玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.29-2.4512.4612.6716.583.86N/A-
2024/91.325.5318.9511.3817.073.810.0-
2024/81.251.0716.2310.0616.823.80.0-
2024/71.24-5.1418.268.8116.913.880.0-
2024/61.31-2.3717.77.5716.693.840.0-
2024/51.3411.417.436.2616.483.840.0-
2024/41.2-7.6420.064.9216.233.640.0-
2024/31.314.4513.183.7215.043.720.0-
2024/21.14-11.711.572.4216.063.720.0-
2024/11.29-0.720.341.2920.344.310.0-
2023/121.3-25.031.9613.8910.04.170.0-
2023/111.7350.8212.6712.610.93.990.0-
2023/101.153.176.7510.8710.623.330.0-
2023/91.113.1110.519.7211.13.240.0-
2023/81.082.845.448.6111.173.230.0-
2023/71.05-5.5911.247.5312.043.30.0-
2023/61.11-2.598.096.4912.173.250.0-
2023/51.1413.913.085.3813.063.290.0-
2023/41.0-12.948.024.2413.053.170.0-
2023/31.1512.8218.953.2414.73.240.0-
2023/21.02-4.7621.522.0912.493.360.0-
2023/11.07-15.875.051.075.053.870.0-
2022/121.27-17.1618.0512.6314.73.880.0-
2022/111.5342.914.4111.3614.343.610.0-
2022/101.076.816.119.8214.333.10.0-
2022/91.01-1.617.988.7514.112.970.0-
2022/81.028.515.237.7414.962.990.0-
2022/70.94-8.273.316.7214.922.980.0-
2022/61.031.94.815.7817.062.960.0-
2022/51.018.7914.514.7520.12.90.0-
2022/40.93-4.1228.553.7521.692.730.0-
2022/30.9715.2719.672.8219.62.820.0-
2022/20.84-17.6716.511.8619.562.930.0-
2022/11.02-5.4722.21.0222.23.440.0-
2021/121.08-19.7114.2811.0125.783.340.0-
2021/111.3445.0226.489.9327.173.20.0-
2021/100.92-0.6618.148.5927.282.740.0-
2021/90.934.9820.07.6728.482.730.0-
2021/80.89-2.7230.946.7429.742.780.0-
2021/70.91-6.9427.885.8529.572.770.0-
2021/60.9811.3339.94.9429.882.580.0-
2021/50.8822.1333.573.9627.622.410.0-
2021/40.72-10.7416.273.0826.022.250.0-
2021/30.8112.2227.112.3629.322.360.0-
2021/20.72-13.6418.521.5530.512.490.0-
2021/10.83-11.5942.990.8342.992.830.0-
2020/120.94-11.1453.058.7530.782.780.0主要係因全站交易額及電商代營運加值服務增長所致
2020/111.0635.4637.627.8128.522.620.0-
2020/100.780.931.336.7527.22.240.0-
2020/90.7814.5526.855.9726.682.170.0-
2020/80.68-4.9827.475.1926.652.090.0-
2020/70.711.7933.84.5126.532.070.0-
2020/60.76.325.883.825.251.980.0-
2020/50.666.3130.663.125.111.910.0-
2020/40.62-2.4330.762.4423.71.860.0-
2020/30.634.6423.571.8221.471.820.0-
2020/20.614.1745.151.1920.381.80.0-
2020/10.58-5.372.210.582.211.970.0-
2019/120.62-20.129.26.6925.920.0N/A-
2019/110.7729.2734.046.0825.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.292023/11.072022/11.022021/10.832020/10.58
2024/21.142023/21.022022/20.842021/20.722020/20.61
2024/31.32023/31.152022/30.972021/30.812020/30.63
2024/41.22023/41.02022/40.932021/40.722020/40.62
2024/51.342023/51.142022/51.012021/50.882020/50.66
2024/61.312023/61.112022/61.032021/60.982020/60.7
2024/71.242023/71.052022/70.942021/70.912020/70.71
2024/81.252023/81.082022/81.022021/80.892020/80.68
2024/91.322023/91.112022/91.012021/90.932020/90.78
2024/101.292023/101.152022/101.072021/100.922020/100.78
N/AN/A2023/111.732022/111.532021/111.342020/111.06
N/AN/A2023/121.32022/121.272021/121.082020/120.94
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 21.89%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.324.7620.0
24Q2 (19)1.260.022.33
24Q1 (18)1.267.6938.46
23Q4 (17)1.176.3628.57
23Q3 (16)1.16.820.88
23Q2 (15)1.0313.190.98
23Q1 (14)0.910.07.06
22Q4 (13)0.910.033.82
22Q3 (12)0.91-10.7819.74
22Q2 (11)1.0220.047.83
22Q1 (10)0.8525.034.92
21Q4 (9)0.68-10.5325.93
21Q3 (8)0.7610.1424.59
21Q2 (7)0.699.5246.81
21Q1 (6)0.6316.670
20Q4 (5)0.54-11.480
20Q3 (4)0.6129.790.0
20Q2 (3)0.4700.0

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