玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.06-12.17102.9317.6653.936.4N/A本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2024/92.3518.2863.7415.649.166.560.92本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2024/81.99-10.797.3513.2546.856.480.93-
2024/72.23-2.04103.8411.2657.036.230.97本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2024/62.2731.5399.19.0448.635.361.02本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2024/51.7327.39101.866.7736.964.541.2本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2024/41.36-7.16117.435.0423.373.751.45本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2024/31.4657.0115.293.686.413.681.36-
2024/20.93-27.95-24.782.221.283.341.51-
2024/11.2915.934.991.2934.993.531.42-
2023/121.11-0.56-34.4513.71-3.233.251.61-
2023/111.1210.22-6.5412.591.023.571.46-
2023/101.02-29.13-12.011.471.824.31.21-
2023/91.43-22.4526.2710.463.44.381.3-
2023/81.8569.3736.839.020.514.081.39-
2023/71.09-4.320.387.17-5.923.091.84-
2023/61.1433.35-0.866.08-6.972.622.22-
2023/50.8637.22-40.284.94-8.282.752.12-
2023/40.62-50.77-31.034.083.323.131.86-
2023/31.272.4327.253.4613.513.461.52-
2023/21.2429.325.512.196.843.891.35-
2023/10.96-43.72-10.380.96-10.383.851.36-
2022/121.741.7788.3714.1629.964.051.11本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2022/111.23.78-18.6512.4624.693.491.28-
2022/101.151.68-13.4511.2732.183.641.23-
2022/91.14-15.9640.5810.1140.653.571.18-
2022/81.3524.2550.08.9840.663.591.17本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2022/71.09-5.5127.737.6239.133.671.15-
2022/61.15-19.6670.946.5441.223.491.22本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2022/51.4358.4852.175.3936.163.331.28本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2022/40.9-9.1710.853.9531.162.881.47-
2022/31.01.0335.943.0538.73.051.45-
2022/20.99-7.6732.872.0540.082.951.5-
2022/11.0718.2947.471.0747.473.441.29-
2021/120.9-38.7744.2710.949.253.711.18-
2021/111.4710.41115.5510.049.723.621.21本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2021/101.3365.18131.98.5242.213.041.43本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2021/90.81-10.3319.097.1932.682.561.73-
2021/80.95.877.136.3834.632.431.83本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2021/70.8526.4562.235.4829.522.471.8本月合併營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2021/60.67-28.4837.864.6324.892.431.47-
2021/50.9415.44128.143.9522.922.491.43本期合併月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致。
2021/40.8211.3820.613.017.432.291.56-
2021/30.73-1.25-0.532.23.252.21.15-
2021/20.742.469.421.475.252.091.21-
2021/10.7215.731.30.721.32.031.24-
2020/120.63-8.52-39.927.35.091.880.85-
2020/110.6818.79-22.986.6813.021.940.83-
2020/100.58-15.1623.765.9919.391.760.91-
2020/90.6833.3612.725.4218.941.710.91-
2020/80.51-3.08-8.784.7419.890.0N/A-
2020/70.520.036.694.2324.60.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.292023/10.962022/11.072021/10.722020/70.52
2024/20.932023/21.242022/20.992021/20.742020/80.51
2024/31.462023/31.272022/31.02021/30.732020/90.68
2024/41.362023/40.622022/40.92021/40.822020/100.58
2024/51.732023/50.862022/51.432021/50.942020/110.68
2024/62.272023/61.142022/61.152021/60.672020/120.63
2024/72.232023/71.092022/71.092021/70.85N/AN/A
2024/81.992023/81.852022/81.352021/80.9N/AN/A
2024/92.352023/91.432022/91.142021/90.81N/AN/A
2024/102.062023/101.022022/101.152021/101.33N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/111.122022/111.22021/111.47N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/121.112022/121.72021/120.9N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 79.76%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.09-11.7116.6
24Q2 (19)3.530.658.37
24Q1 (18)2.68-6.6214.04
23Q4 (17)2.878.3100.7
23Q3 (16)2.6519.91136.61
23Q2 (15)2.21-5.96198.65
23Q1 (14)2.3564.34389.58
22Q4 (13)1.4327.68521.74
22Q3 (12)1.1251.35348.0
22Q2 (11)0.7454.17311.11
22Q1 (10)0.48108.7220.0
21Q4 (9)0.23-8.076.92
21Q3 (8)0.2538.8978.57
21Q2 (7)0.1820.038.46
21Q1 (6)0.1515.380
20Q4 (5)0.13-7.140
20Q3 (4)0.147.690.0
20Q2 (3)0.1300.0

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