玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.426.7740.4512.330.923.98N/A-
2024/91.337.9814.9510.91-2.643.811.04-
2024/81.23-1.22-2.039.58-4.663.741.06-
2024/71.25-1.05-7.938.35-5.043.881.03-
2024/61.26-7.84-18.077.1-4.513.821.01-
2024/51.3715.283.05.84-0.983.671.05-
2024/41.196.59-6.434.47-2.133.321.16-
2024/31.118.73-0.273.28-0.483.281.22-
2024/21.02-10.556.022.17-0.593.191.25-
2024/11.1412.53-5.851.14-5.853.191.25-
2023/121.02-0.9211.114.268.433.061.53-
2023/111.031.49-26.313.248.233.21.47-
2023/101.01-12.6-26.8512.2212.663.431.37-
2023/91.16-7.97-17.4211.218.443.771.32-
2023/81.26-7.160.9310.0524.684.151.2-
2023/71.35-11.9526.58.7929.034.221.18-
2023/61.5415.8548.797.4329.54.141.13-
2023/51.334.7226.55.8925.263.711.26-
2023/41.2713.623.764.5724.93.351.4-
2023/31.1215.6122.183.325.343.31.47-
2023/20.97-20.5719.922.1827.033.11.56-
2023/11.2232.833.31.2233.33.521.37-
2022/120.92-34.28-10.3213.1520.93.691.25-
2022/111.390.7338.3412.2424.144.181.1-
2022/101.38-1.3437.5810.8422.524.031.14-
2022/91.412.4837.759.4620.593.721.13-
2022/81.2516.3434.948.0618.043.351.26-
2022/71.073.5517.446.8115.393.161.33-
2022/61.03-1.4913.485.7415.023.111.25-
2022/51.052.4525.94.7115.362.991.3-
2022/41.0212.1522.383.6612.652.741.42-
2022/30.9113.4711.62.639.272.631.33-
2022/20.81-11.713.531.728.072.741.28-
2022/10.91-10.6612.430.9112.432.941.19-
2021/121.021.3826.1810.889.523.031.07-
2021/111.010.1824.579.868.043.031.08-
2021/101.01-1.2223.968.856.432.951.11-
2021/91.0210.1925.37.844.542.850.92-
2021/80.921.2513.866.832.022.750.96-
2021/70.910.0612.25.90.392.660.99-
2021/60.919.2912.394.99-1.52.580.93-
2021/50.83-0.412.164.08-4.152.490.96-
2021/40.842.27-0.33.25-5.652.430.99-
2021/30.825.27-10.852.41-7.372.410.97-
2021/20.78-4.12-11.921.59-5.472.40.97-
2021/10.810.261.650.811.652.430.96-
2020/120.810.09-12.459.93-1.792.430.76-
2020/110.81-0.3-11.559.12-0.722.430.76-
2020/100.81-0.15-11.838.310.472.430.76-
2020/90.810.12-10.427.52.012.440.76-
2020/80.81-0.22-9.396.693.762.430.76-
2020/70.810.23-7.295.885.882.440.76-
2020/60.81-0.65-2.875.078.352.470.92-
2020/50.82-2.82-4.444.2610.792.570.88-
2020/40.84-8.54-7.053.4415.152.640.86-
2020/30.924.0120.752.624.782.60.8-
2020/20.8810.6537.411.6827.112.610.8-
2020/10.8-13.6617.370.817.372.640.79-
2019/120.921.1335.0610.1115.880.0N/A-
2019/110.91-0.6314.939.1914.250.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.142023/11.222022/10.912021/10.812020/10.8
2024/21.022023/20.972022/20.812021/20.782020/20.88
2024/31.112023/31.122022/30.912021/30.822020/30.92
2024/41.192023/41.272022/41.022021/40.842020/40.84
2024/51.372023/51.332022/51.052021/50.832020/50.82
2024/61.262023/61.542022/61.032021/60.912020/60.81
2024/71.252023/71.352022/71.072021/70.912020/70.81
2024/81.232023/81.262022/81.252021/80.922020/80.81
2024/91.332023/91.162022/91.42021/91.022020/90.81
2024/101.422023/101.012022/101.382021/101.012020/100.81
N/AN/A2023/111.032022/111.392021/111.012020/110.81
N/AN/A2023/121.022022/120.922021/121.022020/120.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.1%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3-3.23100.0
24Q2 (19)0.31-3.12-3.12
24Q1 (18)0.3214.2939.13
23Q4 (17)0.2886.6755.56
23Q3 (16)0.15-53.12-16.67
23Q2 (15)0.3239.1368.42
23Q1 (14)0.2327.7853.33
22Q4 (13)0.180.0100.0
22Q3 (12)0.18-5.2680.0
22Q2 (11)0.1926.6726.67
22Q1 (10)0.1566.670
21Q4 (9)0.09-10.00
21Q3 (8)0.1-33.330
21Q2 (7)0.1500

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