玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.732.138.3335.793.7111.01N/A-
2024/93.660.933.5432.063.1910.840.08-
2024/83.621.695.028.43.1510.780.08-
2024/73.56-1.054.4424.782.8810.590.08-
2024/63.64.935.221.222.6310.520.08-
2024/53.43-1.85-3.6717.622.1210.360.08-
2024/43.491.854.8514.193.6310.580.08-
2024/33.43-5.98-4.6510.693.2310.690.02-
2024/23.651.028.577.267.4310.970.02-
2024/13.61-2.456.313.616.3110.870.02-
2023/123.74.22-18.9741.77-4.1810.70.02-
2023/113.553.09-0.0238.06-2.4510.530.02-
2023/103.45-2.37-6.7734.51-2.6910.430.02-
2023/93.532.36-1.9331.06-2.2210.390.03-
2023/83.451.14-0.5327.53-2.2510.280.03-
2023/73.41-0.33-1.3224.08-2.4910.390.03-
2023/63.42-3.92-3.6920.67-2.6810.320.03-
2023/53.566.84-3.0917.25-2.4810.490.03-
2023/43.33-7.38-7.6413.69-2.3210.290.03-
2023/33.67.062.810.36-0.4810.360.03-
2023/23.36-1.06-3.326.76-2.1511.330.03-
2023/13.4-25.65-0.963.4-0.9611.520.03-
2022/124.5728.623.3143.591.8411.820.03-
2022/113.55-3.87-0.3639.02-0.1910.850.04-
2022/103.72.695.3235.47-0.1710.760.04-
2022/93.63.813.6131.77-0.7710.520.04-
2022/83.470.35-2.2328.17-1.3110.480.04-
2022/73.46-2.73-2.9424.7-1.1810.680.04-
2022/63.55-3.32-1.8321.25-0.8910.840.03-
2022/53.671.8310.7217.69-0.710.780.03-
2022/43.613.093.014.02-3.3110.590.03-
2022/33.50.67-1.7410.41-5.3210.410.03-
2022/23.481.34-1.416.91-7.0410.620.03-
2022/13.43-7.59-12.133.43-12.1310.710.03-
2021/123.714.084.1142.81-1.1110.790.03-
2021/113.571.62-0.0639.1-1.5810.550.03-
2021/103.511.03-0.3435.53-1.7310.530.03-
2021/93.47-2.04-1.4132.02-1.8810.580.02-
2021/83.55-0.38-0.5928.54-1.9310.740.02-
2021/73.56-1.850.7125.0-2.1210.510.02-
2021/63.639.32.1521.45-2.5410.450.03-
2021/53.32-5.27-19.9417.82-3.4410.390.03-
2021/43.5-1.66-3.5914.51.3310.590.03-
2021/33.561.02-0.2910.993.0110.990.02-
2021/23.53-9.670.197.434.6811.00.02-
2021/13.99.499.093.99.0911.040.02-
2020/123.57-0.09-10.6143.2940.2610.660.03-
2020/113.571.3341.7639.7247.8110.620.03-
2020/103.52-0.0443.6236.1548.4310.610.03-
2020/93.52-1.2331.6732.6348.9710.630.03-
2020/83.570.9347.229.1151.3810.650.03本年累計營業收入較去年累計增加,係因完成得濬(股)公司股權交割案。該公司及其子公司收入已併入申報。
2020/73.54-0.4538.7825.5451.9911.230.03本年累計營業收入較去年累計增加,係因完成得濬(股)公司股權交割案。該公司及其子公司收入已併入申報
2020/63.55-14.3346.7722.054.3511.330.03本年累計營業收入較去年累計增加,係因完成得濬(股)公司股權交割案。該公司及其子公司收入已併入申報。
2020/54.1514.0777.1718.4555.8911.350.03本月及本年累計營業收入較去年同期及去年累計增加,係因完成得濬(股)公司股權交割案。該公司及其子公司收入已併入申報。
2020/43.631.754.9114.3150.6510.730.03本月及本年累計營業收入較去年同期及去年累計增加,係因完成得濬(股)公司股權交割案。該公司及其子公司收入已併入申報。
2020/33.571.5149.5910.6749.2610.670.03-
2020/23.52-1.6548.757.149.0911.090.03-
2020/13.58-10.2849.413.5849.4110.090.03-
2019/123.9958.4561.7330.865.270.0N/A本月營業收入較去年同期增加,係因108/12/2完成得濬(股)公司股權交割案。該公司及其子公司當月收入業已併入申報。
2019/112.522.660.1526.870.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.612023/13.42022/13.432021/13.92020/13.58
2024/23.652023/23.362022/23.482021/23.532020/23.52
2024/33.432023/33.62022/33.52021/33.562020/33.57
2024/43.492023/43.332022/43.612021/43.52020/43.63
2024/53.432023/53.562022/53.672021/53.322020/54.15
2024/63.62023/63.422022/63.552021/63.632020/63.55
2024/73.562023/73.412022/73.462021/73.562020/73.54
2024/83.622023/83.452022/83.472021/83.552020/83.57
2024/93.662023/93.532022/93.62021/93.472020/93.52
2024/103.732023/103.452022/103.72021/103.512020/103.52
N/AN/A2023/113.552022/113.552021/113.572020/113.57
N/AN/A2023/123.72022/124.572021/123.712020/123.57
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 61.3%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.76.85.77
24Q2 (19)7.21-4.76-1.5
24Q1 (18)7.574.411.2
23Q4 (17)7.25-0.411.26
23Q3 (16)7.28-0.55-4.84
23Q2 (15)7.32-2.14-2.4
23Q1 (14)7.484.47-5.44
22Q4 (13)7.16-6.41-4.02
22Q3 (12)7.652.04.51
22Q2 (11)7.5-5.184.31
22Q1 (10)7.916.036.89
21Q4 (9)7.461.914.34
21Q3 (8)7.321.81-3.43
21Q2 (7)7.19-2.842.13
21Q1 (6)7.43.5-2.12
20Q4 (5)7.15-5.671.27
20Q3 (4)7.587.670.0
20Q2 (3)7.04-6.880.0
20Q1 (2)7.567.080.0
19Q4 (1)7.060.00.0

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