玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/118.44-8.39-10.1899.25.727.51N/A-
2024/109.21-6.533.5890.767.4728.45N/A-
2024/99.865.178.9581.557.9328.330.49-
2024/89.373.057.3171.697.7927.310.51-
2024/79.12.8414.2762.327.8627.650.5-
2024/68.84-8.9111.9853.226.8427.20.45-
2024/59.7112.398.3244.385.8727.530.45-
2024/48.64-5.857.2634.665.224.340.5-
2024/39.1840.8-0.4826.024.5326.020.4-
2024/26.52-36.89-16.2416.857.4825.650.41-
2024/110.3317.3830.8910.3330.8928.530.37-
2023/128.8-6.38-6.46102.651.3827.090.4-
2023/119.45.651.6293.852.1827.340.39-
2023/108.9-1.691.8684.452.2526.680.4-
2023/99.053.591.8575.562.2925.740.45-
2023/88.739.733.9666.512.3524.590.47-
2023/77.960.782.4957.772.1124.820.47-
2023/67.9-11.89-9.2349.812.0524.920.51-
2023/58.9611.282.8241.914.526.240.48-
2023/48.06-12.6515.5332.954.9725.060.5-
2023/39.2218.517.524.91.9624.90.53-
2023/27.78-1.3712.1815.67-5.3925.080.53-
2023/17.89-16.12-18.057.89-18.0526.550.5-
2022/129.411.714.02101.252.3627.390.48-
2022/119.255.96.6191.842.226.860.49-
2022/108.73-1.690.1982.591.7326.020.5-
2022/98.885.7315.8373.861.9125.050.47-
2022/88.48.1821.8664.970.2624.870.47-
2022/77.77-10.750.456.57-2.325.180.47-
2022/68.7-0.1913.5148.81-2.7224.390.47-
2022/58.7225.031.9440.11-5.6423.540.49-
2022/46.97-11.16-13.5131.39-7.5621.760.53-
2022/37.8513.13-11.7524.42-5.724.420.44-
2022/26.94-27.95-1.516.57-2.5425.610.42-
2022/19.636.48-3.289.63-3.2827.350.39-
2021/129.044.24-4.3398.9-2.5326.430.42-
2021/118.67-0.47-3.8689.86-2.3525.060.44-
2021/108.7213.653.4981.19-2.1823.280.47-
2021/97.6711.24-12.9872.47-2.8222.30.49-
2021/86.89-10.86-13.1164.8-1.4622.290.49-
2021/77.730.90.7857.910.1323.950.46-
2021/67.67-10.36-0.9450.170.0324.280.44-
2021/58.556.070.142.510.225.510.42-
2021/48.06-9.35-12.9133.960.2324.00.44-
2021/38.8926.28-6.2225.895.0825.890.36-
2021/27.04-29.26-4.3117.012.1626.320.36-
2021/19.966.8527.719.9627.7128.30.33-
2020/129.323.260.68101.34-3.9226.740.33-
2020/119.027.372.2792.02-4.3726.260.34-
2020/108.4-4.85-3.4283.0-5.0425.170.35-
2020/98.8311.31-3.1374.6-5.220.0N/A-
2020/87.930.0-6.7765.77-5.490.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/110.332023/17.892022/19.632021/19.962020/87.93
2024/26.522023/27.782022/26.942021/27.042020/98.83
2024/39.182023/39.222022/37.852021/38.892020/108.4
2024/48.642023/48.062022/46.972021/48.062020/119.02
2024/59.712023/58.962022/58.722021/58.552020/129.32
2024/68.842023/67.92022/68.72021/67.67N/AN/A
2024/79.12023/77.962022/77.772021/77.73N/AN/A
2024/89.372023/88.732022/88.42021/86.89N/AN/A
2024/99.862023/99.052022/98.882021/97.67N/AN/A
2024/109.212023/108.92022/108.732021/108.72N/AN/A
2024/118.442023/119.42022/119.252021/118.67N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/128.82022/129.412021/129.04N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.38-7.32-39.68
24Q2 (19)0.4120.595.13
24Q1 (18)0.34-24.44-26.09
23Q4 (17)0.45-28.57-4.26
23Q3 (16)0.6361.5446.51
23Q2 (15)0.39-15.22-20.41
23Q1 (14)0.46-2.1312.2
22Q4 (13)0.479.36.82
22Q3 (12)0.43-12.24-8.51
22Q2 (11)0.4919.5113.95
22Q1 (10)0.41-6.82-6.82
21Q4 (9)0.44-6.38300.0
21Q3 (8)0.479.3327.27
21Q2 (7)0.43-2.27760.0
21Q1 (6)0.44300.00
20Q4 (5)0.110.00
20Q3 (4)0.11120.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0500.0

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