-
2023/99.33-3.85-54.5275.84-31.4429.250.38今年度經濟情況不佳,客戶需求疲軟,同業削價搶單激烈,營收受到不利影響;再者去年同期基期較高,致月營收較去年同期大幅減少。
2023/89.7-5.05-46.866.51-26.1828.510.39-
2023/710.2218.98-33.9556.81-20.9429.180.38-
2023/68.59-17.17-19.4346.59-17.3727.90.52-
2023/510.3716.0326.5138.0-16.8926.960.54-
2023/48.9416.8524.0627.63-26.3822.090.66-
2023/37.6538.85-38.8718.69-38.3618.690.93-
2023/25.51-0.46-21.4911.04-38.019.130.9-
2023/15.53-31.56-48.735.53-48.7326.10.66-
2022/128.09-35.21-35.94147.420.536.80.5-
2022/1112.48-23.110.47139.343.9449.230.37-
2022/1016.23-20.8838.42126.864.2954.990.33-
2022/920.5212.4756.04110.630.6554.240.35訂單增加,營收成長。
2022/818.2417.8839.6890.11-6.8744.380.42-
2022/715.4845.1320.5971.86-14.1334.340.55-
2022/610.6630.074.5256.39-20.4226.060.77-
2022/58.213.78-11.8745.73-24.6227.920.72-
2022/47.2-42.42-38.6637.53-26.9326.730.75-
2022/312.5178.35-2.8130.33-23.4530.330.41-
2022/27.02-35.0-34.8617.81-33.3930.440.41-
2022/110.8-14.48-32.410.8-32.435.840.35-
2021/1212.621.63-24.3146.68-8.5336.770.36-
2021/1112.425.92-18.88134.05-6.737.30.35-
2021/1011.73-10.81-12.86121.63-5.2537.940.35-
2021/913.150.68-26.92109.91-4.3639.040.36-
2021/813.061.76-9.3696.76-0.1736.090.38-
2021/712.8325.79-13.0183.71.4232.340.43-
2021/610.29.66-26.0270.874.5731.250.44-
2021/59.3-20.8-26.7460.6612.3833.920.41-
2021/411.75-8.77-18.551.3624.4235.390.39-
2021/312.8819.5216.7139.6247.4539.620.38-
2021/210.77-32.54115.7126.7468.8543.420.34去年同期受新冠疫情影響而遽減
2021/115.97-4.2447.2715.9747.2747.960.31-
2020/1216.688.9136.23160.37-5.8245.450.39-
2020/1115.3113.7810.43143.69-9.0846.770.38-
2020/1013.46-25.21-6.56128.38-10.9545.860.39-
2020/917.9924.8817.5114.92-11.4447.160.38-
2020/814.41-2.32-10.6396.93-15.3142.950.42-
2020/714.756.98-15.7182.52-16.0841.240.44-
2020/613.798.59-4.7367.77-16.1640.90.42-
2020/512.7-11.89-19.8353.98-18.6638.140.45-
2020/414.4130.640.641.28-18.2930.440.56-
2020/311.03120.9-16.0826.87-25.7726.870.55-
2020/24.99-53.94-34.8915.84-31.2928.080.53-
2020/110.84-11.42-29.510.84-29.50.0N/A-
2019/1212.24-11.70.83170.299.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.582023/15.532022/110.82021/115.972020/110.84
2024/23.42023/25.512022/27.022021/210.772020/24.99
2024/34.812023/37.652022/312.512021/312.882020/311.03
2024/46.172023/48.942022/47.22021/411.752020/414.41
2024/56.432023/510.372022/58.22021/59.32020/512.7
2024/67.12023/68.592022/610.662021/610.22020/613.79
2024/77.642023/710.222022/715.482021/712.832020/714.75
2024/86.462023/89.72022/818.242021/813.062020/814.41
2024/96.762023/99.332022/920.522021/913.152020/917.99
2024/105.672023/108.262022/1016.232021/1011.732020/1013.46
2024/115.652023/117.212022/1112.482021/1112.422020/1115.31
N/AN/A2023/127.032022/128.092021/1212.622020/1216.68
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.22%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.13-18.7562.5
24Q2 (19)0.1623.08100.0
24Q1 (18)0.1330.044.44
23Q4 (17)0.125.066.67
23Q3 (16)0.080.0-85.19
23Q2 (15)0.08-11.1133.33
23Q1 (14)0.0950.0125.0
22Q4 (13)0.06-88.890.0
22Q3 (12)0.54800.01700.0
22Q2 (11)0.0650.0100.0
22Q1 (10)0.04-33.33-63.64
21Q4 (9)0.06100.0500.0
21Q3 (8)0.030.0-93.33
21Q2 (7)0.03-72.730
21Q1 (6)0.111000.0-78.43
20Q4 (5)0.01-97.780
20Q3 (4)0.4500.0

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