玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1132.31204.08260.489.28319.7443.94N/A認列建案營收
2024/1010.63953.3446.9356.97362.9819.58N/A認列建案營收
2024/91.01-87.29-39.646.34347.2413.1112.94認列建案營收
2024/87.9491.01295.9245.33421.615.411.02認列建案營收
2024/74.1626.08188.2937.39459.3110.2716.51認列建案營收
2024/63.316.97108.2133.23533.8523.556.83認列建案營收
2024/52.82-83.82432.4529.94718.0923.546.83認列建案營收
2024/417.43430.34170464.027.12766.4223.346.89認列建案營收
2024/33.2925.35101.849.68210.459.6817.16認列建案營收
2024/22.62-30.542578.616.4329.0721.77.66認列建案營收
2024/13.78-75.33171.03.78171.028.055.93認列建案營收
2023/1215.3170.72-37.3536.5746.826.216.22-
2023/118.97361.466108.4621.274299.012.5812.96認列建案營收
2023/101.9416.31451.1812.33528.475.6229.01認列建案營收
2023/91.67-16.72797.5210.364744.965.1233.61認列建案營收
2023/82.0139.080.08.6931219.15.0334.19認列建案營收
2023/71.44-8.940.06.6923990.53.5648.38認列建案營收
2023/61.58199.140.05.2418793.42.1278.88認列建案營收
2023/50.535080.520.03.6613085.92.1777.26認列建案營收
2023/40.01-99.37-19.463.1311178.01.7496.46認列建案營收
2023/31.631563.540.03.1220613.33.1251.53認列建案營收
2023/20.1-92.97550.01.499800.3325.926.2認列建案營收
2023/11.39-94.290.01.390.025.976.19認列建案營收
2022/1224.4316818.984817.824.91-37.3224.76.12認列建案營收
2022/110.1415.290.00.48-98.780.46331.59認列建案營收
2022/100.13-32.70.00.34-99.140.31485.37認列建案營收
2022/90.190.0-1.590.21-99.460.19835.31認列建案營收
2022/80.00.0-100.00.03-99.920.00認列建案營收
2022/70.00.0-100.00.03-99.920.00認列建案營收
2022/60.00.0-100.00.03-99.920.0111639.09認列建案營收
2022/50.0-100.0-100.00.03-99.90.0111639.09認列建案營收
2022/40.010.0-99.820.03-99.890.035322.52認列建案營收
2022/30.0-100.0-100.00.02-99.920.029182.6認列建案營收
2022/20.020.0-98.620.02-99.750.043155.14認列建案營收
2022/10.0-100.0-100.00.0-100.00.034806.74認列建案營收
2021/120.030.0-99.7839.7539.10.034538.06認列建案營收
2021/110.00.0-100.039.72160.990.19690.32認列建案營收
2021/100.0-100.0-100.039.72164.610.53245.34認列建案營收
2021/90.19-44.86-75.6839.69168.40.71167.68認列建案營收
2021/80.3497.07259.6539.5181.968.8713.35認列建案營收
2021/70.17-97.91316.3339.15181.4312.289.64認列建案營收
2021/68.35122.5939883.438.98181.0219.475.84認列建案營收
2021/53.75-49.072335.1830.63121.1424.414.66認列建案營收
2021/47.37-44.54185.0126.8796.2221.755.23認列建案營收
2021/313.291113.37298.4119.5175.5619.516.48認列建案營收
2021/21.09-78.63-68.856.22-20.019.586.45認列建案營收
2021/15.13-61.6220.295.1320.2918.696.76-
2020/1213.366306.85-12.328.582.3913.799.81-
2020/110.21-7.48-97.7915.2220.061.21111.59認列建案營收
2020/100.23-71.030.015.01368.811.1123.08認列建案營收
2020/90.78715.660.014.79361.780.92131.35認列建案營收
2020/80.1128.1212.7614.01337.480.16760.44認列建案營收
2020/70.04100.14-86.6213.91346.290.22554.5認列建案營收
2020/60.02-86.44-75.9413.87394.532.7639.46認列營建收入
2020/50.15-94.03-78.2413.85409.566.0717.93認列建案營收
2020/42.59-22.47423.9613.7581.519.4311.54認列建案營收
2020/33.33-5.13388.4611.11632.7811.116.49認列建案營收
2020/23.52-17.49984.677.78832.8923.013.14認列建案營收
2020/14.26-72.02736.334.26736.330.0N/A認列建案營收
2019/1215.2360.75146.8727.91107.990.0N/A認列建案營收
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.782023/11.392022/10.02021/15.132020/14.26
2024/22.622023/20.12022/20.022021/21.092020/23.52
2024/33.292023/31.632022/30.02021/313.292020/33.33
2024/417.432023/40.012022/40.012021/47.372020/42.59
2024/52.822023/50.532022/50.02021/53.752020/50.15
2024/63.32023/61.582022/60.02021/68.352020/60.02
2024/74.162023/71.442022/70.02021/70.172020/70.04
2024/87.942023/82.012022/80.02021/80.342020/80.1
2024/91.012023/91.672022/90.192021/90.192020/90.78
2024/1010.632023/101.942022/100.132021/100.02020/100.23
2024/1132.312023/118.972022/110.142021/110.02020/110.21
N/AN/A2023/1215.312022/1224.432021/120.032020/1213.36
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 247.21%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)42.6423.1716.22
24Q2 (19)34.62-7.439.7
24Q1 (18)37.42.3832.11
23Q4 (17)36.53-0.4445.31
23Q3 (16)36.6916.2535.99
23Q2 (15)31.5611.4843.13
23Q1 (14)28.3112.6146.46
22Q4 (13)25.14-6.8272.66
22Q3 (12)26.9822.36190.11
22Q2 (11)22.0514.07184.52
22Q1 (10)19.3332.76118.91
21Q4 (9)14.5656.5634.19
21Q3 (8)9.320.0-10.14
21Q2 (7)7.75-12.2318.5
21Q1 (6)8.83-18.6245.71
20Q4 (5)10.854.8331.83
20Q3 (4)10.3558.260.0
20Q2 (3)6.547.920.0
20Q1 (2)6.06-26.370.0
19Q4 (1)8.230.00.0

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