玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)2.13-9.36-1.840.6610.0-14.2942.8010.512.27138.04-8.7816.4518.21-46.41-9.54162.644.215.96
23Q4 (19)2.350.4354.610.60-24.05-21.0538.73-0.31-35.14151.3331.3425.7733.98-11.42113.98156.0834.89-4.91
23Q3 (18)2.34-0.8560.270.79-2.47-2.4738.850.65-37.63115.223.042.8138.3632.6196.67115.71-4.75-28.32
23Q2 (17)2.368.7643.030.815.19-1.2238.60-7.77-30.11111.82-5.670.2228.9343.7260.99121.48-13.39-18.38
23Q1 (16)2.1742.767.430.771.32-1.2841.85-29.91-6.92118.54-1.481.9220.1326.76-12.36140.26-14.551.42
22Q4 (15)1.524.11-36.930.76-6.17-8.4359.71-4.1458.09120.327.369.5415.8822.82-40.72164.141.6835.85
22Q3 (14)1.46-11.528.150.81-1.22-10.9962.2912.78-7.69112.070.4511.5912.93-28.05-57.59161.438.4717.47
22Q2 (13)1.65-18.3252.780.825.13-25.4555.2322.84-34.27111.57-4.0834.6317.97-21.77-22.58148.837.613.58
22Q1 (12)2.02-16.1820.240.78-6.02-30.9744.9619.04-17.17116.315.8944.7222.97-14.2635.52138.3014.4717.49
21Q4 (11)2.4178.520.840.83-8.79-23.8537.77-44.03-0.92109.849.3731.3226.79-12.1457.77120.82-12.0815.31
21Q3 (10)1.3525.0-40.270.91-17.27-8.0867.48-19.6967.61100.4321.198.7530.4931.3731.82137.42-4.3625.52
21Q2 (9)1.08-35.71-48.331.10-2.6513.484.0254.7993.1182.873.11-11.5223.2136.93-20.62143.6822.0633.14
21Q1 (8)1.68-29.71-31.981.133.672.7354.2842.3947.380.37-3.91-3.116.95-0.18-23.2117.7112.3420.44
20Q4 (7)2.395.7556.211.0910.131.3338.12-5.32-35.7683.64-9.43-23.7816.98-26.59-25.43104.78-4.29-28.39
20Q3 (6)2.268.1331.40.992.06-26.6740.26-7.47-24.0892.35-1.436.4923.13-20.921.74109.481.457.67
20Q2 (5)2.09-15.38-14.690.97-11.82-38.9943.5118.0717.2193.6612.9363.9429.2432.4956.2107.9210.4342.88
20Q1 (4)2.4761.440.01.1032.530.036.85-37.90.082.94-24.420.022.07-3.070.097.73-33.210.0
19Q4 (3)1.53-11.050.00.83-38.520.059.3411.90.0109.7462.190.022.7719.840.0146.3243.90.0
19Q3 (2)1.72-29.80.01.35-15.090.053.0342.860.067.6618.430.019.001.50.0101.6834.620.0
19Q2 (1)2.450.00.01.590.00.037.120.00.057.130.00.018.720.00.075.530.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)10.8324.482.72-12.5433.71-19.62134.1114.4518.79-11.07149.048.02
2022 (9)8.700.693.11-14.5641.94-0.76117.1816.9221.138.92137.9812.11
2021 (8)8.64-6.493.64-17.6542.266.96100.2221.4919.4030.99123.0814.82
2020 (7)9.2438.744.423.5139.51-27.8982.49-3.4514.81-32.83107.19-9.3
2019 (6)6.66-31.694.27-21.5154.7946.4285.4427.2822.05-9.71118.1847.47
2018 (5)9.75-25.065.4421.4337.4233.3667.13-17.6624.4211.180.14-8.54
2017 (4)13.0120.694.48-3.6628.06-17.181.533.7821.9839.5687.62-9.35
2016 (3)10.7817.34.65-13.0833.85-14.7678.5615.0915.75-29.596.6612.88
2015 (2)9.19-13.715.35-11.7239.7115.8468.2613.2422.34-24.4285.6331.74
2014 (1)10.6506.06034.28060.28029.56065.000

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