玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1190.850.850.42-63.79-55.320.34183.33-52.112.0825.3-25.983.5326.07-31.9826.00-14.19-16.7514.5952.77-31.9214.14-71.21-34.080.5292.59-53.150.5-63.5-54.9517.52-67.17-34.3314.14-71.21-34.081.8134.1159.31
24Q2 (19)1180.00.01.16132.07.410.12-64.71-84.01.66232.0-11.232.8-22.44-49.030.3015.6-5.759.55-37.99-55.0249.11201.84110.680.27-51.79-76.921.37132.27.0353.37158.788.7949.11201.84110.68-18.2558.38-55.80
24Q1 (18)1180.00.00.50-15.25-35.90.34-46.88-56.960.50-85.25-35.93.61-14.05-39.8326.21-20.21-5.1415.40-30.91-21.7916.27-1.155.380.56-40.43-52.540.59-14.49-36.5620.630.155.2616.27-1.155.38-16.56-26.24-28.37
23Q4 (17)1180.00.00.59-37.23-42.160.64-9.86-45.763.3920.64-11.264.2-19.08-38.8632.855.190.0922.294.01-9.3516.46-23.26-6.160.94-15.32-44.380.69-37.84-42.520.60-22.79-5.1616.46-23.26-6.16-12.27-25.09-7.59
23Q3 (16)1180.00.00.94-12.96-14.550.71-5.33-19.322.8150.270.365.19-5.46-21.2431.23-2.866.2621.430.943.2821.45-7.988.551.11-5.13-18.981.11-13.28-14.6226.68-5.628.521.45-7.988.55-6.9812.75-5.20
23Q2 (15)1180.00.01.0838.46-0.920.75-5.064.171.87139.7410.05.49-8.5-7.1132.1516.3615.2721.237.8214.5123.3150.976.931.17-0.856.361.2837.63-0.7828.2744.239.7923.3150.976.93-10.587.46-19.05
23Q1 (14)1180.00.00.78-23.5327.870.79-33.05102.560.78-79.5827.876.0-12.6623.7127.63-15.8124.9719.69-19.9350.6515.44-11.973.831.18-30.1887.30.93-22.529.1719.60-9.766.3515.44-11.973.83-4.21-15.400.52
22Q4 (13)1180.00.01.02-7.2767.211.1834.09114.553.8236.4346.366.874.2528.8932.8211.6747.6424.5918.5161.1417.54-11.2330.311.6923.36108.641.2-7.6966.6721.72-11.6731.8817.54-11.2330.317.88-3.1728.16
22Q3 (12)1180.00.01.100.9264.180.8822.2244.262.8064.7139.36.5911.5122.0429.395.3814.9820.7511.9221.4219.76-9.3634.881.3724.5548.911.30.7864.5624.59-4.533.2119.76-9.3634.8816.6839.8053.42
22Q2 (11)1180.00.01.0978.6960.290.7284.6210.771.70178.6926.875.9121.8614.5327.8926.144.0718.5441.85-0.1621.8046.640.831.174.614.581.2979.1761.2525.7539.7234.5421.8046.640.836.4239.3427.77
22Q1 (10)1180.00.00.610.0-7.580.39-29.09-11.360.61-76.63-7.584.85-9.0111.2422.11-0.54-16.513.07-14.35-17.5414.8710.48-17.160.63-22.22-8.70.720.0-7.6918.4311.9-15.1514.8710.48-17.16-5.16-4.48-19.46
21Q4 (9)1180.00.00.61-8.9641.860.55-9.8422.222.6129.8526.75.33-1.336.3222.23-13.03-4.4315.26-10.71-2.9913.46-8.123.70.81-11.9630.650.72-8.8641.1816.47-10.787.5113.46-8.123.71.68-5.22-8.00
21Q3 (8)1180.00.00.67-1.4745.650.61-6.1532.612.0150.023.315.44.6527.3625.56-4.63-1.7317.09-7.977.3514.65-5.3614.990.92-4.1735.290.79-1.2546.318.46-3.5518.0314.65-5.3614.9911.500.7820.79
21Q2 (7)1180.00.00.683.03-9.330.6547.73-16.671.34103.0313.565.1618.35-10.2626.801.21-8.3118.5717.16-10.2915.48-13.760.390.9639.13-19.330.82.56-10.1119.14-11.88-4.315.48-13.760.3914.9328.2622.75
21Q1 (6)1180.00.00.6653.4953.490.44-2.2222.220.66-67.9653.494.3611.5113.2526.4813.845.1215.850.767.3817.9538.2937.020.6911.2921.050.7852.9456.021.7241.7830.6117.9538.2937.021.8623.48-2.20
20Q4 (5)1180.00.00.43-6.520.00.45-2.17-23.732.0626.38-8.043.91-7.78-6.923.26-10.57-13.0815.73-1.19-21.0712.981.886.310.62-8.82-26.190.51-5.560.015.32-2.05-0.6512.981.886.31--0.00
20Q3 (4)1180.00.00.46-38.670.00.46-41.030.01.6338.140.04.24-26.260.026.01-11.020.015.92-23.090.012.74-17.380.00.68-42.860.00.54-39.330.015.64-21.80.012.74-17.380.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1180.00.00.7574.420.00.78116.670.01.18174.420.05.7549.350.029.2316.040.020.7040.240.015.4217.710.01.19108.770.00.8978.00.020.0020.260.015.4217.710.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1180.00.00.430.00.00.36-38.980.00.43-80.80.03.85-8.330.025.19-5.870.014.76-25.940.013.107.290.00.57-32.140.00.5-1.960.016.637.850.013.107.290.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1180.00.00.430.00.00.590.00.02.240.00.04.20.00.026.760.00.019.930.00.012.210.00.00.840.00.00.510.00.015.420.00.012.210.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.2730.0-21.412.18-38.233.51N/A-
2024/100.97-23.08-31.7210.91-39.733.28N/A-
2024/91.2722.16-34.749.94-40.423.530.75-
2024/81.04-15.81-37.598.67-41.163.170.83-
2024/71.2335.82-22.487.63-41.623.120.85-
2024/60.91-8.16-51.076.4-44.262.81.01本期因客戶端及其客戶庫存仍有待去化,致營收較去年同期減少。
2024/50.999.25-54.385.5-42.952.980.95本期因客戶端及其客戶庫存仍有待去化,致營收較去年同期減少。
2024/40.9-16.93-38.894.51-39.653.010.94-
2024/31.096.14-52.183.61-39.833.610.73本期因客戶端及其客戶庫存仍有待去化,致營收較去年同期減少。
2024/21.02-31.51-52.22.52-32.293.690.72本期2月因適逢春節假期,出貨較少,致營收較去年同期減少。
2024/11.528.07-5.291.5-5.294.270.62-
2023/121.17-27.49-55.1920.88-13.764.20.83本期因客戶端及其客戶庫存仍有待去化,致營收較去年同期減少。
2023/111.6112.93-34.5319.72-8.764.980.7-
2023/101.43-26.48-20.6818.11-5.455.030.69-
2023/91.9416.82-6.1516.68-3.875.190.74-
2023/81.664.57-31.8314.74-3.565.10.75-
2023/71.59-14.27-23.9513.081.795.60.69-
2023/61.85-14.36-22.3611.496.785.490.72-
2023/52.1646.3414.149.6415.095.920.67-
2023/41.48-34.99-9.437.4715.375.90.68-
2023/32.276.116.966.023.726.00.78-
2023/22.1435.6883.823.7228.256.330.74去年2月因適逢春節假期,出貨較少。
2023/11.58-39.39-9.041.58-9.046.650.7-
2022/122.615.9237.9324.2219.566.870.8-
2022/112.4636.8236.1521.6117.676.330.87-
2022/101.8-13.0110.019.1515.656.30.87-
2022/92.07-15.1338.0417.3516.276.590.98-
2022/82.4416.6531.4615.2813.846.910.93-
2022/72.09-12.471.8912.8511.026.371.01-
2022/62.3925.922.6110.7612.985.911.06-
2022/51.916.1111.638.3710.515.471.14-
2022/41.63-16.047.626.4810.194.741.32-
2022/31.9466.7520.274.8511.084.851.12-
2022/21.17-32.8614.062.95.674.791.13-
2022/11.74-8.090.691.740.695.431.0-
2021/121.894.5625.8920.2514.15.330.99-
2021/111.8110.5436.0518.3713.014.941.07-
2021/101.639.1550.8316.5610.964.991.06主要原因:受疫情影響缺料,致上半年訂單延到下半年出貨。
2021/91.5-19.1810.1214.927.835.40.95-
2021/81.85-9.5929.9913.437.585.850.88-
2021/72.055.3240.6211.574.695.690.9-
2021/61.9514.633.159.52-0.755.160.89-
2021/51.711.94-5.297.58-1.714.830.95-
2021/41.52-6.18-26.725.88-0.634.151.1-
2021/31.6258.1416.314.3613.44.360.83-
2021/21.02-40.73-23.892.7511.754.250.86-
2021/11.7214.954.711.7254.714.550.8主要原因:去年同期適逢春節假期,故銷售金額較少。
2020/121.512.998.5517.75-7.143.910.86-
2020/111.3322.55-7.916.25-8.363.770.89-
2020/101.08-20.3-21.2414.92-8.413.870.87-
2020/91.36-4.6-16.113.84-7.224.240.74-
2020/81.43-2.19-10.4812.48-6.144.770.66-
2020/71.46-22.73-11.8611.05-5.555.140.61-
2020/61.895.248.979.6-4.515.750.65-
2020/51.79-13.38-6.377.71-7.325.250.71-
2020/42.0748.9154.475.92-7.64.80.78原受新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響,致大陸子公司人力、物料短缺情形已獲得改善,將原第一季減少出貨訂單,於本月陸續出貨。
2020/31.393.47-22.963.85-24.023.850.98-
2020/21.3420.481.962.46-24.613.840.98-
2020/11.11-19.37-42.631.11-42.630.0N/A-
2019/121.38-4.13-21.319.12-1.750.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1180.03.35-10.672.88-9.4320.88-13.7930.767.7821.056.5319.213.04.4-8.144.98-9.954.01-11.28
2022 (9)1180.03.7545.913.1841.9624.2219.628.5413.319.7618.1818.6522.214.7941.35.5345.144.5246.28
2021 (8)1180.02.5726.62.249.2720.2514.0825.19-4.1116.72-2.6815.2611.063.3911.153.8124.923.0926.64
2020 (7)1180.02.03-8.562.05-8.8917.75-7.1726.27-0.6417.18-2.513.74-1.013.05-9.53.05-8.682.44-7.92
2019 (6)1180.02.22-9.762.252.2719.12-1.7526.44-0.2617.624.1413.88-9.223.372.433.34-8.492.65-11.07
2018 (5)1180.02.4648.192.2035.819.469.0226.5116.7816.9226.0815.2936.523.2937.083.6547.772.9849.0
2017 (4)1180.01.667.791.622.5317.8512.5522.70-11.0513.42-5.3611.20-3.532.46.672.4711.762.08.7
2016 (3)118-6.351.5440.01.5838.615.865.125.5210.5214.1822.4511.6125.112.2528.572.2123.461.8431.43
2015 (2)1264.131.1089.661.14322.2215.0912.6123.0938.2611.58150.119.2856.761.75182.261.7964.221.477.22
2014 (1)12112.040.5831.820.27285.7113.4-3.2516.7004.6305.9200.6277.141.0922.470.7925.4

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