玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.52-8.6524.9115.9322.244.78N/A-
2024/91.663.2844.1714.4221.964.650.61-
2024/81.6116.5612.5712.7519.564.30.66-
2024/71.385.3323.511.1520.644.350.65-
2024/61.31-21.4413.449.7720.254.890.57-
2024/51.67-12.9157.678.4621.385.50.51訂單增加
2024/41.91-0.1163.076.7914.895.170.54去年4月受客戶庫存調節,銷量下滑,基期較低,造成本月增加幅度較大
2024/31.9242.796.894.882.954.880.56-
2024/21.34-17.21-18.582.960.564.360.63-
2024/11.6216.3624.891.6224.894.450.62-
2023/121.39-2.78-19.1715.86-27.484.040.65-
2023/111.4318.03-5.7314.47-28.193.80.69-
2023/101.215.421.5913.03-30.023.790.69-
2023/91.15-19.34-22.0111.82-32.193.70.8-
2023/81.4327.87-19.3410.67-33.133.70.79-
2023/71.12-3.24-38.319.24-34.853.330.88-
2023/61.159.18-30.18.12-34.343.380.86-
2023/51.06-9.93-52.716.97-35.04.020.73訂單減少
2023/41.17-34.52-51.715.91-30.334.610.63訂單減少
2023/31.798.75-28.724.74-21.754.740.7-
2023/21.6526.996.842.95-16.84.670.71-
2023/11.3-24.69-35.061.3-35.064.540.73-
2022/121.7213.37-1.3621.878.624.440.75-
2022/111.5227.21-2.920.159.574.190.79-
2022/101.2-19.07-20.1318.6310.744.440.75-
2022/91.48-16.59-4.6417.4313.755.060.71-
2022/81.77-2.1911.7215.9515.825.230.68-
2022/71.819.628.5714.1816.355.70.63-
2022/61.65-26.12-2.2812.3717.596.320.64-
2022/52.24-8.0419.5110.7221.397.180.56-
2022/42.43-3.3426.198.4921.896.490.62-
2022/32.5163.0217.156.0620.256.060.63-
2022/21.54-22.8121.33.5422.555.290.72-
2022/12.014.3723.532.023.535.310.72-
2021/121.7511.625.0720.1325.414.810.78-
2021/111.574.6441.7818.3825.454.610.81-
2021/101.5-3.3879.6216.8224.124.630.81去年同期受疫情影響,今年營收因市場需求較去年同期成長。
2021/91.55-2.2737.7715.3220.484.80.73-
2021/81.58-4.9445.4113.7718.84.940.71-
2021/71.67-1.3335.1312.1916.045.230.67-
2021/61.69-9.6594.0810.5213.55.490.59去年同期受疫情影響,今年營收因市場需求較去年同期成長。
2021/51.87-2.8935.868.835.155.940.54-
2021/41.93-10.2612.876.96-0.865.340.6-
2021/32.1568.794.025.04-5.275.040.6-
2021/21.27-21.39-31.972.89-11.164.290.71-
2021/11.6215.816.951.6216.954.120.74-
2020/121.426.51-12.2816.05-22.563.330.79-
2020/111.132.56-23.7114.65-23.423.060.87-
2020/100.83-25.89-45.813.55-23.393.050.87-
2020/91.123.13-29.3912.72-21.263.450.81-
2020/81.09-11.66-28.211.59-20.373.190.87-
2020/71.2341.7-25.7110.5-19.463.480.8-
2020/60.87-36.75-36.139.27-18.553.950.77-
2020/51.38-19.33-32.988.4-16.165.150.59-
2020/41.71-17.3-27.857.02-11.825.640.54-
2020/32.0610.38-8.585.32-5.055.320.6-
2020/21.8735.1429.673.25-2.664.850.66-
2020/11.38-13.15-27.21.38-27.24.420.72-
2019/121.5910.030.7320.73-4.780.0N/A-
2019/111.45-5.81-7.6919.14-5.220.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.622023/11.32022/12.02021/11.622020/11.38
2024/21.342023/21.652022/21.542021/21.272020/21.87
2024/31.922023/31.792022/32.512021/32.152020/32.06
2024/41.912023/41.172022/42.432021/41.932020/41.71
2024/51.672023/51.062022/52.242021/51.872020/51.38
2024/61.312023/61.152022/61.652021/61.692020/60.87
2024/71.382023/71.122022/71.812021/71.672020/71.23
2024/81.612023/81.432022/81.772021/81.582020/81.09
2024/91.662023/91.152022/91.482021/91.552020/91.12
2024/101.522023/101.212022/101.22021/101.52020/100.83
N/AN/A2023/111.432022/111.522021/111.572020/111.1
N/AN/A2023/121.392022/121.722021/121.752020/121.4
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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