玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.5120.6229.63.81-1.221.3N/A-
2024/90.4212.8516.853.31-4.691.192.09-
2024/80.37-8.091.532.89-7.171.072.33-
2024/70.438.61-2.582.52-8.331.032.41-
2024/60.29-13.78-18.342.12-9.351.022.35-
2024/50.34-12.55-8.051.82-7.721.092.18-
2024/40.394.4916.411.49-7.651.052.28-
2024/30.3726.08-14.631.1-13.911.12.16-
2024/20.29-32.72-15.970.73-13.541.132.09-
2024/10.447.83-11.820.44-11.821.182.01-
2023/120.418.51-22.54.61-35.931.142.09-
2023/110.34-12.48-41.464.2-36.981.092.17-
2023/100.398.75-27.233.86-36.551.112.13-
2023/90.36-1.93-46.763.47-37.451.142.2-
2023/80.37-11.82-37.513.11-36.161.142.21-
2023/70.4116.18-32.462.75-35.981.142.2-
2023/60.36-2.91-39.912.33-36.571.062.4-
2023/50.3710.71-40.791.98-35.921.132.24-
2023/40.33-23.37-45.181.61-34.71.112.28-
2023/30.4324.09-46.211.28-31.281.282.1-
2023/20.35-29.4-24.440.84-19.861.371.96-
2023/10.49-5.21-16.280.49-16.281.61.68-
2022/120.52-10.480.127.1919.721.641.65-
2022/110.588.797.666.6721.581.791.51-
2022/100.54-20.43-14.086.0923.11.791.5-
2022/90.6715.114.045.5528.471.871.45-
2022/80.59-4.7-8.294.8830.761.791.52-
2022/70.613.3614.954.2938.831.831.49-
2022/60.59-4.3337.393.6843.81.821.4-
2022/50.622.4826.483.0945.112.031.25-
2022/40.61-24.830.342.4650.71.871.36客戶訂單需求增加影響,造成本期累計合併營收較去年同期增加50.70%。
2022/30.8174.3179.441.8658.781.861.33客戶訂單需求增加影響,造成本期合併營收較去年同期增加79.45%。
2022/20.46-21.7742.791.0545.921.571.57-
2022/10.5913.3548.470.5948.471.651.49-
2021/120.52-3.7512.996.0142.21.691.41-
2021/110.54-13.1844.575.4945.781.761.36-
2021/100.625.6183.664.9445.911.851.28客戶訂單需求增加影響,造成本期合併營收較去年同期增加83.66%
2021/90.59-7.4364.294.3241.711.761.07客戶訂單需求增加影響,造成本期合併營收較去年同期增加64.30%
2021/80.6419.45112.143.7338.691.61.18客戶訂單需求增加影響,造成本期合併營收較去年同期增加112.15%。
2021/70.5323.5478.163.0929.431.461.3客戶訂單需求增加影響,造成本期合併營收較去年同期增加78.17%。
2021/60.43-11.9228.562.5622.451.391.19-
2021/50.495.6231.62.1321.281.41.17-
2021/40.463.5120.531.6418.491.241.33-
2021/30.4538.724.321.1717.71.171.2-
2021/20.32-18.661.710.7213.931.181.18-
2021/10.4-13.7226.250.426.251.231.13-
2020/120.4623.1410.444.22-5.911.181.04-
2020/110.3710.28-2.03.76-7.591.071.14-
2020/100.34-5.51-3.83.39-8.171.01.22-
2020/90.3619.524.363.05-8.630.961.36-
2020/80.30.32-11.072.69-10.130.941.4-
2020/70.3-10.85-24.22.39-10.011.011.3-
2020/60.34-9.84-1.932.09-7.521.091.05-
2020/50.37-3.26-8.271.75-8.521.121.03-
2020/40.396.774.21.38-8.591.061.08-
2020/30.3613.48-8.910.99-12.750.991.05-
2020/20.320.9618.460.63-14.791.050.99-
2020/10.32-24.53-33.610.32-33.611.110.93-
2019/120.429.2635.294.49-18.850.0N/A-
2019/110.388.25-4.134.07-22.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.442023/10.492022/10.592021/10.42020/10.32
2024/20.292023/20.352022/20.462021/20.322020/20.32
2024/30.372023/30.432022/30.812021/30.452020/30.36
2024/40.392023/40.332022/40.612021/40.462020/40.39
2024/50.342023/50.372022/50.622021/50.492020/50.37
2024/60.292023/60.362022/60.592021/60.432020/60.34
2024/70.42023/70.412022/70.612021/70.532020/70.3
2024/80.372023/80.372022/80.592021/80.642020/80.3
2024/90.422023/90.362022/90.672021/90.592020/90.36
2024/100.512023/100.392022/100.542021/100.622020/100.34
N/AN/A2023/110.342022/110.582021/110.542020/110.37
N/AN/A2023/120.42022/120.522021/120.522020/120.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.02-33.33-66.67
24Q2 (19)0.030.0-57.14
24Q1 (18)0.03-40.0-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.05-16.67-16.67
23Q3 (16)0.06-14.29-45.45
23Q2 (15)0.0716.670.0
23Q1 (14)0.060.00.0
22Q4 (13)0.06-45.45-25.0
22Q3 (12)0.1157.1422.22
22Q2 (11)0.0716.67-41.67
22Q1 (10)0.06-25.0-14.29
21Q4 (9)0.08-11.11300.0
21Q3 (8)0.09-25.0800.0
21Q2 (7)0.1271.430
21Q1 (6)0.07250.00
20Q4 (5)0.02100.00
20Q3 (4)0.0100.0

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