玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.8621.6168.4227.0115.3810.05N/A本月營收成長主要受惠於終端智慧型手機新機效應加上HPC、AI 相關測試板需求強勁,帶動整體訂單需求,致營收變動達50%以上。
2024/93.175.0446.623.159.639.170.45-
2024/83.021.4845.3419.985.418.750.47-
2024/72.987.9410.9916.960.497.990.51-
2024/62.7622.142.5413.98-1.487.230.55-
2024/52.261.99-5.3311.23-2.437.00.57-
2024/42.21-12.37-6.598.97-1.676.640.6-
2024/32.5333.237.026.760.056.760.48-
2024/21.9-18.79-14.984.23-3.697.040.46-
2024/12.33-16.927.942.337.947.770.42-
2023/122.817.11-18.0528.84-34.277.720.42-
2023/112.6214.5-31.3726.03-35.647.080.46-
2023/102.295.85-45.5323.41-36.096.530.5-
2023/92.164.15-52.0221.12-34.866.920.53終端需求持續疲軟,影響新產品驗證與量產時程遞延,致營收變動達50%以上。
2023/82.08-22.5-52.8918.96-32.097.450.49受限於消費性電子終端需求疲軟,持續去化庫存,影響新產品驗證與量產時程遞延,致營收變動達50%以上。
2023/72.68-0.27-20.1616.88-28.197.750.47-
2023/62.6912.75-35.0314.2-29.537.440.54-
2023/52.380.62-42.3711.51-28.17.110.56-
2023/42.370.4-33.759.12-23.136.960.58-
2023/32.365.84-27.16.75-18.556.750.61-
2023/22.233.1-12.384.39-13.077.820.52-
2023/12.16-36.92-13.772.16-13.779.410.44-
2022/123.43-10.29-18.9443.893.4811.460.38-
2022/113.82-9.11-6.9440.465.9612.540.35-
2022/104.21-6.75-4.1536.637.5213.130.34-
2022/94.512.2514.1432.439.2412.280.48-
2022/84.4131.3513.7727.928.4911.910.5-
2022/73.36-18.853.223.57.5511.640.51-
2022/64.140.0122.9120.158.3211.850.5-
2022/54.1415.6915.5816.015.0910.950.55-
2022/43.5810.471.1511.871.879.360.64-
2022/33.2427.21-7.868.292.188.290.7-
2022/22.551.4732.765.059.859.280.62-
2022/12.51-40.71-6.52.51-6.510.850.53-
2021/124.232.9826.6842.410.7812.730.36-
2021/114.11-6.3921.3838.18-1.4512.450.36-
2021/104.3911.0416.4934.07-3.6312.220.37-
2021/93.951.91-3.7129.68-6.0311.080.47-
2021/83.8819.15-4.2825.73-6.3810.50.49-
2021/73.25-3.36-15.5921.85-6.7410.20.51-
2021/63.37-5.94-6.7418.6-5.010.480.48-
2021/53.581.241.3615.23-4.610.630.47-
2021/43.540.633.0811.65-6.38.970.56-
2021/33.5183.33.848.11-9.888.110.52-
2021/21.92-28.54-33.24.6-18.157.940.54-
2021/12.68-19.66-2.452.68-2.459.410.45-
2020/123.34-1.327.6542.0824.2510.490.35-
2020/113.38-10.16-1.5638.7425.9211.260.32-
2020/103.77-8.216.5235.3629.3811.920.3-
2020/94.11.34.5731.5932.7812.010.37-
2020/84.055.0810.2427.4838.3611.520.39-
2020/73.866.7612.6723.4344.7411.00.41-
2020/63.612.2443.5819.5853.3310.570.51受惠於5G即將進入商用化,供應鏈備料需求,帶動多項半導體測試介面之業績成長,致營收變動達50%以上。
2020/53.532.9667.8215.9755.7210.350.53受惠於5G即將進入商用化,供應鏈備料需求,帶動多項半導體測試介面之業績成長,致營收變動達50%以上。
2020/43.431.3764.6112.4352.69.680.56受惠於5G即將進入商用化,供應鏈備料需求,帶動多項半導體測試介面之業績成長,致營收變動達50%以上。
2020/33.3817.9168.049.048.479.00.62受惠於5G即將進入商用化,供應鏈備料需求,帶動多項半導體測試介面之業績成長,致營收變動達50%以上。
2020/22.874.3588.85.6238.748.720.64受惠於5G即將進入商用化,供應鏈備料需求,帶動多項半導體測試介面之業績成長,且因工作天數之差異,致營收變動達50%以上。
2020/12.75-11.338.682.758.689.290.6-
2019/123.1-9.7743.7733.873.270.0N/A-
2019/113.44-2.7733.6930.760.420.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.332023/12.162022/12.512021/12.682020/12.75
2024/21.92023/22.232022/22.552021/21.922020/22.87
2024/32.532023/32.362022/33.242021/33.512020/33.38
2024/42.212023/42.372022/43.582021/43.542020/43.43
2024/52.262023/52.382022/54.142021/53.582020/53.53
2024/62.762023/62.692022/64.142021/63.372020/63.61
2024/72.982023/72.682022/73.362021/73.252020/73.86
2024/83.022023/82.082022/84.412021/83.882020/84.05
2024/93.172023/92.162022/94.512021/93.952020/94.1
2024/103.862023/102.292022/104.212021/104.392020/103.77
N/AN/A2023/112.622022/113.822021/114.112020/113.38
N/AN/A2023/122.812022/123.432021/124.232020/123.34
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09-25.0-25.0
24Q2 (19)0.12300.0140.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-76.920.0
23Q4 (17)0.138.3318.18
23Q3 (16)0.12140.01100.0
23Q2 (15)0.0566.67400.0
23Q1 (14)0.03-72.73-62.5
22Q4 (13)0.111000.0450.0
22Q3 (12)0.010.00
22Q2 (11)0.01-87.50.0
22Q1 (10)0.08300.0300.0
21Q4 (9)0.020100.0

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