玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.56-3.18-5.55.29-10.791.71N/A-
2024/90.580.41-4.224.73-11.381.680.63-
2024/80.5810.515.464.15-12.291.760.6-
2024/70.52-21.35-3.853.57-14.611.730.61-
2024/60.6621.8424.323.05-16.211.670.58-
2024/50.5417.564.082.39-23.161.430.67-
2024/40.468.79-8.981.85-28.661.30.74-
2024/30.433.1-26.741.38-33.471.381.16-
2024/20.41-24.4-39.010.96-36.081.591.01-
2024/10.55-13.19-33.670.55-33.671.80.9-
2023/120.630.74-27.357.18-44.881.840.79-
2023/110.625.27-46.786.55-46.121.820.8-
2023/100.59-1.87-58.565.93-46.051.740.83市場需求不佳且去年營收基期較高之故。
2023/90.610.57-61.345.33-44.181.691.07市場需求不佳且去年營收基期較高之故。
2023/80.550.74-58.814.73-40.831.621.12市場需求不佳且去年營收基期較高之故。
2023/70.541.7-51.144.18-37.261.61.13市場需求不佳且去年營收基期較高之故。
2023/60.532.0-44.993.64-34.491.561.34-
2023/50.522.8-42.743.11-32.271.611.3-
2023/40.51-12.43-39.552.59-29.671.761.19-
2023/30.58-14.16-27.132.08-26.752.081.13-
2023/20.68-17.77-32.811.5-26.62.360.99-
2023/10.82-4.93-20.560.82-20.562.860.82-
2022/120.87-26.19-14.913.0317.673.470.71-
2022/111.17-18.033.0712.1620.974.160.59-
2022/101.43-8.4623.2310.9923.254.320.57-
2022/91.5617.8239.699.5623.254.00.42-
2022/81.3319.523.378.020.483.40.5-
2022/71.1114.515.596.6719.922.990.57-
2022/60.976.173.835.5620.832.720.26-
2022/50.918.51-0.284.5925.152.550.27-
2022/40.845.55-5.593.6833.612.640.26-
2022/30.8-20.858.652.8452.352.840.18去年累計基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致
2022/21.01-2.7798.722.0480.713.060.16係因去年基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致
2022/11.041.8466.081.0466.083.190.16係因去年基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致.
2021/121.02-10.665.4711.0732.993.310.25係因去年基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致.
2021/111.14-1.9959.5510.0530.43.420.25係因去年基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致.
2021/101.163.7656.48.9227.433.350.25係因去年基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致.
2021/91.124.0517.367.7523.993.150.3-
2021/81.0711.9634.16.6425.192.970.32-
2021/70.962.8640.495.5623.62.810.34-
2021/60.931.96112.384.620.582.740.45本月營業收入淨額較去年本月營業收入淨額增加50%以上,係因去年基期較低以及乙太網路晶片銷售成長所致
2021/50.922.7365.373.678.632.540.48本月營業收入淨額較去年本月營業收入淨額增加50%以上,係因去年基期較低以及新應用網路供電晶片銷售成長所致
2021/40.8921.4812.292.75-2.482.130.58-
2021/30.7344.75-13.831.86-8.251.860.69-
2021/20.51-18.74-32.071.13-4.221.740.73-
2021/10.621.4643.630.6243.631.950.66-
2020/120.61-13.8-33.388.32-15.312.070.58-
2020/110.71-3.92-25.937.71-13.432.410.5-
2020/100.74-22.13-23.277.0-11.922.50.48-
2020/90.9518.95.836.25-10.352.440.46-
2020/80.817.29-7.595.3-12.751.920.59-
2020/70.6855.49-17.394.5-13.611.680.67-
2020/60.44-20.6-54.093.82-12.891.791.02消費端銷售趨緩,客戶部份訂單遞延所致
2020/50.55-30.23-39.053.38-1.382.20.83-
2020/40.79-6.779.182.8212.22.390.77-
2020/30.8514.124.02.0313.432.031.0-
2020/20.7571.8270.141.186.862.10.97本月較去年同期增加70.15%,主係108年2月農曆春節,工作天數減少致基期較低之故。
2020/10.43-52.94-34.80.43-34.82.320.881月份營收減少,主因農曆春節工作天數減少之故
2019/120.92-4.1612.599.8311.990.0N/A-
2019/110.96-0.4727.838.9111.930.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.552023/10.822022/11.042021/10.622020/10.43
2024/20.412023/20.682022/21.012021/20.512020/20.75
2024/30.432023/30.582022/30.82021/30.732020/30.85
2024/40.462023/40.512022/40.842021/40.892020/40.79
2024/50.542023/50.522022/50.912021/50.922020/50.55
2024/60.662023/60.532022/60.972021/60.932020/60.44
2024/70.522023/70.542022/71.112021/70.962020/70.68
2024/80.582023/80.552022/81.332021/81.072020/80.8
2024/90.582023/90.62022/91.562021/91.122020/90.95
2024/100.562023/100.592022/101.432021/101.162020/100.74
N/AN/A2023/110.622022/111.172021/111.142020/110.71
N/AN/A2023/120.632022/120.872021/121.022020/120.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.08-33.33-33.33
24Q2 (19)0.12500.0140.0
24Q1 (18)0.02-66.67-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.06-50.0-25.0
23Q3 (16)0.12140.071.43
23Q2 (15)0.0525.0150.0
23Q1 (14)0.04-50.0300.0
22Q4 (13)0.0814.29700.0
22Q3 (12)0.07250.0600.0
22Q2 (11)0.02100.0100.0
22Q1 (10)0.010.0-75.0
21Q4 (9)0.010.0-83.33
21Q3 (8)0.010.00.0
21Q2 (7)0.01-75.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.04-33.33100.0
20Q4 (5)0.06500.0500.0
20Q3 (4)0.010.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.01-50.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.02100.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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