玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.16-12.21-1.7442.53-12.3213.03N/A-
2024/94.7414.756.538.37-13.3313.140.97-
2024/84.13-3.31-1.8333.63-15.5512.571.02-
2024/74.272.5514.7629.5-17.1712.441.03-
2024/64.174.08-22.1725.23-20.912.51.0-
2024/54.0-7.55-21.921.06-20.6413.080.96-
2024/44.33-8.78-24.5117.06-20.3412.790.98-
2024/34.7527.62-7.5112.73-18.8112.731.08-
2024/23.72-12.89-28.927.99-24.3112.941.06-
2024/14.27-13.87-19.784.27-19.7813.860.99-
2023/124.966.91-7.6258.10.8413.831.06-
2023/114.649.48-1.0653.151.7113.321.1-
2023/104.23-4.84-9.1748.511.9812.891.14-
2023/94.455.76-22.7444.283.1912.381.53-
2023/84.2113.02-23.1639.837.2213.281.43-
2023/73.72-30.44-22.4735.6212.4714.21.34-
2023/65.354.44-5.5631.918.7216.211.23-
2023/55.12-10.6410.4626.5425.2115.991.25-
2023/45.7311.7537.6921.4229.3416.11.24-
2023/35.13-1.9111.5215.6826.5315.681.47-
2023/25.23-1.752.0310.5535.415.921.44本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本年出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本年營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2023/15.32-0.8122.255.3222.2515.371.5-
2022/125.3714.5124.857.6217.4514.711.57-
2022/114.690.512.9552.2516.7415.111.52-
2022/104.66-19.058.7447.5717.1315.91.45-
2022/95.765.1824.4842.918.1216.041.46-
2022/85.4814.0430.1137.1417.1915.951.47-
2022/74.8-15.27-4.3431.6715.2115.111.55-
2022/65.6722.1715.8326.8719.5914.471.52-
2022/54.6411.3821.9121.220.6313.41.64-
2022/44.16-9.4819.0516.5620.2812.211.8-
2022/34.633.7110.012.420.712.41.42-
2022/23.44-20.9530.117.7928.0512.091.46-
2022/14.351.2426.484.3526.4812.81.38-
2021/124.33.6432.849.0644.4912.741.12-
2021/114.15-3.2415.2444.7645.7213.061.09-
2021/104.29-7.3339.6440.6149.7713.121.09-
2021/94.639.9426.2736.3251.0613.860.96本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本年出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本年營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2021/84.21-16.1641.4931.6955.5214.120.94本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本年出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本年營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2021/75.022.59115.4827.4857.9213.720.97本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2021/64.8928.5986.6422.4749.0312.21.1本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2021/53.88.7627.7317.5741.1111.491.17-
2021/43.5-16.3616.4113.7745.3110.331.3-
2021/34.1858.1531.1810.2758.7410.271.24本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本年出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本年營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2021/22.64-23.1576.16.0985.539.321.37本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2021/13.446.393.53.4493.510.281.24本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2020/123.24-10.0638.4733.9514.359.911.06-
2020/113.617.2492.1830.7112.2910.331.02本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2020/103.07-16.21177.5427.116.429.711.09本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2020/93.6623.1989.1824.04-1.348.970.97本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2020/82.9727.6763.1420.38-9.167.931.1本公司機台依客戶需求客製化生產,因應客戶訂單需求與交期,本月出貨交機量較去年同期為多,致本月營收較去年同期增加比重較多。
2020/72.33-11.13-38.8617.4-15.557.931.1-
2020/62.62-11.99-31.915.07-10.278.610.89-
2020/52.98-0.8713.3812.45-3.849.170.84-
2020/43.01-5.7527.119.47-8.227.71.0-
2020/33.19112.3115.956.47-18.726.471.02-
2020/21.5-15.56-40.593.28-37.025.621.18-
2020/11.78-23.92-33.651.78-33.655.991.11-
2019/122.3424.82-14.4429.69-20.90.0N/A-
2019/111.8769.32-37.727.35-21.410.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.272023/15.322022/14.352021/13.442020/11.78
2024/23.722023/25.232022/23.442021/22.642020/21.5
2024/34.752023/35.132022/34.62021/34.182020/33.19
2024/44.332023/45.732022/44.162021/43.52020/43.01
2024/54.02023/55.122022/54.642021/53.82020/52.98
2024/64.172023/65.352022/65.672021/64.892020/62.62
2024/74.272023/73.722022/74.82021/75.022020/72.33
2024/84.132023/84.212022/85.482021/84.212020/82.97
2024/94.742023/94.452022/95.762021/94.632020/93.66
2024/104.162023/104.232022/104.662021/104.292020/103.07
N/AN/A2023/114.642022/114.692021/114.152020/113.6
N/AN/A2023/124.962022/125.372021/124.32020/123.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 39.98%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.01-23.41-27.47
24Q2 (19)3.9317.66-31.29
24Q1 (18)3.34-31.13-41.09
23Q4 (17)4.8516.87-33.74
23Q3 (16)4.15-27.45-52.19
23Q2 (15)5.720.88-25.62
23Q1 (14)5.67-22.5441.04
22Q4 (13)7.32-15.6731.18
22Q3 (12)8.6812.87113.79
22Q2 (11)7.6991.29147.27
22Q1 (10)4.02-27.9613.56
21Q4 (9)5.5837.4444.94
21Q3 (8)4.0630.5558.59
21Q2 (7)3.11-12.1557.07
21Q1 (6)3.54-8.05158.39
20Q4 (5)3.8550.39165.52
20Q3 (4)2.5629.290.0
20Q2 (3)1.9844.530.0
20Q1 (2)1.37-5.520.0
19Q4 (1)1.450.00.0

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