玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.219.05-6.2519.27-12.676.26N/A-
2024/92.030.82-28.7717.06-13.446.070.95-
2024/82.01-0.42-22.0815.03-10.856.020.96-
2024/72.021.88-17.0813.01-8.825.940.97-
2024/61.992.53-6.3810.99-7.125.780.95-
2024/51.944.34-31.089.01-7.285.560.98-
2024/41.864.99-12.997.072.45.271.04-
2024/31.776.990.255.229.285.221.02-
2024/21.65-8.0529.533.4514.574.831.1-
2024/11.830.13.571.83.575.01.07-
2023/121.38-24.05-2.225.2834.055.560.97-
2023/111.82-23.0311.2623.936.987.040.77-
2023/102.36-17.4630.722.0839.647.810.69-
2023/92.8610.7149.8719.7240.797.890.71-
2023/82.585.9766.2316.8639.367.140.78客戶特殊專案需求
2023/72.4415.0259.4714.2735.47.370.76客戶特殊專案需求
2023/62.12-24.5141.4511.8331.317.060.75-
2023/52.8131.98174.59.7129.296.70.79客戶特殊專案需求
2023/42.1320.4760.636.96.395.171.02客戶訂單增加
2023/31.7738.568.984.78-7.524.781.0-
2023/21.28-26.480.663.01-15.074.421.08-
2023/11.7322.83-23.821.73-23.824.781.0-
2022/121.41-13.58-39.5618.868.034.850.82-
2022/111.63-9.58-29.9317.4515.385.350.75-
2022/101.81-5.359.7915.8123.645.270.76-
2022/91.9122.820.8214.0125.694.990.86-
2022/81.551.6710.1212.126.494.580.94-
2022/71.532.01-12.710.5429.334.051.06-
2022/61.546.4869.819.0140.843.851.1客戶訂單需求增加
2022/51.02-23.07-12.697.5136.23.971.07-
2022/41.33-17.6522.056.4949.44.211.01-
2022/31.6227.5529.065.1658.575.160.67客戶訂單增加
2022/21.27-44.3677.973.5477.025.750.6客戶訂單增加
2022/12.283.1176.52.2876.56.820.51客戶訂單增加
2021/122.21-5.332.0117.33-2.166.190.56-
2021/112.3341.67120.6815.12-5.725.560.62客戶訂單增加
2021/101.654.1528.9712.79-14.644.640.75-
2021/91.5811.934.1211.14-18.74.740.7-
2021/81.41-19.41-15.09.56-21.544.050.82-
2021/71.7598.511.878.15-22.583.810.87-
2021/60.88-24.7-45.256.4-27.353.150.93-
2021/51.177.53-24.215.52-23.343.510.83-
2021/41.09-12.91-23.594.34-23.13.050.96-
2021/31.2575.88-25.463.25-22.933.250.88-
2021/20.71-44.82-44.992.0-21.263.670.78因二月適逢農曆過年工作天數較去年同期減少
2021/11.29-22.873.321.293.324.020.71-
2020/121.6758.29-1.7817.71-5.494.010.74-
2020/111.06-17.2-41.3516.04-5.873.850.77-
2020/101.28-15.91-27.1114.98-1.674.460.67-
2020/91.52-8.633.1513.711.624.90.72-
2020/81.66-3.410.1112.191.444.990.71-
2020/71.726.6612.3710.531.654.880.73-
2020/61.614.254.548.81-0.24.590.85-
2020/51.558.42.237.2-1.214.650.84-
2020/41.43-15.0513.25.65-2.114.40.88-
2020/31.6829.88.334.22-6.394.220.81-
2020/21.293.6316.822.54-14.114.240.81-
2020/11.25-26.59-32.61.25-32.64.750.72-
2019/121.7-5.6-5.9818.74-0.920.0N/A-
2019/111.82.89-4.8317.04-0.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.82023/11.732022/12.282021/11.292020/11.25
2024/21.652023/21.282022/21.272021/20.712020/21.29
2024/31.772023/31.772022/31.622021/31.252020/31.68
2024/41.862023/42.132022/41.332021/41.092020/41.43
2024/51.942023/52.812022/51.022021/51.172020/51.55
2024/61.992023/62.122022/61.52021/60.882020/61.61
2024/72.022023/72.442022/71.532021/71.752020/71.72
2024/82.012023/82.582022/81.552021/81.412020/81.66
2024/92.032023/92.862022/91.912021/91.582020/91.52
2024/102.212023/102.362022/101.812021/101.652020/101.28
N/AN/A2023/111.822022/111.632021/112.332020/111.06
N/AN/A2023/121.382022/121.412021/122.212020/121.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 36.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.22-9.39-3.48
24Q2 (19)2.4513.9514.49
24Q1 (18)2.15-6.9316.85
23Q4 (17)2.310.4369.85
23Q3 (16)2.37.48105.36
23Q2 (15)2.1416.3127.66
23Q1 (14)1.8435.29148.65
22Q4 (13)1.3621.4397.1
22Q3 (12)1.1219.15111.32
22Q2 (11)0.9427.0367.86
22Q1 (10)0.747.2529.82
21Q4 (9)0.6930.19130.0
21Q3 (8)0.53-5.3639.47
21Q2 (7)0.56-1.7543.59
21Q1 (6)0.5790.050.0
20Q4 (5)0.3-21.05-25.0
20Q3 (4)0.38-2.560.0
20Q2 (3)0.392.630.0
20Q1 (2)0.38-5.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.40.00.0

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