玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.99-7.3832.5731.526.829.5N/A
2024/103.23-1.7335.2228.5126.259.66N/A
2024/93.284.1654.4125.2925.199.70.87主因空調設備銷售成長,致營收較去年同期成長50%以上。
2024/83.15-3.5468.2222.0121.758.910.95主因空調設備銷售成長,致營收較去年同期成長50%以上。
2024/73.2731.430.5518.8516.388.491.0-
2024/62.49-8.962.8115.5913.789.210.95
2024/52.73-31.616.3813.116.149.510.92-
2024/43.9943.5341.6810.3716.088.441.04-
2024/32.7867.135.676.374.276.371.36
2024/21.66-13.48-14.663.593.26.081.43
2024/11.92-22.7626.031.9226.036.671.3
2023/122.4910.5438.6727.3311.637.130.87
2023/112.25-5.5321.6224.849.496.770.92
2023/102.3912.2143.1122.598.416.390.98-
2023/92.1313.4832.9720.25.396.51.28-
2023/81.87-25.1416.1818.072.886.81.23-
2023/72.53.4833.3516.21.537.271.15-
2023/62.423.03-1.4213.7-2.77.591.21-
2023/52.35-16.730.9711.28-2.977.81.18-
2023/42.827.05-18.738.93-3.957.41.24-
2023/32.6334.9719.046.114.836.111.58-
2023/21.9527.7627.283.48-3.855.271.83-
2023/11.53-15.01-26.751.53-26.755.181.87-
2022/121.8-3.050.6124.4825.945.321.42-
2022/111.8511.157.522.6928.55.121.48-
2022/101.674.26-2.820.8330.774.881.55-
2022/91.6-0.859.1619.1734.835.091.32-
2022/81.61-14.078.4117.5737.775.941.13-
2022/71.88-23.514.8315.9541.656.661.01-
2022/62.455.5454.5214.0846.218.250.74因家電及空調設備銷售成長,致營業收入較去年同期成長50%以上
2022/52.32-32.9820.9911.6244.578.010.77-
2022/43.4756.8358.869.351.977.210.85因家電及空調設備銷售成長,致營業收入較去年同期成長50%以上。
2022/32.2144.3117.85.8348.155.831.1-
2022/21.53-26.4786.443.6275.845.41.18因家電及空調設備銷售成長,致營業收入較去年同期成長達50%以上
2022/12.0816.7468.782.0868.785.591.14因家電及空調設備銷售成長,致營業收入較去年同期成長達50%以上
2021/121.793.5932.0119.4442.455.220.94-
2021/111.720.4940.7717.6543.64.91.0-
2021/101.7217.160.6815.9343.914.671.05因家電及空調設備銷售成長,致營業收入較去年同期成長達50%以上
2021/91.46-1.5317.1814.2142.124.590.85-
2021/81.49-8.9938.9112.7545.684.710.82-
2021/71.632.9321.1311.2646.635.140.75-
2021/61.59-17.3560.69.6352.065.690.7因空調設備銷售成長,致營業收入較去年同期成長達50%以上
2021/51.92-12.037.578.0450.485.980.66因空調設備銷售成長,致本年累計營業收入較去年同期成長達50%以上
2021/42.1816.359.696.1255.054.880.81本月因空調設備銷售較去年同期成長,致本月營收較去年同期成長達50%以上。
2021/31.88128.3985.633.9352.63.931.1本月因家電及空調設備銷售較去年同期成長,致本月營收較去年同期成長達50%以上。
2021/20.82-33.4410.752.0631.283.411.27-
2021/11.24-8.6949.761.2449.763.811.14-
2020/121.3510.4624.6213.6521.983.640.92-
2020/111.2214.7124.1512.2921.73.540.95-
2020/101.07-14.599.0111.0721.433.390.99-
2020/91.2516.7145.1910.022.933.671.06-
2020/81.07-20.6474.778.7520.33.411.14本月因家電設備銷售較去年同期成長,致本月營收較去年同期成長達50%以上。
2020/71.3536.4716.977.6815.293.731.04-
2020/60.99-29.225.76.3314.933.751.17-
2020/51.42.135.455.3413.143.781.16-
2020/41.3735.1930.293.9516.143.121.4-
2020/31.0136.262.282.589.812.581.87-
2020/20.74-9.99121.51.5715.292.651.82本月因家電及空調設備銷售較去年同期成長,致本月營收較去年同期成長達50%以上。
2020/10.82-24.01-19.460.82-19.460.0N/A-
2019/121.0910.0450.4411.1925.410.0N/A本月因家電及空調設備銷售較去年同期成長,致本月營收較去年同期成長達50%以上。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.922023/11.532022/12.082021/11.242020/10.82
2024/21.662023/21.952022/21.532021/20.822020/20.74
2024/32.782023/32.632022/32.212021/31.882020/31.01
2024/43.992023/42.822022/43.472021/42.182020/41.37
2024/52.732023/52.352022/52.322021/51.922020/51.4
2024/62.492023/62.422022/62.452021/61.592020/60.99
2024/73.272023/72.52022/71.882021/71.632020/71.35
2024/83.152023/81.872022/81.612021/81.492020/81.07
2024/93.282023/92.132022/91.62021/91.462020/91.25
2024/103.232023/102.392022/101.672021/101.722020/101.07
2024/112.992023/112.252022/111.852021/111.722020/111.22
N/AN/A2023/122.492022/121.82021/121.792020/121.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 14.95%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.4528.57181.25
24Q2 (19)0.3512.994.44
24Q1 (18)0.3124.082.35
23Q4 (17)0.2556.258.7
23Q3 (16)0.16-11.11-27.27
23Q2 (15)0.185.88-30.77
23Q1 (14)0.17-26.090.0
22Q4 (13)0.234.5535.29
22Q3 (12)0.22-15.3815.79
22Q2 (11)0.2652.9473.33
22Q1 (10)0.170.013.33
21Q4 (9)0.17-10.53-34.62
21Q3 (8)0.1926.675.56
21Q2 (7)0.150.015.38
21Q1 (6)0.15-42.3115.38
20Q4 (5)0.2644.44333.33
20Q3 (4)0.1838.460.0
20Q2 (3)0.130.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.13116.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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