玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.692.5932.7823.223.847.97N/A-
2024/92.62-1.2824.7420.530.967.850.48-
2024/82.663.2529.1917.91-1.777.770.49-
2024/72.571.31-0.2515.25-5.717.290.52-
2024/62.5416.26-3.3712.68-6.746.970.56-
2024/52.18-3.08-17.2910.14-7.556.360.61-
2024/42.2517.24-1.497.96-4.465.790.67-
2024/31.9218.59-10.275.71-5.585.710.64-
2024/21.62-25.09-20.423.78-3.015.790.63-
2024/12.168.0115.992.1615.996.180.59-
2023/122.0-0.6642.6726.38-6.176.040.66-
2023/112.02-0.4779.9324.37-8.746.140.64因市場需求增加,致營收較去年同期上升
2023/102.03-3.6150.9922.36-12.626.180.64因市場需求增加,致營收較去年同期上升
2023/92.12.2448.6520.33-16.146.740.65-
2023/82.06-20.2810.6718.23-20.157.260.6-
2023/72.58-1.8422.7416.18-22.887.850.56-
2023/62.63-0.48-14.0913.6-27.967.550.61-
2023/52.6415.42-15.4610.97-30.647.070.65-
2023/42.296.79-40.068.33-34.386.460.71-
2023/32.145.17-28.416.04-31.936.040.73-
2023/22.049.18-27.913.9-33.725.30.84-
2023/11.8632.86-39.081.86-39.084.391.01因年假關係故今年1月營業日數較短
2022/121.425.26-63.3328.11-32.123.871.23因市場需求減少,致營收較去年同期下降。
2022/111.12-16.48-69.6726.71-28.943.881.22因市場需求減少,致營收較去年同期下降。
2022/101.34-5.1-68.9525.59-24.54.611.03因市場需求減少,致營收較去年同期下降。
2022/91.41-23.87-59.3724.25-18.015.371.02因市場需求減少,致營收較去年同期下降。
2022/81.86-11.58-47.7322.83-12.497.020.78-
2022/72.1-31.3-39.8520.98-6.948.280.66-
2022/63.06-2.07-0.2318.88-0.910.00.63-
2022/53.12-18.157.2515.82-1.039.930.64-
2022/43.8227.5525.4112.69-2.889.630.66-
2022/32.995.89-12.768.88-11.478.880.71-
2022/22.82-7.73-6.895.89-10.89.710.65-
2022/13.06-20.02-14.123.06-14.1210.590.6-
2021/123.833.624.8541.4229.9311.850.41-
2021/113.7-14.4916.8837.5930.4711.50.43-
2021/104.3224.1742.0433.932.1411.360.43-
2021/93.48-2.0717.6729.5730.8110.530.37-
2021/83.551.7525.9226.0932.7810.110.39-
2021/73.4913.9319.5222.5433.949.470.42-
2021/63.075.273.9519.0537.129.020.37-
2021/52.91-4.335.1615.9846.069.380.36-
2021/43.04-11.2838.8613.0748.739.510.36-
2021/33.4313.0343.9910.0352.0110.030.35因市場需求提升,致營收較去年同期成長。
2021/23.03-14.8943.086.656.549.670.37因市場需求提升,致營收較去年同期成長。
2021/13.5716.2770.163.5770.169.790.36因年假關係故去年1月營業日數較短。
2020/123.07-3.06.331.8815.429.270.51-
2020/113.163.912.6428.8116.499.160.51-
2020/103.042.8737.7325.6516.988.820.53-
2020/92.964.7946.7822.6114.658.70.63-
2020/82.82-3.4146.0519.6511.08.690.63-
2020/72.92-0.98.2216.836.78.020.68-
2020/62.9536.8812.8813.896.277.290.68-
2020/52.15-1.68-19.8910.944.626.730.74-
2020/42.19-8.0-12.58.7913.116.690.75-
2020/32.3812.3119.276.625.36.60.65-
2020/22.121.259.994.2228.987.10.6因年假關係故去年2月營業日數較短
2020/12.1-27.367.822.17.827.790.55-
2019/122.882.7821.2727.62-4.940.0N/A-
2019/112.8127.0423.2924.73-7.280.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.162023/11.862022/13.062021/13.572020/12.1
2024/21.622023/22.042022/22.822021/23.032020/22.12
2024/31.922023/32.142022/32.992021/33.432020/32.38
2024/42.252023/42.292022/43.822021/43.042020/42.19
2024/52.182023/52.642022/53.122021/52.912020/52.15
2024/62.542023/62.632022/63.062021/63.072020/62.95
2024/72.572023/72.582022/72.12021/73.492020/72.92
2024/82.662023/82.062022/81.862021/83.552020/82.82
2024/92.622023/92.12022/91.412021/93.482020/92.96
2024/102.692023/102.032022/101.342021/104.322020/103.04
N/AN/A2023/112.022022/111.122021/113.72020/113.16
N/AN/A2023/122.02022/121.42021/123.832020/123.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.91%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0950.0-35.71
24Q2 (19)0.06-53.85-73.91
24Q1 (18)0.13-7.14-27.78
23Q4 (17)0.140.055.56
23Q3 (16)0.14-39.1375.0
23Q2 (15)0.2327.78187.5
23Q1 (14)0.18100.050.0
22Q4 (13)0.0912.5-18.18
22Q3 (12)0.080.0-27.27
22Q2 (11)0.08-33.33-46.67
22Q1 (10)0.129.0950.0
21Q4 (9)0.110.057.14
21Q3 (8)0.11-26.67-15.38
21Q2 (7)0.1587.5275.0
21Q1 (6)0.0814.2960.0
20Q4 (5)0.07-46.15600.0
20Q3 (4)0.13225.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.04-20.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.05400.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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