玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.03-6.53-4.7538.26-7.4212.63N/A-
2024/94.320.780.8534.23-7.7213.270.47-
2024/84.28-8.293.9429.91-8.8412.090.52-
2024/74.6748.79-2.0425.63-10.6811.240.56-
2024/63.14-8.54-14.9120.96-12.410.350.65-
2024/53.43-9.29-11.417.82-11.9410.770.63-
2024/43.786.52-2.2514.39-12.079.660.7-
2024/33.5552.38-14.6310.61-15.1110.610.53-
2024/22.33-50.67-37.597.05-15.3510.470.54-
2024/14.7238.492.684.722.6812.250.46-
2023/123.41-17.17-30.048.86-16.4411.760.52-
2023/114.12-2.74-14.8245.45-15.2112.630.48-
2023/104.23-1.03-11.9341.33-15.2412.630.48-
2023/94.283.86-14.337.09-15.6113.170.45-
2023/84.12-13.57-12.6832.81-15.7712.570.47-
2023/74.7729.240.1228.69-16.212.330.48-
2023/63.69-4.77-8.9923.93-18.8411.430.65-
2023/53.870.06-11.8620.24-20.4111.90.62-
2023/43.87-6.9514.8816.37-22.1911.760.63-
2023/34.1611.39-26.5512.49-29.2712.490.72-
2023/23.73-18.83-27.798.34-30.5513.210.68-
2023/14.6-5.58-32.634.6-32.6314.310.63-
2022/124.870.78-23.4958.47-4.9914.520.84-
2022/114.840.55-29.8553.6-2.8614.640.83-
2022/104.81-3.69-27.9648.760.9914.520.84-
2022/94.995.82-14.643.955.6314.470.77-
2022/84.72-0.88-21.4238.968.9413.530.82-
2022/74.7617.471.3534.2415.0713.210.84-
2022/64.05-7.77-0.9329.4817.6411.820.91-
2022/54.3930.432.0725.4321.2713.430.8-
2022/43.37-40.51-26.3121.0326.2314.20.76-
2022/35.669.5139.1517.6746.117.670.47-
2022/25.17-24.2770.5412.049.6318.370.45疫情關係,去年同期進貨較少,致使出貨較少
2022/16.837.2236.916.8336.9120.090.41-
2021/126.37-7.627.9861.556.5419.940.45-
2021/116.893.264.0555.184.5219.420.46-
2021/106.6814.1712.248.284.5918.530.48-
2021/95.85-2.6310.5541.613.4616.550.47-
2021/86.0127.847.4735.762.3914.790.52-
2021/74.714.81-7.4929.761.4213.090.59-
2021/64.09-4.97-8.0525.063.2812.970.43-
2021/54.3-5.8315.1720.975.8312.950.44-
2021/44.5712.3237.8216.663.6611.670.48-
2021/34.0734.21-17.8712.09-5.2112.090.45-
2021/23.03-39.2-15.428.022.8213.00.42-
2021/14.990.2318.344.9918.3416.590.33-
2020/124.98-24.8815.957.777.617.550.32-
2020/116.6311.3539.5952.796.8817.860.32-
2020/105.9512.498.5546.163.416.830.34-
2020/95.29-5.35-4.4240.212.6815.950.34-
2020/85.5910.047.1834.933.8515.110.36-
2020/75.0814.1210.629.343.2313.260.41-
2020/64.4519.0321.424.261.8111.50.38-
2020/53.7412.68-12.6719.81-1.7412.010.36-
2020/43.32-33.07-17.0916.071.211.860.37-
2020/34.9638.231.9212.767.3712.760.3-
2020/23.59-14.9242.777.8-3.9812.090.32-
2020/14.21-1.83-24.94.21-24.913.250.29-
2019/124.29-9.5317.8253.68-6.440.0N/A-
2019/114.75-13.4-12.7449.39-8.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.722023/14.62022/16.832021/14.992020/14.21
2024/22.332023/23.732022/25.172021/23.032020/23.59
2024/33.552023/34.162022/35.662021/34.072020/34.96
2024/43.782023/43.872022/43.372021/44.572020/43.32
2024/53.432023/53.872022/54.392021/54.32020/53.74
2024/63.142023/63.692022/64.052021/64.092020/64.45
2024/74.672023/74.772022/74.762021/74.72020/75.08
2024/84.282023/84.122022/84.722021/86.012020/85.59
2024/94.322023/94.282022/94.992021/95.852020/95.29
2024/104.032023/104.232022/104.812021/106.682020/105.95
N/AN/A2023/114.122022/114.842021/116.892020/116.63
N/AN/A2023/123.412022/124.872021/126.372020/124.98
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.38%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.430.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.432.380.0
24Q1 (18)0.42-2.33-4.55
23Q4 (17)0.430.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.430.0-85.81
23Q2 (15)0.43-2.27-87.61
23Q1 (14)0.442.33-87.46
22Q4 (13)0.43-85.81-87.85
22Q3 (12)3.03-12.68-19.84
22Q2 (11)3.47-1.14-11.25
22Q1 (10)3.51-0.85213.39
21Q4 (9)3.54-6.35185.48
21Q3 (8)3.78-3.32869.23
21Q2 (7)3.91249.112200.0
21Q1 (6)1.12-9.682700.0
20Q4 (5)1.24217.9512300.0
20Q3 (4)0.39129.410.0
20Q2 (3)0.17325.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.04300.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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