玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1045.64-13.6-0.6501.99.94152.66N/A-
2024/952.83-2.57.46456.2611.12156.120.46-
2024/854.1910.3520.09403.4311.62154.310.47-
2024/749.1-3.7519.12349.2510.41156.550.46-
2024/651.02-9.589.04300.149.11153.990.46-
2024/556.4321.2326.09249.139.12149.560.47-
2024/446.54-0.084.15192.74.98129.420.55-
2024/346.5828.37-3.34146.155.25146.150.52-
2024/236.29-42.65-23.2699.579.82155.880.49-
2024/163.2812.3745.963.2845.9169.580.45-
2023/1256.3112.6513.76562.811.73152.220.48-
2023/1149.998.85-1.1506.4811.51145.060.5-
2023/1045.92-6.59-0.76456.513.09140.20.52-
2023/949.168.957.08410.5814.89135.50.57-
2023/845.129.46-8.05361.4216.04133.120.58-
2023/741.22-11.89-13.14316.320.55132.760.58-
2023/646.794.544.64275.0827.99136.220.54-
2023/544.750.1424.04228.334.12137.630.53-
2023/444.69-7.2819.32183.5436.84140.170.52-
2023/348.21.9138.11138.8643.62138.860.48-
2023/247.299.0385.3990.6646.74140.160.48112年2月單月合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2023/143.37-12.3819.5643.3719.56143.410.46-
2022/1249.5-2.0617.08503.6746.16146.320.43-
2022/1150.549.2219.79454.1750.23142.720.44111年1~11月累計合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/1046.270.851.07403.6255.16141.250.44111年10月單月及111年1~10月累計合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/945.91-6.4563.17357.3555.71142.440.45111年9月單月及111年1~9月累計合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/849.073.474.2311.4554.67141.240.46111年8月單月及111年1~8月累計合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/747.466.1473.2262.3751.49128.240.5111年7月單月及111年1~7月累計合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/644.7123.9262.89214.9147.41118.240.53111年6月單月合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/536.08-3.6633.02170.2143.82108.420.58-
2022/437.457.3146.64134.1347.0397.850.64-
2022/334.936.826.2396.6847.1896.680.52-
2022/225.51-29.6847.9661.7862.4104.060.48民國111年截至2月止累計合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2022/136.28-14.1974.3736.2874.37120.740.41111年1月單月合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2021/1242.270.1965.03344.5937.17115.10.31110年12月單月合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2021/1142.1937.7563.11302.3134.01100.950.35110年11月單月合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入增加所致。
2021/1030.638.8749.6260.1230.2486.930.41-
2021/928.13-0.1310.66229.4928.0383.70.46-
2021/828.172.8125.24201.3630.983.010.46-
2021/727.4-0.1748.34173.1931.8781.960.47-
2021/627.451.236.79145.7929.1780.10.42-
2021/527.126.1949.79118.3427.5380.30.42-
2021/425.54-7.6129.5891.2222.1370.420.48-
2021/327.6460.3451.9965.6919.4665.690.48110年3月單月營收較去年同期增加,主要係工程收入及銷貨收入增加所致。
2021/217.24-17.133.5238.043.3863.660.5-
2021/120.8-18.783.2720.83.2772.290.44-
2020/1225.61-0.97-4.52251.23.8771.960.4-
2020/1125.8726.3516.17225.584.9271.760.4-
2020/1020.47-19.4618.4199.723.6268.390.42-
2020/925.4213.0226.76179.242.1666.380.45-
2020/822.4921.7725.65153.82-1.061.030.49-
2020/718.47-7.94-13.78131.33-4.4756.640.53-
2020/620.0610.814.34112.86-2.7657.880.6-
2020/518.1-8.13-4.692.8-4.1756.00.62-
2020/419.718.36-3.0474.69-4.0654.550.64-
2020/318.199.218.8854.98-4.4254.980.62-
2020/216.65-17.332.7136.8-9.8763.630.53-
2020/120.14-24.91-18.1620.14-18.1669.240.49-
2019/1226.8320.4913.4241.83-0.950.0N/A-
2019/1122.2728.7822.4215.0-2.490.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/163.282023/143.372022/136.282021/120.82020/120.14
2024/236.292023/247.292022/225.512021/217.242020/216.65
2024/346.582023/348.22022/334.92021/327.642020/318.19
2024/446.542023/444.692022/437.452021/425.542020/419.71
2024/556.432023/544.752022/536.082021/527.122020/518.1
2024/651.022023/646.792022/644.712021/627.452020/620.06
2024/749.12023/741.222022/747.462021/727.42020/718.47
2024/854.192023/845.122022/849.072021/828.172020/822.49
2024/952.832023/949.162022/945.912021/928.132020/925.42
2024/1045.642023/1045.922022/1046.272021/1030.632020/1020.47
N/AN/A2023/1149.992022/1150.542021/1142.192020/1125.87
N/AN/A2023/1256.312022/1249.52021/1242.272020/1225.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 511.49%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)102.972.4828.62
24Q2 (19)100.488.8332.96
24Q1 (18)92.33-5.8928.29
23Q4 (17)98.1122.5542.42
23Q3 (16)80.065.9411.69
23Q2 (15)75.575.018.52
23Q1 (14)71.974.4710.23
22Q4 (13)68.89-3.8947.04
22Q3 (12)71.6812.4275.39
22Q2 (11)63.76-2.3467.0
22Q1 (10)65.2939.3679.12
21Q4 (9)46.8514.6339.1
21Q3 (8)40.877.0515.16
21Q2 (7)38.184.7514.17
21Q1 (6)36.458.226.77
20Q4 (5)33.68-5.1-4.72
20Q3 (4)35.496.130.0
20Q2 (3)33.44-2.050.0
20Q1 (2)34.14-3.420.0
19Q4 (1)35.350.00.0

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