玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.44-44.13-26.995.281.741.98N/A-
2024/90.794.1611.154.845.511.970.65-
2024/80.7675.1733.894.054.481.890.68-
2024/70.43-38.38-30.893.29-0.521.810.71-
2024/60.72.8455.22.866.531.810.73本月較去年同期增加主要係因專案出貨量增加所致
2024/50.6858.581.32.16-3.291.390.95-
2024/40.4355.90.841.48-5.271.141.16-
2024/30.28-36.57-43.01.05-7.551.051.17-
2024/20.4326.91-6.850.7818.61.221.01-
2024/10.34-22.9781.650.3481.651.440.85本月較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致
2023/120.44-32.41-12.046.2917.581.70.64-
2023/110.669.13.615.8420.661.970.55-
2023/100.6-14.9311.045.1923.231.870.58-
2023/90.7125.477.334.5825.041.90.78-
2023/80.56-9.585.683.8728.921.640.9-
2023/70.6238.3648.83.3133.951.750.85-
2023/60.45-32.8630.992.6930.911.551.19-
2023/50.6757.8555.462.2430.891.581.16本月較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2023/40.43-11.886.31.5622.571.371.34-
2023/30.483.6446.881.1430.011.141.72-
2023/20.47147.5286.580.6519.851.161.69本月較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2023/10.19-62.7-36.420.19-36.421.331.48-
2022/120.5-20.384.275.3536.381.681.11-
2022/110.6316.9273.024.8440.91.841.02本月較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2022/100.54-17.7840.814.2137.071.741.08-
2022/90.6623.5446.223.6636.531.611.31-
2022/80.5327.371.233.0134.571.31.63本月較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2022/70.4221.821.742.4728.621.21.76-
2022/60.34-20.3226.462.0530.121.181.81-
2022/50.437.9446.41.7130.891.161.83-
2022/40.421.7537.821.2826.350.982.18-
2022/30.3331.658.90.8721.720.872.16-
2022/20.25-15.656.160.5531.011.031.83-
2022/10.3-38.8363.260.363.261.151.65專案出貨量增加
2021/120.4832.14.143.92-2.051.241.04-
2021/110.37-4.83-5.233.44-2.871.21.06-
2021/100.39-14.61121.273.07-2.581.151.11專案出貨量增加
2021/90.4544.6640.982.68-9.821.111.01-
2021/80.31-9.49-0.752.23-15.940.931.21-
2021/70.3426.52-3.341.92-17.980.911.23-
2021/60.27-7.76-46.571.58-20.60.861.18-
2021/50.31.62-25.531.3-11.640.891.14-
2021/40.29-3.7948.821.01-6.540.831.22-
2021/30.328.3431.390.72-18.750.721.1-
2021/20.2429.7-43.150.42-36.360.880.9-
2021/10.18-60.98-24.670.18-24.671.030.76-
2020/120.4620.2244.924.07.731.030.43-
2020/110.39122.18108.173.544.210.880.5專案出貨量增加
2020/100.17-45.59-45.73.15-1.790.810.54-
2020/90.321.83-15.532.983.070.990.54-
2020/80.31-11.85-6.452.665.881.180.45-
2020/70.36-30.077.392.347.791.260.42-
2020/60.5128.5740.121.997.861.10.58-
2020/50.4103.0997.691.48-0.070.820.78專案出貨量增加
2020/40.2-15.06-22.921.08-15.430.840.76-
2020/30.23-44.47-9.00.88-13.580.880.61-
2020/20.4171.8820.40.65-15.080.980.55-
2020/10.24-24.93-43.630.24-43.630.750.72-
2019/120.3272.68-15.733.729.410.0N/A-
2019/110.19-42.05-13.443.3912.580.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.342023/10.192022/10.32021/10.182020/10.24
2024/20.432023/20.472022/20.252021/20.242020/20.41
2024/30.282023/30.482022/30.332021/30.32020/30.23
2024/40.432023/40.432022/40.42021/40.292020/40.2
2024/50.682023/50.672022/50.432021/50.32020/50.4
2024/60.72023/60.452022/60.342021/60.272020/60.51
2024/70.432023/70.622022/70.422021/70.342020/70.36
2024/80.762023/80.562022/80.532021/80.312020/80.31
2024/90.792023/90.712022/90.662021/90.452020/90.32
2024/100.442023/100.62022/100.542021/100.392020/100.17
N/AN/A2023/110.662022/110.632021/110.372020/110.39
N/AN/A2023/120.442022/120.52021/120.482020/120.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.3%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1-37.5-54.55
24Q2 (19)0.1660.0-36.0
24Q1 (18)0.111.11-58.33
23Q4 (17)0.09-59.09-43.75
23Q3 (16)0.22-12.0-12.0
23Q2 (15)0.254.17-16.67
23Q1 (14)0.2450.033.33
22Q4 (13)0.16-36.014.29
22Q3 (12)0.25-16.67177.78
22Q2 (11)0.366.67233.33
22Q1 (10)0.1828.57200.0
21Q4 (9)0.1455.56366.67
21Q3 (8)0.090.080.0
21Q2 (7)0.0950.0-35.71
21Q1 (6)0.06100.0-66.67
20Q4 (5)0.03-40.0-72.73
20Q3 (4)0.05-64.290.0
20Q2 (3)0.14-22.220.0
20Q1 (2)0.1863.640.0
19Q4 (1)0.110.00.0

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