玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.0117.3824.999.93-9.322.9N/A-
2024/90.86-15.19-18.938.92-12.062.720.03-
2024/81.0221.18-18.698.06-11.262.880.03-
2024/70.84-17.74-16.167.04-10.072.590.03-
2024/61.0240.72-3.596.2-9.182.560.05-
2024/50.73-10.14-15.05.18-10.22.360.06-
2024/40.81-2.07-10.724.45-9.372.310.06-
2024/30.8222.739.213.64-9.063.640.02-
2024/20.67-68.68-21.652.82-13.314.320.02-
2024/12.1542.99-10.322.15-10.324.620.02-
2023/121.553.7779.9813.430.983.290.01本月因依專案進度執行之硬體銷售增加所致
2023/110.9820.35-3.7911.93-4.32.850.01-
2023/100.81-23.87-33.3310.96-4.343.130.01-
2023/91.07-14.9411.2410.15-0.93.320.02-
2023/81.2524.9449.789.08-2.153.310.02-
2023/71.0-5.4-13.547.83-7.32.920.03-
2023/61.0624.07-13.276.83-6.32.820.03-
2023/50.85-5.610.15.77-4.92.510.03-
2023/40.919.798.74.91-5.722.520.03-
2023/30.76-11.95-17.684.01-8.464.010.02-
2023/20.86-64.15-18.143.25-6.014.090.02-
2023/12.39187.0-0.742.39-0.744.240.02-
2022/120.83-17.8-33.5913.30.353.060.03-
2022/111.01-16.5932.0212.473.93.190.03-
2022/101.2227.0256.6711.451.973.010.03本月專案設備銷售收入增加
2022/90.9614.5210.5510.24-2.082.950.04-
2022/80.84-27.88-0.619.28-3.223.220.03-
2022/71.16-5.1117.338.44-3.473.230.03-
2022/61.2243.218.067.28-6.122.910.07-
2022/50.852.49-21.976.06-9.842.60.07-
2022/40.83-9.2927.925.21-7.492.80.07-
2022/30.92-12.444.674.38-12.124.380.03-
2022/21.05-56.5322.33.46-15.714.720.02-
2022/12.4192.03-25.742.41-25.744.440.02-
2021/121.2663.4-41.8113.267.712.80.03-
2021/110.77-1.02-9.4312.018.252.410.04-
2021/100.78-10.36-0.7111.2320.782.480.04-
2021/90.872.95-2.6310.4622.752.70.06-
2021/80.84-14.8639.739.5925.712.860.06-
2021/70.99-4.5227.938.7524.513.120.05-
2021/61.03-5.3521.457.7624.092.780.06-
2021/51.0968.0387.746.7324.52.620.06本月主係增加專案設備銷售收入
2021/40.65-25.7717.825.6316.862.380.07-
2021/30.882.2949.724.9816.744.980.07-
2021/20.86-73.652.314.111.496.260.06本月主係增加專案設備銷售收入
2021/13.2550.454.123.254.126.250.06-
2020/122.16154.3689.3412.310.243.790.11本月主係增加專案設備銷售收入
2020/110.858.530.4710.15-8.872.520.16-
2020/100.78-12.09-18.259.3-11.312.270.18-
2020/90.8947.7629.718.52-10.612.260.17-
2020/80.6-22.05-11.387.63-13.742.230.18-
2020/70.77-9.36-40.737.03-13.942.210.18-
2020/60.8546.299.346.25-8.851.990.14-
2020/50.585.46-73.335.4-11.181.720.16本期營收與去年同期之差異為去年同期有新承接一ERP軟體授權案,本期則無。
2020/40.55-5.68-16.834.8223.651.70.16-
2020/30.594.062.914.2731.974.270.06-
2020/20.56-81.9521.283.6838.184.820.05-
2020/13.12173.5741.743.1241.744.910.05-
2019/121.1475.2714.9212.280.240.0N/A-
2019/110.65-32.01-32.5511.14-1.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.152023/12.392022/12.412021/13.252020/13.12
2024/20.672023/20.862022/21.052021/20.862020/20.56
2024/30.822023/30.762022/30.922021/30.882020/30.59
2024/40.812023/40.92022/40.832021/40.652020/40.55
2024/50.732023/50.852022/50.852021/51.092020/50.58
2024/61.022023/61.062022/61.222021/61.032020/60.85
2024/70.842023/71.02022/71.162021/70.992020/70.77
2024/81.022023/81.252022/80.842021/80.842020/80.6
2024/90.862023/91.072022/90.962021/90.872020/90.89
2024/101.012023/100.812022/101.222021/100.782020/100.78
N/AN/A2023/110.982022/111.012021/110.772020/110.85
N/AN/A2023/121.52022/120.832021/121.262020/122.16
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 14.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.45.2660.0
24Q2 (19)0.3880.95-9.52
24Q1 (18)0.21-12.5-56.25
23Q4 (17)0.24-4.060.0
23Q3 (16)0.25-40.4866.67
23Q2 (15)0.42-12.5162.5
23Q1 (14)0.48220.0242.86
22Q4 (13)0.150.0-11.76
22Q3 (12)0.15-6.25-25.0
22Q2 (11)0.1614.29-40.74
22Q1 (10)0.14-17.65-44.0
21Q4 (9)0.17-15.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.2-25.935.26
21Q2 (7)0.278.050.0
21Q1 (6)0.2547.0631.58
20Q4 (5)0.17-10.53-5.56
20Q3 (4)0.195.560.0
20Q2 (3)0.18-5.260.0
20Q1 (2)0.195.560.0
19Q4 (1)0.180.00.0

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