玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1111.28-4.4422.39114.4728.6733.89N/A-
2024/1011.819.3127.47103.1929.3933.77N/A-
2024/910.8-3.2824.5491.3829.6533.330.02-
2024/811.17-1.7133.8580.5830.3633.60.02-
2024/711.362.6347.7569.4229.8232.790.02-
2024/611.076.942.2458.0526.8130.940.05-
2024/510.368.8928.5446.9823.6529.60.05-
2024/49.51-2.3517.1636.6322.3327.770.05-
2024/39.7414.322.6527.1224.2527.120.03-
2024/28.52-3.8327.4217.3825.1726.60.03-
2024/18.86-3.9523.078.8623.0727.30.03-
2023/129.230.0811.4998.1913.9327.70.03-
2023/119.22-0.4724.3988.9614.1927.150.03-
2023/109.266.7932.4479.7413.1226.270.03-
2023/98.673.9421.5870.4810.9924.70.03-
2023/88.348.4810.661.819.6523.810.03-
2023/77.69-1.1912.2553.479.523.530.03-
2023/67.78-3.3814.345.789.0523.950.05-
2023/58.06-0.754.5638.08.0424.110.05-
2023/48.122.2315.5229.949.0122.740.05-
2023/37.9418.746.4421.826.7821.820.08-
2023/26.69-7.1217.3913.886.9722.160.08-
2023/17.2-12.99-1.167.2-1.1622.880.08-
2022/128.2711.678.3986.18-15.0822.680.09-
2022/117.415.96-1.3177.9-16.9921.530.1-
2022/106.99-1.96-7.3670.49-18.3621.670.1-
2022/97.13-5.43-25.3363.5-19.4121.530.08-
2022/87.5410.094.3656.37-18.5921.20.08-
2022/76.850.61-16.8848.83-21.2721.360.08-
2022/66.81-11.62-36.5841.98-21.9421.540.1-
2022/57.79.65-23.8435.17-18.2922.190.1-
2022/47.03-5.8-26.7627.46-16.5920.180.11-
2022/37.4630.96-10.5820.44-12.420.440.09-
2022/25.7-21.8-20.0712.98-13.4220.610.09-
2022/17.28-4.58-7.397.28-7.3922.430.09-
2021/127.631.66-20.63101.4944.4622.690.08-
2021/117.51-0.52-17.5993.8654.7824.610.07係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/107.55-20.97-12.9986.3567.5824.330.07係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/99.5532.1822.1978.883.8925.020.08係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/87.23-12.3259.8369.2597.6626.20.08係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/78.24-23.2399.3362.02103.2729.090.07係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/610.746.12130.6553.78103.8930.450.17係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/510.125.45167.7643.0498.1528.050.18係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/49.5915.0133.632.9383.525.060.21係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/38.3417.0557.8923.3368.6223.330.12係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/27.13-9.3975.9714.9975.2524.910.11係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2021/17.87-20.7474.617.8774.6126.90.1係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及存儲商品銷量增加所致。
2020/129.928.9124.2570.564.3327.710.18-
2020/119.115.0221.9360.641.6625.60.19-
2020/108.6810.9736.9551.52-1.2321.010.23-
2020/97.8272.929.5742.85-6.5116.470.0-
2020/84.529.34-26.2635.03-11.9813.310.0-
2020/74.13-11.16-11.1730.51-9.3812.570.0-
2020/64.6523.2-14.8726.38-9.0912.540.0-
2020/53.78-8.0-43.7921.72-7.7513.170.0-
2020/44.11-22.268.817.946.6413.440.0-
2020/35.2830.46-7.5113.846.0213.840.0-
2020/24.05-10.0930.638.5516.5516.540.0-
2020/14.5-43.66.264.56.260.0N/A-
2019/127.996.8842.6867.6362.380.0N/A係雲端資訊服務需求強勁及SSD、安防監控類存儲商品銷量增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.862023/17.22022/17.282021/17.872020/14.5
2024/28.522023/26.692022/25.72021/27.132020/24.05
2024/39.742023/37.942022/37.462021/38.342020/35.28
2024/49.512023/48.122022/47.032021/49.592020/44.11
2024/510.362023/58.062022/57.72021/510.122020/53.78
2024/611.072023/67.782022/66.812021/610.742020/64.65
2024/711.362023/77.692022/76.852021/78.242020/74.13
2024/811.172023/88.342022/87.542021/87.232020/84.52
2024/910.82023/98.672022/97.132021/99.552020/97.82
2024/1011.812023/109.262022/106.992021/107.552020/108.68
2024/1111.282023/119.222022/117.412021/117.512020/119.11
N/AN/A2023/129.232022/128.272021/127.632020/129.92
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 98.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.68-12.9127.0
24Q2 (19)7.674.6435.99
24Q1 (18)7.3348.3827.92
23Q4 (17)4.94-6.084.22
23Q3 (16)5.26-6.7412.63
23Q2 (15)5.64-1.5713.03
23Q1 (14)5.7320.8944.7
22Q4 (13)4.741.560.14
22Q3 (12)4.67-6.4161.03
22Q2 (11)4.9926.01111.44
22Q1 (10)3.9633.78121.23
21Q4 (9)2.962.07109.93
21Q3 (8)2.922.880
21Q2 (7)2.3631.840
21Q1 (6)1.7926.950
20Q4 (5)1.4100

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