玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.5224.5925.621.0525.022.0959.89-20.0-20.4686.65-19.95-18.0412.63-25.53-33.28133.92-19.4-17.38
24Q2 (19)1.22-17.57-18.670.84-10.645.074.8621.4723.25108.2512.13-5.3816.96-26.3610.42166.1522.953.99
24Q1 (18)1.4825.4227.590.943.356.6761.63-20.08-21.6696.54-3.93-36.3723.03-17.1315.44135.14-9.8-35.78
23Q4 (17)1.18-2.4814.560.915.8122.9777.112.4-12.85100.49-4.95-18.2427.7946.875.11149.82-7.57-23.37
23Q3 (16)1.21-19.33-11.030.867.57.575.3023.9712.17105.72-7.59-6.4918.9323.240.21162.091.450.49
23Q2 (15)1.5029.310.00.8033.332.5660.74-22.790.2114.40-24.6-1.9215.36-23.01-27.82159.78-24.072.44
23Q1 (14)1.1612.62-21.090.60-18.92-14.2978.67-11.0927.01151.7323.4517.2219.9525.71-17.15210.447.6325.79
22Q4 (13)1.03-24.26-48.240.74-7.5-14.9488.4831.893.02122.918.7117.2515.87-15.99-17.39195.5221.2248.73
22Q3 (12)1.36-9.33-2.860.802.5635.5967.1310.743.05113.06-3.07-26.8518.89-11.23-16.64161.303.41-18.14
22Q2 (11)1.502.0412.780.7811.43-9.360.62-2.13-11.54116.64-9.8910.7921.28-11.6342.15155.98-6.77-1.79
22Q1 (10)1.47-26.131.380.70-19.54-27.0861.9435.12-1.35129.4423.4836.324.0825.3520.34167.3027.2621.45
21Q4 (9)1.9942.1415.70.8747.46-20.1845.84-29.63-13.53104.83-32.1725.7119.21-15.23-9.81131.46-33.2814.21
21Q3 (8)1.405.26-11.390.59-31.4-38.5465.14-4.9512.87154.5546.863.7722.6651.3726.88197.0424.0646.8
21Q2 (7)1.33-8.28-7.640.86-10.423.6168.539.148.43105.2810.86-4.414.97-25.19-12.04158.8315.31.62
21Q1 (6)1.45-15.79.020.96-11.9326.3262.7918.45-8.2494.9713.89-20.8420.01-6.063.2137.7519.68-18.5
20Q4 (5)1.728.8645.761.0913.5457.9753.01-8.14-31.3883.39-11.64-36.7221.3019.2617.55115.10-14.25-39.7
20Q3 (4)1.589.720.00.9615.660.057.71-8.690.094.37-14.30.017.864.940.0134.22-14.130.0
20Q2 (3)1.448.270.00.839.210.063.20-7.640.0110.12-8.210.017.02-12.220.0156.30-7.520.0
20Q1 (2)1.3312.710.00.7610.140.068.43-11.420.0119.97-8.950.019.397.010.0169.01-11.460.0
19Q4 (1)1.180.00.00.690.00.077.250.00.0131.770.00.018.120.00.0190.890.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)4.93-18.782.99-14.3374.0423.17122.2716.826.8855.74169.4314.85
2022 (9)6.07-1.943.493.2560.111.99104.68-3.017.26-31.78147.524.21
2021 (8)6.196.543.380.058.94-6.21107.92-0.1625.3012.05141.56-4.58
2020 (7)5.81-1.023.3815.3662.841.03108.09-13.1422.581.44148.35-9.75
2019 (6)5.871.212.93-9.8562.20-1.21124.4410.9222.26-13.55164.3810.03
2018 (5)5.80-9.663.25-26.362.9610.79112.1935.6425.7566.02149.4020.46
2017 (4)6.4214.854.4120.8256.83-12.9282.71-17.2915.51-78.0124.0230.86
2016 (3)5.5903.65065.260100.00070.49094.770

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