玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.28-0.75-5.1341.4413.7413.33N/A-
2024/94.31-8.83-0.9537.1616.4113.180.56-
2024/84.7314.3612.9932.8419.1512.270.6-
2024/74.1421.8115.9828.1120.2611.860.62-
2024/63.4-21.47-4.0823.9821.0311.250.82-
2024/54.3322.567.5820.5826.4911.090.83-
2024/43.539.13-0.0316.2532.710.960.84-
2024/33.23-22.92-9.5912.7345.9612.730.74-
2024/24.2-20.859.799.4984.613.810.69市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致 
2024/15.322.82110.495.3110.4914.290.66市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致
2023/124.31-7.969.6545.4312.8413.510.58市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致 
2023/114.683.7866.4441.129.0213.550.58市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致 
2023/104.513.670.5636.434.3913.060.6市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致
2023/94.364.061.1331.92-1.0312.110.46市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致
2023/84.1917.3974.9727.56-6.7211.30.49市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致 
2023/73.570.7344.8423.38-13.9211.130.5-
2023/63.54-11.9124.4719.81-19.7811.090.62-
2023/54.0213.880.3916.27-25.5411.130.62-
2023/43.53-1.29-19.0112.25-31.369.730.71市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2023/33.5836.22-27.748.72-35.368.720.98市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2023/22.634.32-34.825.14-39.777.681.11市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2023/12.52-1.0-44.22.52-44.27.871.08市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2022/122.54-9.64-34.0140.26-31.458.01.25市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2022/112.816.35-24.8537.71-31.278.161.22市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2022/102.65-2.12-37.1134.9-31.747.741.29市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致 
2022/92.712.93-52.3132.25-31.267.561.57市場需求減少及產品組合異差所致
2022/82.39-2.82-65.2329.55-28.377.71.54市場需求減少及產品組合異差所致
2022/72.46-13.43-63.2627.16-20.999.311.27市場需求減少及產品組合差異所致
2022/62.84-28.95-26.0824.7-10.7511.210.91-
2022/54.0-8.13-29.3121.85-8.2713.310.77-
2022/44.36-11.94-20.3217.85-1.713.340.76-
2022/34.9522.8810.9813.496.3213.490.57-
2022/24.03-10.6919.768.543.7912.390.62-
2022/14.5117.07-7.244.51-7.2412.110.64-
2021/123.852.88-20.0658.7310.8911.80.57-
2021/113.74-10.99-15.3854.8813.9913.620.5-
2021/104.21-25.76-15.1951.1316.9616.760.4-
2021/95.67-17.665.8246.9321.0819.260.21-
2021/86.882.6730.6841.2623.5317.440.24-
2021/76.774.252.9934.3722.1916.220.26市場需求增加及產品組合差異所致 
2021/63.85-32.0614.9227.6716.514.980.28-
2021/55.673.55110.1523.8216.7615.60.27去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,市場需求下降;本月因出貨量增加及產品組合差異,致營收較去年同期成長
2021/45.4722.6630.2318.162.5413.290.32-
2021/34.4632.61-8.1612.69-6.0612.690.24-
2021/23.36-30.83-16.278.23-4.8813.040.23-
2021/14.860.894.984.864.9814.110.22-
2020/124.828.914.2652.9610.1914.210.23-
2020/114.43-10.79-1.7548.149.814.740.22-
2020/104.96-7.36-4.6143.7211.1215.580.21-
2020/95.361.674.6838.7613.5215.010.25-
2020/85.2720.198.033.415.0813.00.29-
2020/74.3830.85-4.4128.1316.5110.430.37-
2020/63.3524.22-24.523.7521.4110.250.59-
2020/52.7-35.82-38.3920.434.8811.750.52-
2020/44.2-13.516.9317.7164.7213.070.46市場需求增加
2020/34.8620.962.9413.588.713.50.44市場需求增加
2020/24.02-13.27118.768.65107.0812.870.46市場需求增加
2020/14.639.8197.924.6397.9213.350.45市場需求增加
2019/124.22-6.36119.4848.06148.310.0N/A市場需求增加
2019/114.5-13.485.9543.84151.490.0N/A市場需求增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.32023/12.522022/14.512021/14.862020/14.63
2024/24.22023/22.632022/24.032021/23.362020/24.02
2024/33.232023/33.582022/34.952021/34.462020/34.86
2024/43.532023/43.532022/44.362021/45.472020/44.2
2024/54.332023/54.022022/54.02021/55.672020/52.7
2024/63.42023/63.542022/62.842021/63.852020/63.35
2024/74.142023/73.572022/72.462021/76.72020/74.38
2024/84.732023/84.192022/82.392021/86.882020/85.27
2024/94.312023/94.362022/92.72021/95.672020/95.36
2024/104.282023/104.512022/102.652021/104.212020/104.96
N/AN/A2023/114.682022/112.812021/113.742020/114.43
N/AN/A2023/124.312022/122.542021/123.852020/124.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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