玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.3-6.568.7332.464.2310.22N/A-
2024/93.533.9410.4129.173.7410.320.68-
2024/83.39-0.13-6.9725.642.889.660.72-
2024/73.418.348.922.254.589.770.71-
2024/62.87-17.87-12.3718.853.849.780.74-
2024/53.52.53.4315.987.4210.220.71-
2024/43.413.0714.3912.488.68.80.82-
2024/33.3158.77-10.169.076.579.070.84-
2024/22.08-43.36-22.525.7619.347.950.96-
2024/13.6868.2371.913.6871.918.860.86主要係因應農曆假期客戶提前備貨,且去年一月工作日數較少,致使本月營收較去年同期成長。
2023/122.19-26.98-15.9636.33-0.158.210.93-
2023/113.0-1.169.2334.141.069.220.83-
2023/103.03-5.1123.331.150.349.870.78-
2023/93.19-12.4315.0428.12-1.629.960.79-
2023/83.6516.9126.4424.92-3.4110.040.79-
2023/73.12-4.782.4421.27-7.179.780.81-
2023/63.28-3.052.6318.15-8.659.640.84-
2023/53.3813.36-13.8214.87-10.8210.040.81-
2023/42.98-19.05-10.6111.49-9.99.350.87-
2023/33.6836.947.048.51-9.658.511.01-
2023/22.6925.6714.524.83-19.277.431.15-
2023/12.14-17.76-41.12.14-41.17.491.15-
2022/122.6-5.09-16.7136.38-7.587.81.05-
2022/112.7411.57-21.9233.78-6.797.981.02-
2022/102.46-11.46-23.3531.04-5.178.121.01-
2022/92.78-3.75-20.4528.58-3.28.710.89-
2022/82.88-5.27-9.425.8-0.989.120.85-
2022/73.05-4.61-10.9422.920.1810.160.76-
2022/63.19-18.63.3819.872.1310.450.83-
2022/53.9217.5917.4116.681.910.70.81-
2022/43.34-3.06-4.6812.76-2.079.130.95-
2022/33.4446.52-8.369.42-1.19.421.06-
2022/22.35-35.360.285.983.649.111.1-
2022/13.6316.285.923.635.9210.270.97-
2021/123.12-11.039.1939.3718.259.840.96-
2021/113.519.5328.7636.2419.110.210.93-
2021/103.21-8.1230.432.7318.149.880.96-
2021/93.499.6116.6529.5216.9410.091.0-
2021/83.18-6.885.0626.0617.099.691.04-
2021/73.4210.7223.3422.8818.999.851.02-
2021/63.09-7.5513.4919.4618.269.930.92-
2021/53.34-4.541.5916.3719.210.60.87-
2021/43.5-6.810.3813.0324.759.60.96-
2021/33.7660.3539.639.5336.999.530.81-
2021/22.34-31.7322.335.7735.328.630.9-
2021/13.4319.8645.873.4345.879.020.86-
2020/122.864.925.6133.2911.368.050.87-
2020/112.7310.936.3830.4310.28.180.85-
2020/102.46-17.81-9.2827.710.68.480.82-
2020/92.99-1.2733.9825.2513.028.80.71-
2020/83.039.3232.3622.2610.78.520.73-
2020/72.771.8826.5819.227.918.780.71-
2020/62.72-17.2513.4516.455.39.490.65-
2020/53.29-5.67-1.0913.733.829.460.65-
2020/43.4929.6123.0410.445.468.090.77-
2020/32.6940.492.086.96-1.596.960.96-
2020/21.91-18.5924.634.27-3.796.541.02-
2020/12.353.21-18.842.35-18.847.190.93-
2019/122.28-11.1519.8829.8914.590.0N/A-
2019/112.56-5.48.227.6114.160.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.682023/12.142022/13.632021/13.432020/12.35
2024/22.082023/22.692022/22.352021/22.342020/21.91
2024/33.312023/33.682022/33.442021/33.762020/32.69
2024/43.412023/42.982022/43.342021/43.52020/43.49
2024/53.52023/53.382022/53.922021/53.342020/53.29
2024/62.872023/63.282022/63.192021/63.092020/62.72
2024/73.42023/73.122022/73.052021/73.422020/72.77
2024/83.392023/83.652022/82.882021/83.182020/83.03
2024/93.532023/93.192022/92.782021/93.492020/92.99
2024/103.32023/103.032022/102.462021/103.212020/102.46
N/AN/A2023/113.02022/112.742021/113.512020/112.73
N/AN/A2023/122.192022/122.62021/123.122020/122.86
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.43%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1911.7690.0
24Q2 (19)0.17142.8621.43
24Q1 (18)0.07-22.22-68.18
23Q4 (17)0.09-10.0-35.71
23Q3 (16)0.1-28.57-41.18
23Q2 (15)0.14-36.3616.67
23Q1 (14)0.2257.1457.14
22Q4 (13)0.14-17.65-12.5
22Q3 (12)0.1741.6721.43
22Q2 (11)0.12-14.29-45.45
22Q1 (10)0.14-12.540.0
21Q4 (9)0.1614.29128.57
21Q3 (8)0.14-36.36366.67
21Q2 (7)0.22120.00
21Q1 (6)0.142.86-16.67
20Q4 (5)0.07133.3340.0
20Q3 (4)0.0300.0

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