玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1167.325.02.17628.74-5.64197.35N/A-
2024/1064.11-2.73-15.85561.42-6.49193.23N/A-
2024/965.914.288.16497.31-5.14183.710.35-
2024/863.2115.7813.35431.4-6.89174.540.36-
2024/754.59-3.79-4.55368.19-9.66161.290.39-
2024/656.7413.57-13.03313.6-10.49162.520.34-
2024/549.96-10.49-29.03256.86-9.91176.240.31-
2024/455.82-20.78-21.34206.89-3.64158.410.35-
2024/370.46119.3324.2151.085.09151.080.38-
2024/232.13-33.73-26.2180.61-7.36127.720.45-
2024/148.482.9111.5248.4811.52161.480.35-
2023/1247.11-28.49-48.07713.45-43.13189.190.29-
2023/1165.89-13.52-41.67666.34-42.74203.010.27-
2023/1076.1925.02-38.74600.45-42.86192.890.28-
2023/960.949.27-51.46524.26-43.41173.90.54主要係因市場需求減少所致
2023/855.76-2.5-53.89463.32-42.15178.210.53主要係因市場需求減少所致
2023/757.2-12.33-47.32407.56-40.06192.850.49-
2023/665.25-7.32-46.05350.36-38.68206.620.48-
2023/570.4-0.78-19.38285.11-36.71198.10.5-
2023/470.9625.08-13.27214.71-40.87171.240.57-
2023/356.7330.28-55.85143.75-48.9143.750.94主要係因市場需求減少所致
2023/243.540.16-53.6487.02-43.06177.740.76主要係因市場需求減少所致
2023/143.47-52.08-26.1843.47-26.18247.150.55-
2022/1290.72-19.68-39.641254.61-5.22328.070.45-
2022/11112.96-9.187.791163.89-0.81362.910.41-
2022/10124.39-0.9332.991050.93-1.66370.890.4-
2022/9125.573.828.43926.55-4.98355.090.43-
2022/8120.9411.384.32800.98-6.79350.470.44-
2022/7108.58-10.22-16.46680.04-8.52316.860.48-
2022/6120.9438.48-6.24571.46-6.84290.110.47-
2022/587.346.73-30.51450.51-7.0297.680.46-
2022/481.83-36.32-23.29363.181.23304.280.45-
2022/3128.5136.820.03281.3511.61281.350.46-
2022/293.9459.4946.93152.845.39303.150.42-
2022/158.9-60.81-27.3558.9-27.35313.990.41-
2021/12150.3143.44-2.591323.784.14348.620.3-
2021/11104.7912.03-7.941173.475.08314.110.33-
2021/1093.53-19.23-15.351068.686.55325.250.32-
2021/9115.8-0.11-3.84975.159.27361.710.4-
2021/8115.93-10.818.79859.3511.31374.920.39-
2021/7129.980.7530.53743.4311.72384.680.38-
2021/6129.012.638.61613.448.41361.380.41-
2021/5125.6917.828.79484.448.35339.430.44-
2021/4106.68-0.351.43358.758.2277.670.54-
2021/3107.0667.4512.46252.0711.34252.070.47-
2021/263.93-21.139.74145.0110.53299.320.4-
2021/181.07-47.4611.1581.0711.15349.210.34-
2020/12154.3135.5653.261271.056.16378.630.28主要係因市場需求增加所致。
2020/11113.833.01-0.551116.741.84344.750.31-
2020/10110.5-8.24-11.531002.912.11337.480.31-
2020/9120.4313.020.32892.414.1326.560.36-
2020/8106.557.0-2.66771.984.72324.90.36-
2020/799.57-16.16-0.39665.436.01333.880.35-
2020/6118.772.8155.56565.857.22339.470.32主要係因市場需求增加所致。
2020/5115.539.8550.94447.08-0.94315.890.34主要係市場需求增加所致。
2020/4105.1710.4830.71331.55-11.54258.610.42-
2020/395.1963.4-9.41226.38-23.09226.380.57-
2020/258.26-20.12-33.09131.19-30.68231.880.56-
2020/172.94-27.55-28.6372.94-28.630.0N/A-
2019/12100.68-12.03-42.921197.24-6.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/148.482023/143.472022/158.92021/181.072020/172.94
2024/232.132023/243.542022/293.942021/263.932020/258.26
2024/370.462023/356.732022/3128.512021/3107.062020/395.19
2024/455.822023/470.962022/481.832021/4106.682020/4105.17
2024/549.962023/570.42022/587.342021/5125.692020/5115.53
2024/656.742023/665.252022/6120.942021/6129.012020/6118.77
2024/754.592023/757.22022/7108.582021/7129.982020/799.57
2024/863.212023/855.762022/8120.942021/8115.932020/8106.55
2024/965.912023/960.942022/9125.572021/9115.82020/9120.43
2024/1064.112023/1076.192022/10124.392021/1093.532020/10110.5
2024/1167.322023/1165.892022/11112.962021/11104.792020/11113.83
N/AN/A2023/1247.112022/1290.722021/12150.312020/12154.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.77-9.231.72
24Q2 (19)1.95-7.140.52
24Q1 (18)2.1-7.8924.26
23Q4 (17)2.2831.0383.87
23Q3 (16)1.74-10.3120.83
23Q2 (15)1.9414.7925.16
23Q1 (14)1.6936.290
22Q4 (13)1.24-13.89-22.5
22Q3 (12)1.44-7.1-25.39
22Q2 (11)1.550-21.72

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