玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.12-30.99-5.131.89-5.750.45N/A-
2024/90.173.799.361.77-5.790.511.03-
2024/80.16-11.04-12.51.6-7.140.590.9-
2024/70.18-25.39-11.91.44-6.50.730.73-
2024/60.24-17.71-11.271.26-5.660.770.48-
2024/50.330.23-5.471.01-4.20.690.54-
2024/40.2339.9519.770.72-3.660.560.66-
2024/30.16-4.52-35.490.49-11.750.490.96-
2024/20.1711.06-16.320.328.270.490.96-
2024/10.15-7.8460.80.1560.80.540.87本月營收較去年同期增加,主係去年同期因農曆春節營業天數較少。
2023/120.17-23.85-18.442.39-46.430.511.08-
2023/110.2278.84-39.562.22-47.780.51.11-
2023/100.12-20.45-69.042.0-48.540.461.19本月營收較去年同期減少,主係客戶需求減少。
2023/90.15-16.96-68.71.88-46.220.551.02本月營收較去年同期減少,主係客戶需求減少。
2023/80.19-10.43-47.871.73-42.540.670.84-
2023/70.21-24.86-50.651.54-41.820.80.7本月營收較去年同期減少,主係客戶需求減少。
2023/60.28-12.33-32.411.33-40.160.780.7-
2023/50.3165.02-13.821.06-41.90.760.72-
2023/40.19-24.63-50.020.74-48.930.650.85本月營收較去年同期減少,主係客戶需求減少。
2023/30.2523.85-25.840.55-48.550.550.81-
2023/20.2113.44-46.510.3-59.110.50.89因客戶需求下降。
2023/10.1-53.26-72.790.1-72.790.660.68因農曆春節營業天數減少及客戶需求下降。
2022/120.2-43.57-56.154.46-16.760.960.31本月營收較去年同期減少,主係客戶需求減少。
2022/110.36-8.38-29.584.26-13.01.250.24-
2022/100.4-19.58-1.133.9-11.051.250.24-
2022/90.4938.3317.293.5-12.041.270.26-
2022/80.36-15.21-27.073.01-15.511.180.28-
2022/70.422.91-8.152.65-13.671.190.28-
2022/60.4111.77-14.92.23-14.631.160.29-
2022/50.37-4.29-21.951.82-14.571.090.31-
2022/40.3811.83-39.391.46-12.51.110.31-
2022/30.34-10.66-18.781.083.841.080.33-
2022/20.388.5441.190.7319.31.20.29-
2022/10.35-24.672.120.352.121.330.26-
2021/120.47-9.3714.045.3622.621.380.25-
2021/110.5228.628.794.923.511.340.25-
2021/100.4-4.629.134.3825.51.310.26-
2021/90.42-13.990.563.9825.151.370.22-
2021/80.496.7744.553.5628.871.430.21-
2021/70.46-4.647.533.0726.681.410.21-
2021/60.482.5115.222.6130.761.580.27-
2021/50.47-25.6741.662.1334.851.520.28-
2021/40.6349.8643.041.6733.061.320.33-
2021/30.4255.3110.211.0427.641.040.52-
2021/20.27-21.4822.470.6243.111.020.53-
2021/10.34-15.8864.920.3464.921.230.44因去年同期適逢農曆春節營業天數較少所致
2020/120.41-13.545.084.37-19.251.190.39-
2020/110.4752.6627.843.96-21.141.20.38-
2020/100.31-25.7-26.423.49-25.041.070.43-
2020/90.4223.62-8.063.18-24.91.180.47-
2020/80.34-20.56-20.562.76-26.931.180.47-
2020/70.432.17-18.272.42-27.741.170.48-
2020/60.4226.04-26.312.0-29.481.190.56-
2020/50.33-24.95-48.431.58-30.271.150.58-
2020/40.4415.46-26.631.25-23.121.040.64-
2020/30.3872.59-6.350.81-21.060.811.0-
2020/20.225.72-31.270.43-30.720.820.99-
2020/10.21-46.4-30.120.21-30.120.970.84-
2019/120.395.18-1.45.42-6.380.0N/A-
2019/110.37-12.13-17.675.03-6.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.152023/10.12022/10.352021/10.342020/10.21
2024/20.172023/20.22022/20.382021/20.272020/20.22
2024/30.162023/30.252022/30.342021/30.422020/30.38
2024/40.232023/40.192022/40.382021/40.632020/40.44
2024/50.32023/50.312022/50.372021/50.472020/50.33
2024/60.242023/60.282022/60.412021/60.482020/60.42
2024/70.182023/70.212022/70.422021/70.462020/70.43
2024/80.162023/80.192022/80.362021/80.492020/80.34
2024/90.172023/90.152022/90.492021/90.422020/90.42
2024/100.122023/100.122022/100.42021/100.42020/100.31
N/AN/A2023/110.222022/110.362021/110.522020/110.47
N/AN/A2023/120.172022/120.22021/120.472020/120.41
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.22%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.010.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.010.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.010.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.010.0-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.010.0-50.0
22Q4 (13)0.01-50.0-66.67
22Q3 (12)0.020.0-50.0
22Q2 (11)0.020.0-50.0
22Q1 (10)0.02-33.33-60.0
21Q4 (9)0.03-25.0-40.0
21Q3 (8)0.040.0-33.33
21Q2 (7)0.04-20.0-33.33
21Q1 (6)0.050.0-28.57
20Q4 (5)0.05-16.67-37.5
20Q3 (4)0.060.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.06-14.290.0
20Q1 (2)0.07-12.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.080.00.0

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