玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.51-10.8-29.85.32-5.091.6N/A-
2024/90.576.87-20.924.82-1.451.531.0-
2024/80.5323.99-15.774.251.891.491.03-
2024/70.43-19.09-23.063.725.031.521.01-
2024/60.53-5.51-1.313.2910.271.561.09-
2024/50.5617.823.922.7612.81.71.0-
2024/40.47-28.31-14.242.215.311.651.03-
2024/30.6629.8113.591.7327.381.731.09-
2024/20.51-7.9423.751.0637.791.621.16-
2024/10.55-0.6853.850.5553.851.671.12訂單成長
2023/120.56-0.447.266.7329.31.841.19-
2023/110.56-22.1957.686.1727.892.01.09訂單成長
2023/100.720.4868.355.6125.522.071.05訂單成長
2023/90.7213.8361.464.8920.991.90.95訂單成長
2023/80.6313.2658.294.1715.991.721.05訂單成長
2023/70.563.7654.943.5410.721.631.11訂單成長
2023/60.54-0.4930.892.985.131.630.93-
2023/50.54-2.7821.692.450.791.680.9-
2023/40.55-5.0315.571.91-3.851.550.97-
2023/30.5841.4314.151.36-10.031.361.0-
2023/20.4114.44-0.740.77-22.441.151.17-
2023/10.36-4.93-37.960.36-37.961.091.23-
2022/120.386.64-19.995.2-8.861.161.08-
2022/110.36-16.92-30.484.82-7.851.231.03-
2022/100.43-3.63-15.514.47-5.41.270.99-
2022/90.4411.597.114.04-4.191.21.02-
2022/80.410.87-1.543.6-5.421.171.05-
2022/70.36-12.34-23.153.2-5.891.211.01-
2022/60.41-7.4911.72.84-3.141.330.92-
2022/50.44-7.66-9.512.43-5.261.430.85-
2022/40.48-6.191.541.99-4.261.410.87-
2022/30.5122.96-15.871.51-5.971.510.95-
2022/20.42-28.476.151.00.071.470.97-
2022/10.5822.61-3.860.58-3.861.570.91-
2021/120.47-7.33-17.675.719.311.490.93-
2021/110.510.950.235.2312.651.430.96-
2021/100.5122.1815.714.7214.181.331.04-
2021/90.412.57-6.694.2214.01.290.96-
2021/80.4-13.462.73.816.831.240.99-
2021/70.4727.41-2.173.418.771.320.93-
2021/60.37-25.06-20.842.9322.971.330.75-
2021/50.493.6120.992.5633.531.570.64-
2021/40.47-22.2937.372.0836.881.470.68-
2021/30.6155.1652.441.636.741.60.61營收增加主係訂單增加
2021/20.39-35.2215.351.028.651.570.62-
2021/10.65.039.040.639.041.690.58-
2020/120.5812.82158.435.2213.931.520.64營收差異主係訂單增加
2020/110.5116.5487.724.656.551.390.7營收差異主係訂單增加
2020/100.44-1.4746.064.141.161.280.77-
2020/90.4412.943.373.7-2.381.310.81-
2020/80.39-17.5712.193.25-6.461.330.8-
2020/70.483.0931.032.86-8.551.340.8-
2020/60.4614.5517.562.38-13.771.210.93-
2020/50.417.65-36.961.92-18.981.150.99-
2020/40.34-13.77-38.611.52-12.311.081.05-
2020/30.417.415.061.170.271.170.82-
2020/20.34-21.9212.630.77-2.021.00.96-
2020/10.4395.16-11.050.43-11.050.931.03-
2019/120.22-18.04-60.954.58-39.370.0N/A營收差異主係客戶訂單減少
2019/110.27-9.31-57.764.36-37.610.0N/A營收差異主係客戶訂單減少
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.552023/10.362022/10.582021/10.62020/10.43
2024/20.512023/20.412022/20.422021/20.392020/20.34
2024/30.662023/30.582022/30.512021/30.612020/30.4
2024/40.472023/40.552022/40.482021/40.472020/40.34
2024/50.562023/50.542022/50.442021/50.492020/50.4
2024/60.532023/60.542022/60.412021/60.372020/60.46
2024/70.432023/70.562022/70.362021/70.472020/70.48
2024/80.532023/80.632022/80.42021/80.42020/80.39
2024/90.572023/90.722022/90.442021/90.412020/90.44
2024/100.512023/100.722022/100.432021/100.512020/100.44
N/AN/A2023/110.562022/110.362021/110.512020/110.51
N/AN/A2023/120.562022/120.382021/120.472020/120.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.41%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.00
24Q2 (19)0.01-75.0-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.04300.0300.0
23Q4 (17)0.0100

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