玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)370.00.00.23-58.18-51.06-0.1131.25-237.51.3820.0220.934.94.710.8628.20-2.15-14.18-1.0421.8-2180.01.52-56.32-47.77-0.0516.6700.08-60.0-52.941.45-65.72-54.111.52-56.32-47.779.85-33.26-194.38
24Q2 (19)370.00.00.55-8.33685.71-0.16-420.0-14.291.1591.672400.04.6814.9913.0428.82-8.97-16.54-1.33-230.39-15.653.48-25.16954.55-0.06-250.0-20.00.2-9.09566.674.23-28.79370.03.48-25.16954.55-6.55-19.28-228.75
24Q1 (18)370.00.00.60-30.23600.00.05-37.5116.670.60-53.12600.04.07-28.0915.331.6612.75-8.921.02610.0147.04.65-9.36420.690.04500.0150.00.22-29.03650.05.9427.475500.04.65-9.36420.69-0.0226.38-18.75
23Q4 (17)370.00.00.8682.98-39.860.080.0-89.741.28197.67-74.45.6628.0516.9428.08-14.55-28.88-0.20-500.0-102.375.1376.29-48.44-0.010-102.440.3182.35-40.384.6647.47-64.545.1376.29-48.4417.41327.2078.57
23Q3 (16)370.00.00.47571.43-60.830.08157.14-89.470.43960.0-87.964.426.76-3.0732.86-4.84-12.00.05104.35-99.262.91781.82-67.670100.0-100.00.17466.67-61.363.16251.11-69.52.91781.82-67.6712.02364.88105.23
23Q2 (15)370.00.00.07158.33-95.04-0.1453.33-121.54-0.0558.33-102.114.1417.28-18.6634.53-0.662.83-1.1547.0-119.390.33122.76-96.62-0.0537.5-116.670.03175.0-94.230.90918.18-92.110.33122.76-96.62-4.8924.97-42.57
23Q1 (14)370.00.0-0.12-108.39-112.5-0.30-138.46-169.77-0.12-102.4-112.53.53-27.07-9.7234.76-11.966.36-2.17-125.74-162.18-1.45-114.57-116.2-0.08-119.51-157.14-0.04-107.69-111.43-0.11-100.84-101.31-1.45-114.57-116.2-10.46-44.61-67.92
22Q4 (13)370.08.821.4319.17-35.590.782.63-49.355.0040.06-20.634.846.14-17.1239.485.739.128.4323.97-26.769.9510.56-22.810.4132.26-38.810.5218.18-31.5813.1426.83-10.989.9510.56-22.81-2.142.149.78
22Q3 (12)370.08.821.20-14.89-33.330.7616.928.573.5750.63-14.394.56-10.41-10.2437.3411.23.436.8014.67-19.919.00-7.79-23.140.313.33-27.910.44-15.38-26.6710.36-9.2-31.579.00-7.79-23.149.8815.9934.04
22Q2 (11)370.08.821.4146.87-7.840.6551.16-56.952.37146.880.05.0930.180.3933.582.75-19.575.9369.91-55.759.769.05-1.710.3114.29-55.880.5248.571.9611.4136.32-7.469.769.05-1.71-1.43-4.95-10.46
22Q1 (10)378.828.820.96-56.7614.290.43-72.08-27.120.96-84.7614.293.91-33.058.0132.68-9.67-18.853.49-69.68-49.428.95-30.5719.020.14-79.1-44.00.35-53.9525.08.37-43.29-0.838.95-30.5719.02-9.04-16.7123.96
21Q4 (9)340.00.02.2223.33-14.291.54120.0-25.966.3051.08-3.375.8414.96-3.1536.180.22-9.5711.5135.57-32.8912.8910.08-9.730.6755.81-34.950.7626.67-12.6414.76-2.51-21.7812.8910.08-9.737.5820.4933.18
21Q3 (8)340.00.01.8017.6517.650.70-53.64-46.974.1775.956.385.080.21.436.10-13.53-5.948.49-36.64-34.9411.7117.9316.630.43-36.76-33.850.617.6517.6515.1422.7911.8211.7117.9316.6320.1349.8951.15
21Q2 (7)340.00.01.5382.14-22.731.51155.93-5.032.37182.14-1.255.0740.062.6341.753.68-0.4813.4094.2-21.189.9332.05-25.620.68172.0-19.050.5182.14-23.8812.3346.09-33.579.9332.05-25.620.057.2942.15
21Q1 (6)340.00.00.84-67.57100.00.59-71.63268.750.84-87.12100.03.62-39.9745.3840.270.650.956.90-59.7783.517.52-47.3441.890.25-75.73177.780.28-67.82100.08.44-55.2719.387.52-47.3441.89-9.800.86-7.02
20Q4 (5)340.00.02.5969.2846.332.0857.5837.756.5266.33-3.986.0320.368.2640.014.252.7217.1531.4253.5414.2842.2335.361.0358.4666.130.8770.5945.018.8739.3658.714.2842.2335.36--0.00
20Q3 (4)340.00.01.53-22.730.01.32-16.980.03.9263.330.05.011.420.038.38-8.510.013.05-23.240.010.04-24.790.00.65-22.620.00.51-23.880.013.54-27.050.010.04-24.790.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)340.00.01.98371.430.01.59893.750.02.40471.430.04.9498.390.041.955.160.017.00352.130.013.35151.890.00.84833.330.00.67378.570.018.56162.520.013.35151.890.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)340.00.00.42-76.270.00.16-89.40.00.42-93.810.02.49-55.30.039.892.410.03.76-66.340.05.30-49.760.00.09-85.480.00.14-76.670.07.07-40.540.05.30-49.760.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)340.00.01.770.00.01.510.00.06.790.00.05.570.00.038.950.00.011.170.00.010.550.00.00.620.00.00.60.00.011.890.00.010.550.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.21-35.98-31.8514.867.244.54N/A-
2024/91.8829.6510.5313.6512.974.90.26-
2024/81.45-7.0117.6911.7713.374.540.28-
2024/71.562.585.7610.3212.784.630.28-
2024/61.52-1.2559.788.7514.144.680.32去年同期客戶要求延遲出貨的情況較多
2024/51.54-4.71-0.237.237.664.770.32-
2024/41.620.69-1.335.6910.024.150.37-
2024/31.6173.876.974.0715.34.070.4-
2024/20.92-39.79-28.082.4621.484.670.35-
2024/11.54-30.57107.661.54107.665.420.3去年春節在1月中下旬,今年春節在2月中,故今年1月正常出貨。
2023/122.2131.9820.9817.74-3.65.660.26-
2023/111.68-5.36.6115.53-6.315.150.28-
2023/101.773.8422.5113.85-7.674.710.31-
2023/91.738.059.5812.08-10.884.420.34-
2023/81.23-16.44-21.4210.38-13.533.670.41-
2023/71.4854.973.29.15-12.343.980.38-
2023/60.95-38.34-52.017.67-14.824.140.35客戶要求延遲出貨的情況較多
2023/51.55-5.75-13.646.72-4.294.690.31-
2023/41.649.1724.935.17-1.084.430.33-
2023/31.516.884.743.53-9.823.530.46-
2023/21.2973.8665.122.03-18.263.850.42去年春節在2月初,今年春節在1月中下旬,今年1月未能出貨的部分延至2月出貨,以致本月營收增加百分比較高。
2023/10.74-59.55-56.470.74-56.474.140.39去年春節在2月初,今年春節在1月中下旬,加上大陸剛解封變數較多,1月能出貨的天數不多。
2022/121.8316.3-17.518.41-6.114.840.32-
2022/111.578.81-29.1616.58-4.664.570.33-
2022/101.44-7.112.715.01-1.084.570.33-
2022/91.56-1.01-29.2513.56-1.464.560.35-
2022/81.579.7512.9212.013.814.990.32-
2022/71.43-27.94-3.810.432.565.210.31-
2022/61.9910.9435.899.03.655.090.31-
2022/51.7936.351.227.02-2.864.540.35-
2022/41.31-8.46-28.535.23-4.193.530.45-
2022/31.4384.26-21.363.918.173.910.39-
2022/20.78-54.17256.582.4838.244.690.33去年春節在2月中旬,2月出貨受到春節假期及節前停運影響較大;今年春節在2月初,節前停運在1月份,2月出貨影響相對較小。
2022/11.7-23.347.951.77.956.130.25-
2021/122.22-0.1211.2819.616.165.840.23-
2021/112.2257.775.5617.395.545.820.23-
2021/101.41-36.01-27.3715.175.545.00.27-
2021/92.258.018.6813.7610.675.080.31-
2021/81.39-6.5-9.4611.5611.054.340.36-
2021/71.491.782.5610.1714.64.720.33-
2021/61.46-17.35-10.248.6916.965.070.29-
2021/51.77-3.7325.487.2224.65.430.27-
2021/41.840.72-3.315.4524.323.880.38-
2021/31.82735.5736.853.6245.443.620.4-
2021/20.22-86.1210.431.7955.383.780.39去年2月受到新冠肺炎疫情影響,大陸延長春節假期,假期結束後,又受到跨區移動管制因素影響,無法順利出貨,以致兩期差異較大。
2021/11.57-20.9764.671.5764.675.670.26去年1月適逢農曆春節假期,工作天數少所致
2020/121.99-5.252.5918.47-7.296.030.2-
2020/112.18.52-0.7216.48-8.366.060.2-
2020/101.94-4.2428.3614.37-9.385.50.22-
2020/92.0231.6324.412.44-13.355.010.27-
2020/81.545.91-15.3710.41-18.174.620.29-
2020/71.45-10.93-24.248.88-18.644.490.3-
2020/61.6315.54-5.897.43-17.454.940.29-
2020/51.41-25.82-23.975.8-20.24.640.31-
2020/41.942.5629.664.39-18.913.430.42-
2020/31.33574.31-17.512.49-36.962.490.66-
2020/20.2-79.31-75.181.15-50.473.090.53受疫情影響,本公司中國子公司2/10復工,另供應商及客戶復工程度不一,及各地物流管制,2月下旬始逐步恢復,致本月業績受影響。
2020/10.96-50.76-37.610.96-37.615.010.33-
2019/121.94-8.3121.2519.926.660.0N/A-
2019/112.1240.3226.5417.985.290.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)370.01.28-66.14-0.27017.74-3.6432.10-10.51-0.7502.15-77.25-0.1300.44-78.220.47-74.18
2022 (9)378.823.78-35.492.59-41.2718.41-6.1235.87-6.476.28-39.449.45-12.741.16-42.862.02-21.091.82-15.74
2021 (8)340.05.86-9.714.41-14.219.616.1738.35-4.2910.37-26.9210.83-7.22.03-22.522.56-12.032.16-1.37
2020 (7)340.06.49-4.145.140.5918.47-7.2840.073.5114.1917.5611.672.372.628.712.912.832.19-5.19
2019 (6)349.686.77-0.885.11-3.9519.926.6438.71-2.212.07-14.5211.40-0.352.41-8.712.831.072.317.94
2018 (5)313.336.8343.195.3250.2818.6815.139.581.0714.1220.8911.4428.542.6438.952.837.932.1448.61
2017 (4)300.04.7790.043.54156.5216.2325.7239.160.4911.6885.698.9052.141.9134.572.0391.511.4489.47
2016 (3)300.02.51191.861.38170.5912.9110.2538.970.966.29104.225.85165.910.81125.01.06146.510.76192.31
2015 (2)3000.8600.51011.71038.6003.0802.2000.3600.4300.260

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