玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.02-4.1172.9722.1150.047.55N/A配合客戶出貨
2024/103.15130.81430.7219.08146.756.21N/A配合客戶出貨
2024/91.37-19.1887.9815.92123.114.741.44配合客戶出貨
2024/81.690.48135.5414.56127.094.61.48配合客戶出貨
2024/71.6837.6395.8212.87126.024.311.58配合客戶出貨
2024/61.22-12.84220.9911.18131.394.231.27配合客戶出貨
2024/51.4-12.5856.459.96123.735.261.02配合客戶出貨
2024/41.6-28.661.988.56140.75.241.02配合客戶出貨
2024/32.2561.8293.726.95171.116.950.69配合客戶出貨
2024/21.39-58.198.214.71235.057.740.62配合客戶出貨
2024/13.329.12371.413.32371.417.460.64配合客戶出貨
2023/123.04174.21172.9911.88-19.884.741.2配合客戶出貨
2023/111.1186.4410.698.84-35.552.432.35-
2023/100.59-18.24-46.147.73-39.192.042.8-
2023/90.731.26-39.817.14-38.532.32.0-
2023/80.72-16.46-40.36.41-38.381.962.36-
2023/70.86125.6-12.355.69-38.132.142.16-
2023/60.38-57.52-78.414.83-41.22.271.51配合客戶出貨
2023/50.9-9.49-28.964.45-31.033.051.13-
2023/40.99-14.61-20.793.56-31.542.851.2-
2023/31.1665.57-38.592.56-34.952.561.43-
2023/20.7-0.36-41.581.4-31.592.521.46-
2023/10.7-36.8-17.530.7-17.532.821.31-
2022/121.1111.18-25.0514.830.023.221.27-
2022/111.0-9.292.6313.722.833.311.24-
2022/101.1-8.62-23.7712.722.853.511.17-
2022/91.210.43-11.3911.616.383.391.41-
2022/81.222.6511.410.48.923.951.21-
2022/70.98-44.42-26.839.28.64.011.2-
2022/61.7639.77130.338.2215.264.281.07配合客戶出貨
2022/51.260.9-46.076.461.424.41.04-
2022/41.25-33.8-18.335.1929.044.341.05-
2022/31.8957.5141.173.9458.163.941.0配合客戶出貨
2022/21.240.6690.492.0577.863.541.12配合客戶出貨
2022/10.85-42.5662.690.8562.693.311.19配合客戶出貨
2021/121.4952.2663.3314.8268.953.910.88配合客戶出貨
2021/110.98-32.6325.1913.3469.63.790.91配合客戶出貨
2021/101.456.2185.9412.3674.493.890.88配合客戶出貨
2021/91.3626.28113.2510.9173.073.780.98配合客戶出貨
2021/81.08-19.4526.239.5568.543.191.16配合客戶出貨
2021/71.3474.978.018.4776.064.450.83配合客戶出貨
2021/60.77-67.27-10.017.1399.714.640.69配合客戶出貨
2021/52.3452.8335.376.37134.055.210.61配合客戶出貨
2021/41.5314.43245.394.0284.453.50.91配合客戶出貨
2021/31.34112.5540.792.4943.392.491.39-
2021/20.6320.1357.691.1546.532.061.68配合客戶出貨
2021/10.52-42.3435.040.5235.042.211.57-
2020/120.9116.7130.238.7715.742.470.98-
2020/110.780.0547.667.8614.272.21.11-
2020/100.7821.8180.137.0811.492.271.07配合客戶出貨
2020/90.64-25.245.746.316.482.741.0-
2020/80.86-31.089.125.676.572.950.93-
2020/71.2445.7729.534.816.132.631.04-
2020/60.8558.32-12.93.57-0.131.831.42-
2020/50.5421.22-17.072.724.661.931.35-
2020/40.44-53.35-14.222.1811.891.791.46-
2020/30.95138.06304.131.7421.311.741.31配合客戶出貨
2020/20.42.88-31.840.79-34.231.491.53-
2020/10.39-44.39-36.530.39-36.530.0N/A-
2019/120.732.32-23.167.58-17.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.322023/10.72022/10.852021/10.522020/10.39
2024/21.392023/20.72022/21.22021/20.632020/20.4
2024/32.252023/31.162022/31.892021/31.342020/30.95
2024/41.62023/40.992022/41.252021/41.532020/40.44
2024/51.42023/50.92022/51.262021/52.342020/50.54
2024/61.222023/60.382022/61.762021/60.772020/60.85
2024/71.682023/70.862022/70.982021/71.342020/71.24
2024/81.692023/80.722022/81.22021/81.082020/80.86
2024/91.372023/90.732022/91.212021/91.362020/90.64
2024/103.152023/100.592022/101.12021/101.452020/100.78
2024/113.022023/111.112022/111.02021/110.982020/110.78
N/AN/A2023/123.042022/121.112021/121.492020/120.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 30.77%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.8720.83222.22
24Q2 (19)0.72-24.21414.29
24Q1 (18)0.959.2313.04
23Q4 (17)0.87222.22135.14
23Q3 (16)0.2792.86-12.9
23Q2 (15)0.14-39.13-78.79
23Q1 (14)0.23-37.84-72.62
22Q4 (13)0.3719.35-54.88
22Q3 (12)0.31-53.03-60.26
22Q2 (11)0.66-21.4317.86
22Q1 (10)0.842.4440.0
21Q4 (9)0.825.1336.67
21Q3 (8)0.7839.29-7.14
21Q2 (7)0.56-6.6724.44
21Q1 (6)0.60.013.21
20Q4 (5)0.6-28.5781.82
20Q3 (4)0.8486.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.45-15.090.0
20Q1 (2)0.5360.610.0
19Q4 (1)0.330.00.0

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