玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/108.452.75.5578.53-15.4824.29N/A-
2024/98.237.97-9.370.08-17.4624.331.14-
2024/87.62-10.21-14.961.86-18.4324.381.14-
2024/78.482.44-2.4454.24-18.9125.421.09-
2024/68.28-4.35-23.545.75-21.3725.221.13-
2024/58.664.63-14.2437.47-20.8824.911.14-
2024/48.283.72-2.3128.81-22.6822.431.26-
2024/37.9829.13-31.3620.54-28.6720.541.53-
2024/26.18-3.16-21.1312.56-26.8526.481.18-
2024/16.38-54.18-31.656.38-31.6527.611.14-
2023/1213.9390.569.81114.15-2.5929.241.08-
2023/117.31-8.69-34.88100.22-4.0924.381.3-
2023/108.0-11.75-10.892.91-0.3926.031.21-
2023/99.071.3-15.9484.910.7126.721.43-
2023/88.952.94-11.9875.843.1628.481.34-
2023/78.7-19.67-9.8866.895.5929.621.29-
2023/610.837.22-14.0258.198.3729.41.33-
2023/510.119.1826.6847.3615.2330.191.3-
2023/48.47-27.1115.7737.2712.4827.931.4-
2023/311.6248.3615.4828.7911.5428.791.47-
2023/27.83-16.0815.9717.179.0329.851.41-
2023/19.34-26.373.819.343.8133.241.27-
2022/1212.6813.0-0.44117.1821.1432.881.14-
2022/1111.2225.0525.58104.524.4130.991.21-
2022/108.97-16.834.793.2824.2729.931.25-
2022/910.796.0831.2384.3126.830.611.45-
2022/810.175.449.3273.5226.1732.411.37-
2022/79.65-23.3622.3863.3423.1130.211.47-
2022/612.5957.9832.2953.6923.2427.881.55-
2022/57.978.9238.741.120.7125.351.7-
2022/47.32-27.3-0.333.1317.0524.141.79-
2022/310.0748.9919.6525.8123.1325.811.61-
2022/26.76-24.871.6215.7525.4628.491.46-
2022/18.99-29.452.328.9952.3230.671.36本月增減百分比達50%以上,主係供貨較為穩定,且客戶需求增加所致。
2021/1212.7442.5417.8196.730.3830.241.23-
2021/118.944.273.1683.99-1.8225.731.44-
2021/108.574.2312.0475.06-2.3823.61.57-
2021/98.2220.70.5366.49-3.9722.921.64-
2021/86.81-13.610.4258.26-4.5824.211.55-
2021/77.88-17.16-0.8251.45-5.223.151.63-
2021/69.5265.6429.1343.57-5.9522.61.29-
2021/55.75-21.7-21.2834.05-12.5921.51.36-
2021/47.34-12.747.0428.3-10.5922.41.3-
2021/38.4126.53-20.1520.96-15.4720.961.0-
2021/26.6512.6-17.1212.55-12.0123.360.9-
2021/15.9-45.39-5.445.9-5.4425.380.82-
2020/1210.8124.81-10.5496.36-8.1827.120.68-
2020/118.6613.2512.5385.55-7.8724.490.75-
2020/107.65-6.47-14.676.89-9.7222.610.81-
2020/98.1820.566.269.24-9.1422.910.97-
2020/86.78-14.68-18.9561.06-10.8722.11.01-
2020/77.957.850.2154.28-9.7422.620.99-
2020/67.370.97-22.5446.33-11.2621.531.02-
2020/57.36.46-7.8538.96-8.7424.690.89-
2020/46.86-34.92-15.9431.66-8.9525.410.86-
2020/310.5431.341.9724.8-6.8124.80.83-
2020/28.0228.4720.8814.27-12.3826.350.78-
2020/16.24-48.34-35.266.24-35.2626.030.79-
2019/1212.0957.0211.29104.950.050.0N/A-
2019/117.7-14.05-20.2392.87-1.240.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.382023/19.342022/18.992021/15.92020/16.24
2024/26.182023/27.832022/26.762021/26.652020/28.02
2024/37.982023/311.622022/310.072021/38.412020/310.54
2024/48.282023/48.472022/47.322021/47.342020/46.86
2024/58.662023/510.12022/57.972021/55.752020/57.3
2024/68.282023/610.832022/612.592021/69.522020/67.37
2024/78.482023/78.72022/79.652021/77.882020/77.95
2024/87.622023/88.952022/810.172021/86.812020/86.78
2024/98.232023/99.072022/910.792021/98.222020/98.18
2024/108.452023/108.02022/108.972021/108.572020/107.65
N/AN/A2023/117.312022/1111.222021/118.942020/118.66
N/AN/A2023/1213.932022/1212.682021/1212.742020/1210.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.114.98-3.21
24Q2 (19)2.01-14.1-25.28
24Q1 (18)2.34-6.02-14.91
23Q4 (17)2.4914.22-10.75
23Q3 (16)2.18-18.96-21.86
23Q2 (15)2.69-2.1823.96
23Q1 (14)2.75-1.4366.67
22Q4 (13)2.790.076.58
22Q3 (12)2.7928.5719.23
22Q2 (11)2.1731.5224.0
22Q1 (10)1.654.43-2.94
21Q4 (9)1.58-32.4833.9
21Q3 (8)2.3433.7142.68
21Q2 (7)1.752.946.06
21Q1 (6)1.744.07-16.67
20Q4 (5)1.18-28.05-72.1
20Q3 (4)1.64-0.610.0
20Q2 (3)1.65-19.120.0
20Q1 (2)2.04-51.770.0
19Q4 (1)4.230.00.0

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